scholarly journals Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: The Case of Asymmetric Preferences

2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Surico
2003 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 763-785 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco Javier Ruge-Murcia

2001 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lavan Mahadeva ◽  
Kateřina Šmídková

What is the optimal rate of disinflation to be targeted during transition? This question has attracted more attention under the inflation-targeting regime than under other monetary strategies, because explicit inflation targets are used to anchor expectations. These targets signal what rate of disinflation is targeted by policymakers. Deciding what level of disinflation is least costly in terms of the volatility of important economic variables is not straightforward, since costs depend on monetary transmission in a given economy. In this paper, a small, aggregate, forward-looking model of Czech monetary transmission is used to compare the consequences of different disinflation strategies that are approximated with alternative policy rules. Our results suggest that trajectories with a more linear tendency are superior to trajectories that postpone disinflation or reduce inflation suddenly.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oscar R. Medina ◽  
Elias A. Laguna

Author(s):  
Mesa Wanasilp

This paper examines the monetary policy rules for five emerging ASEAN economies—Indonesia, the Philippines, and Thailand as the adopters of inflation targeting (IT) and Malaysia and Vietnam as the non-IT adopters. For the methodology, this study applies a generalized method of moments that provides a consistent and efficient estimator for the estimation that contains endogenously determined variables. The questions are whether the rules of the IT adopters have fulfilled the Taylor principle and what has been the difference in the rules between the IT adopters and the non-IT adopters. The main findings are as follows: Regarding the IT adopters, their rules are characterized by inflation-responsive rules fulfilling the Taylor principle. As for the non-IT adopters, Malaysia follows solely an output-gap responsive rule, and Vietnam exhibits the mixed rules. The policy implications are that for the IT adopters there might be room to make their policy-rate responses more elastic to inflation, and that for the non-IT adopters, there would be a need to adopt an explicit IT framework.


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