scholarly journals Recursive Calculation of Survival Probabilities

1991 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C. M. Dickson ◽  
Howard R. Waters

AbstractIn this paper we present an algorithm for the approximate calculation of finite time survival probabilities for the classical risk model. We also show how this algorithm can be applied to the calculation of infinite time survival probabilities. Numerical examples are given and the stability of the algorithms is discussed.

1999 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 575-584 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.C.M. Dickson

ABSTRACTIn this paper we review three algorithms to calculate the probability of ruin/survival in finite time for the classical risk model. We discuss the computational aspects of these algorithms and consider the question of which algorithm should be preferred.


2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge M.A. Garcia

The purpose of this paper is to show that, for the classical risk model, explicit expressions for survival probabilities in a finite time horizon can be obtained through the inversion of the double Laplace transform of the distribution of time to ruin. To do this, we consider Gerber and Shiu (1998) and a particular value for their penalty function. Although other methods to address the problem exist, we find this approach, perhaps, more direct and simple. For the analytic inversion, we have applied twice, after some algebra, the Laplace complex inversion formula.


2002 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 299-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C.M. Dickson ◽  
Howard R. Waters

AbstractWe study the distribution of the time to ruin in the classical risk model. We consider some methods of calculating this distribution, in particular by using algorithms to calculate finite time ruin probabilities. We also discuss calculation of the moments of this distribution.


Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 511 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenguang Yu ◽  
Peng Guo ◽  
Qi Wang ◽  
Guofeng Guan ◽  
Qing Yang ◽  
...  

In this paper, we assume that the reserve level of an insurance company can only be observed at discrete time points, then a new risk model is proposed by introducing a periodic capital injection strategy and a barrier dividend strategy into the classical risk model. We derive the equations and the boundary conditions satisfied by the Gerber-Shiu function, the expected discounted capital injection function and the expected discounted dividend function by assuming that the observation interval and claim amount are exponentially distributed, respectively. Numerical examples are also given to further analyze the influence of relevant parameters on the actuarial function of the risk model.


2002 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang Rongming ◽  
Liu Haifeng

AbstractIn this paper a class of risk processes in which claims occur as a renewal process is studied. A clear expression for Laplace transform of the finite time ruin probability is well given when the claim amount distribution is a mixed exponential. As its consequence, a well-known result about ultimate ruin probability in the classical risk model is obtained.


2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C.M. Dickson ◽  
Gordon E. Willmot

We derive an expression for the density of the time to ruin in the classical risk model by inverting its Laplace transform. We then apply the result when the individual claim amount distribution is a mixed Erlang distribution, and show how finite time ruin probabilities can be calculated in this case.


2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (01) ◽  
pp. 113-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge M.A. Garcia

The purpose of this paper is to show that, for the classical risk model, explicit expressions for survival probabilities in a finite time horizon can be obtained through the inversion of the double Laplace transform of the distribution of time to ruin. To do this, we consider Gerber and Shiu (1998) and a particular value for their penalty function. Although other methods to address the problem exist, we find this approach, perhaps, more direct and simple. For the analytic inversion, we have applied twice, after some algebra, the Laplace complex inversion formula.


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