scholarly journals The Distribution of the time to Ruin in the Classical Risk Model

2002 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 299-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C.M. Dickson ◽  
Howard R. Waters

AbstractWe study the distribution of the time to ruin in the classical risk model. We consider some methods of calculating this distribution, in particular by using algorithms to calculate finite time ruin probabilities. We also discuss calculation of the moments of this distribution.

2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C.M. Dickson ◽  
Gordon E. Willmot

We derive an expression for the density of the time to ruin in the classical risk model by inverting its Laplace transform. We then apply the result when the individual claim amount distribution is a mixed Erlang distribution, and show how finite time ruin probabilities can be calculated in this case.


2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (01) ◽  
pp. 45-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C.M. Dickson ◽  
Gordon E. Willmot

We derive an expression for the density of the time to ruin in the classical risk model by inverting its Laplace transform. We then apply the result when the individual claim amount distribution is a mixed Erlang distribution, and show how finite time ruin probabilities can be calculated in this case.


1991 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C. M. Dickson ◽  
Howard R. Waters

AbstractIn this paper we present an algorithm for the approximate calculation of finite time survival probabilities for the classical risk model. We also show how this algorithm can be applied to the calculation of infinite time survival probabilities. Numerical examples are given and the stability of the algorithms is discussed.


1999 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 575-584 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.C.M. Dickson

ABSTRACTIn this paper we review three algorithms to calculate the probability of ruin/survival in finite time for the classical risk model. We discuss the computational aspects of these algorithms and consider the question of which algorithm should be preferred.


1997 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 297-318 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Asmussen ◽  
K. Binswanger

AbstractWe consider the classical risk model with subexponential claim size distribution. Three methods are presented to simulate the probability of ultimate ruin and we investigate their asymptotic efficiency. One, based upon a conditional Monte Carlo idea involving the order statistics, is shown to be asymptotically efficient in a certain sense. We use the simulation methods to study the accuracy of the standard Embrechts-Veraverbeke [16] approximation for the ruin probability and also suggest a new one based upon ideas of Hogan [21].


2002 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang Rongming ◽  
Liu Haifeng

AbstractIn this paper a class of risk processes in which claims occur as a renewal process is studied. A clear expression for Laplace transform of the finite time ruin probability is well given when the claim amount distribution is a mixed exponential. As its consequence, a well-known result about ultimate ruin probability in the classical risk model is obtained.


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