Exchange Rate and Foreign Inflation Risk Premiums in Global Equity Returns

CFA Digest ◽  
2001 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-80
Author(s):  
Frank T. Magiera
1993 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 182-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yin-Wong Cheng

2020 ◽  
pp. 1.000-72.000
Author(s):  
Jens H. E. Christensen ◽  
◽  
Glenn D. Rudebusch ◽  
Patrick J. Shultz ◽  

In recent decades, long-term interest rates around the world have fallen to historic lows. We examine this decline using a dynamic term structure model of Canadian nominal and real yields with adjustments for term, liquidity, and inflation risk premiums. Canada provides a useful case study that has been little examined despite its established indexed debt market, negligible distortions from monetary quantitative easing or the zero lower bound, and no sovereign credit risk. We find that since 2000, the steady-state real interest rate has fallen by more than 2 percentage points, long-term inflation expectations have edged down, and real bond and inflation risk premiums have fluctuated but shown little longer-run trend. Therefore, the drop in the equilibrium real rate appears largely to account for the lower new normal in interest rates.


Author(s):  
Mikhail Chernov ◽  
Drew Creal

Abstract Exposures of expected future nominal depreciation rates to the current interest rate differential violate the UIP hypothesis in a pattern that is a nonmonotonic function of horizon. Forward expected nominal depreciation rates are monotonic. We explain the two patterns by simultaneously incorporating the weak form of PPP into a joint model of the stochastic discount factor, the nominal exchange rate, and domestic and foreign yield curves. Departures from PPP generate the first pattern. The risk premiums for these departures generate the second pattern. Thus, the variance of the stochastic discount factor is related to the real exchange rate.


Author(s):  
Ayelet Balsam ◽  
Shmuel Kandel ◽  
Ori Levy
Keyword(s):  

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 907-931 ◽  
Author(s):  
Begoña Font ◽  
Alfredo Juan Grau

2004 ◽  
Vol 333 ◽  
pp. 317-324 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hakan Berument ◽  
Zubeyir Kilinc ◽  
Umit Ozlale

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