scholarly journals Structured Inference for Recurrent Hidden Semi-markov Model

Author(s):  
Hao Liu ◽  
Lirong He ◽  
Haoli Bai ◽  
Bo Dai ◽  
Kun Bai ◽  
...  

Segmentation and labeling for high dimensional time series is an important yet challenging task in a number of applications, such as behavior understanding and medical diagnosis. Recent advances to model the nonlinear dynamics in such time series data, has suggested to involve recurrent neural networks into  Hidden Markov Models. However, this involvement has caused the inference procedure much more complicated, often leading to intractable inference, especially for the discrete variables of segmentation and labeling. To achieve both flexibility and tractability in modeling nonlinear dynamics of discrete variables, we present a structured and stochastic sequential neural network (SSNN), which composes with a generative network and an inference network. In detail, the generative network aims to not only capture the long-term dependencies but also model the uncertainty of the segmentation labels via semi-Markov models. More importantly, for efficient and accurate inference, the proposed bi-directional inference network reparameterizes the categorical segmentation with the Gumbel-Softmax approximation and resorts to the Stochastic Gradient Variational Bayes. We evaluate the proposed model in a number of tasks, including speech modeling, automatic segmentation and labeling in behavior understanding, and sequential multi-objects recognition. Experimental results have demonstrated that our proposed model can achieve significant improvement over the state-of-the-art methods.

Author(s):  
Pritpal Singh

Forecasting using fuzzy time series has been applied in several areas including forecasting university enrollments, sales, road accidents, financial forecasting, weather forecasting, etc. Recently, many researchers have paid attention to apply fuzzy time series in time series forecasting problems. In this paper, we present a new model to forecast the enrollments in the University of Alabama and the daily average temperature in Taipei, based on one-factor fuzzy time series. In this model, a new frequency based clustering technique is employed for partitioning the time series data sets into different intervals. For defuzzification function, two new principles are also incorporated in this model. In case of enrollments as well daily temperature forecasting, proposed model exhibits very small error rate.


2010 ◽  
Vol 26-28 ◽  
pp. 98-103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ben Cheng Chai

This study utilizes time series data mining to find the interesting pattern and cooperation custom. Meanwhile, data mining technique and some special football skills such as ball possession are employed to build a novel decision model in football match. The proposed model is expatiated through real football match. In short, on the one hand, the model provides a feasible route to guide the decision makers including football coach to establish effective mechanism in football match. On the other hand, it extends the application scope of time series data mining.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e534
Author(s):  
Kristoko Dwi Hartomo ◽  
Yessica Nataliani

This paper aims to propose a new model for time series forecasting that combines forecasting with clustering algorithm. It introduces a new scheme to improve the forecasting results by grouping the time series data using k-means clustering algorithm. It utilizes the clustering result to get the forecasting data. There are usually some user-defined parameters affecting the forecasting results, therefore, a learning-based procedure is proposed to estimate the parameters that will be used for forecasting. This parameter value is computed in the algorithm simultaneously. The result of the experiment compared to other forecasting algorithms demonstrates good results for the proposed model. It has the smallest mean squared error of 13,007.91 and the average improvement rate of 19.83%.


Author(s):  
Mihai Dupac ◽  
Dan B. Marghitu ◽  
David G. Beale

Abstract In this paper, a nonlinear dynamics analysis of the simulated data was considered to study the time evolution of an electro-magnetically levitated flexible droplet. The main goals of this work are to study the behavior of the levitated droplet and to investigate its stability. Quantities characterizing time series data such as attractor dimension or largest Lyapunov exponent were computed.


2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (35) ◽  
pp. 1850208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pritpal Singh ◽  
Gaurav Dhiman ◽  
Amandeep Kaur

The supremacy of quantum approach is able to solve the problems which are not practically feasible on classical machines. It suggests a significant speed up of the simulations and decreases the chance of error rates. This paper introduces a new quantum model for time series data which depends on the appropriate length of intervals. To provide effective solution of this problem, this study suggests a new graph-based quantum approach. This technique is useful in discretization and representation of logical relationships. Then, we divide these logical relations into various groups to obtain efficient results. The proposed model is verified and validated with various approaches. Experimental results signify that the proposed model is more precise than existing competing models.


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