TOPOGRAPHICAL CHARACTERIZATION OF PARAMETER VALUE IN BOX-COX TRANSFORM FOR DAILY MAXIMUM WIND SPEED

Author(s):  
Tetsuya KITAGAWA
2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (7) ◽  
pp. 2793-2816 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gangfeng Zhang ◽  
Cesar Azorin-Molina ◽  
Deliang Chen ◽  
Jose A. Guijarro ◽  
Feng Kong ◽  
...  

AbstractAssessing change in daily maximum wind speed and its likely causes is crucial for many applications such as wind power generation and wind disaster risk governance. Multidecadal variability of observed near-surface daily maximum wind speed (DMWS) from 778 stations over China is analyzed for 1975–2016. A robust homogenization protocol using the R package Climatol was applied to the DMWS observations. The homogenized dataset displayed a significant (p < 0.05) declining trend of −0.038 m s−1 decade−1 for all China annually, with decreases in winter (−0.355 m s−1 decade−1, p < 0.05) and autumn (−0.108 m s−1 decade−1; p < 0.05) and increases in summer (+0.272 m s−1 decade−1, p < 0.05) along with a weak recovery in spring (+0.032 m s−1 decade−1; p > 0.10); that is, DMWS declined during the cold semester (October–March) and increased during the warm semester (April–September). Correlation analysis of the Arctic Oscillation, the Southern Oscillation, and the west Pacific modes exhibited significant correlation with DMWS variability, unveiling their complementarity in modulating DMWS. Further, we explored potential physical processes relating to the atmospheric circulation changes and their impacts on DMWS and found that 1) overall weakened horizontal airflow [large-scale mean horizontal pressure gradient (from −0.24 to +0.02 hPa decade−1) and geostrophic wind speed (from −0.6 to +0.6 m s−1 decade−1)], 2) widely decreased atmospheric vertical momentum transport [atmospheric stratification thermal instability (from −3 to +1.5 decade−1) and vertical wind shear (from −0.4 to +0.2 m s−1 decade−1)], and 3) decreased extratropical cyclones frequency (from −0.3 to 0 month decade−1) are likely causes of DMWS change.


2002 ◽  
Vol 15 (15) ◽  
pp. 2073-2088 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongwei Yan ◽  
Steven Bate ◽  
Richard E. Chandler ◽  
Valerie Isham ◽  
Howard Wheater

Author(s):  
V. Khokhlov ◽  
Y. El Hadri

The Moroccan energy system is highly dependent on external energy markets. Therefore, the current renewable energy strategy is focused on deployment of large-scale renewable technologies projects. Morocco has abundant wind resources. Estimations made by development organizations in Morocco quantify that the economic and technical potential of wind energy in Morocco amount to 26 GW. The aim of this study is to determine the possible quantitative indicators of wind speed, the daily maximum wind speed and their space-time distribution in the period 2020-2050 on the territory of Morocco. In study used data from regional climate modelling with a high spatial resolution of the project CORDEX. Simulations of regional climate models provide opportunities for a better understanding of atmospheric processes in the region and their possible future change. In the study use of regional climate models simulations for the RCP 4.5 scenario for the Africa region, presented in a rectangular coordinate system with a spatial resolution of ≈ 44 km. As a result of the regional climate models calculation, the mean monthly Near-Surface Wind Speed, and Daily Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed values for the period 2020-2050 for the territory of Morocco were obtained. Regional climate models simulations showed that in Morocco will be dominated by gentle and moderate winds. The smallest values of the average wind speed are predicted in Fez − Meknes and Beni-Mellal − Henifra regions and will be about 3 m/s, the highest values can reach 9 m/s on the Atlantic coast to the south of Dakhla village. An analysis showed that in the future a character of annual course, in general, will have two types: in central mountain regions of Atlas, in the northeastern part of country and on the Mediterranean coast maximum wind speed will be register in winter; summer seasonal maximum of wind speed will be typical on the flat areas of the Atlantic coast, in the southern part of the country and on areas located behind the ridges of the Atlas mountains on the border with Algeria. The most favorable for the development of wind energy will be areas located on the shore of the Mediterranean Sea and the Atlantic Ocean and in the southern part of Morocco.


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 60 (4) ◽  
pp. 461-474
Author(s):  
R. K. JENAMANI ◽  
R. C. VASHISTH ◽  
S. C. BHAN

In the present study, commencement timings and duration of thunderstorms (TS) and squalls at IGI airport, Palam, New Delhi have been analysed critically based on most recent eleven years data of 1995-2005 to find their favourable time of occurrences. Then utility of such data base in the aviation warning has been demonstrated. Environmental changes associated with these squalls have also been further analysed to understand their impact. Being recent May 2007 a very cool month over Delhi, the role of TS on controlling the day’s soaring temperature has also been studied from their data.  Results show TS are maximum in June followed by July whereas squalls are maximum in May followed by June. It shows more than 80% of TS in each season are of duration less than 3 hours with remaining are mostly 3 to 6 hours. The peak time period of commencement of both TS and squalls in the day differ with the progress of the months. For pre monsoon months, the most favourable timing of TS and squalls are 1200-1500 UTC while for monsoon, it starts earlier. Around 37% of the total TS during the period were associated with squalls. The average maximum wind speed in squall at IGI airport is about 68 kmph with highest maximum wind speed 139 kmph. On an average the environmental temperature falls by 5.6° C, humidity levels rises by 17.8% and mean sea level pressure rises by 1.6 hPa due to the occurrences of squalls. Study also shows daily maximum temperature rise is highly controlled by TS occurrences and May 2007, being a month of highest TS occurrences at the airport since 1995, became one of the coolest month in May over Delhi. The comparison of TS frequencies shows 12% increase in their annual activities since 1950-1980 with very high unusual increase of 51% in June and 26% in May. Since analysis of data from 1995 shows occurrences of TS are reversely but strongly correlated with summer temperatures and longer period temperature data since 1975 also confirms absence of significant trend in maximum temperature and higher temperature days in peak summer months of May and June till recent as expected due to high pollution, global warming and fast urbanization in the city, so it is the higher number of TS occurrences over the region from time to time which might have been main factor for controlling its significant rise.


1991 ◽  
Vol 1991 (46) ◽  
pp. 29-37
Author(s):  
Kazuo OHTAKE ◽  
Yukio TAMURA ◽  
Osamu NAKAMURA

Author(s):  
Masataka YAMAGUCHI ◽  
Kunimitsu INOUCHI ◽  
Yoshihiro UTSUNOMIYA ◽  
Hirokazu NONAKA ◽  
Yoshio HATADA ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Masafumi KIMIZUKA ◽  
Tomotsuka TAKAYAMA ◽  
Hiroyasu KAWAI ◽  
Masafumi MIYATA ◽  
Katsuya HIRAYAMA ◽  
...  

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document