scholarly journals An Empirical Analysis of CAPM and Fama-French Three-Factor Model -- Based on the Example of Shanghai Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ziyi Li

Some scholars, represented by William F. Sharpe and John Lintner, have established the "Capital Asset Pricing Model" (CAPM) in the 1960s. This model finds that under certain assumptions the expected rate of return shows a clear linear relationship with market risk (systemic risk), no matter for a single asset or a combined asset. Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), is regarded as the spine of modern price theory in financial market. It has been applied widely to asset pricing analysis and determination, such as stocks, funds and bonds and to investment decision field. This essay based on CSMAR data, separately uses CAPM and the Fama-French Three-Factor Model to conduct empirical test on the expected return of SSE A-share portfolio. The main conclusion is that in China’s stock market, market risk is not the only factor which determines the expected return of the market portfolio or individual stock, while the size factor (SMB) and book-to-market ratio factor (HML) can better explain the portfolio’s expected rate of return.

2018 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 294-307
Author(s):  
Nenavath Sreenu

This article aims to test the capital asset-pricing model (CAPM) and three-factor model of Fama in Indian Stock Exchange, and it has focused on the recent growth of capital markets in India and the need of practitioners in these markets to determine a stable price for securities, and achieving expected returns has brought into consideration the theories predicting price securities Among different models the CAPM of Sharp. The study uses a sample of daily data and annual average for 54 companies listed on the National Stock Exchange, during the period from 2010 to 2016. The research article’s intention is to find whether the relationship between expected return and risk is linear, if beta is a complete measure of the risk and if a higher risk is compensated by a higher expected return. The results confirm that the intercept is statistically insignificant, upholding theory, for both individual assets and portfolios. The tests do not essentially provide validation against CAPM and Fama; however, other simulations can be built, more close to reality, by improving the model and offering an alternative which also takes into account the specific conditions of the Indian capital market and the global financial crisis consequences.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
M. J. Alhabeeb

This study exposes the meaning and role of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and lays out the key elements that make it work. It shows the model’s theoretical strength and examines its applicability and validity as a technical tool to measure the expected return to the investment in stock, along with assessing the market risk associated with that investment.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Nadyah Brhigitta Dwiyuningsih Dotulong ◽  
Lanto Miriatin Amali ◽  
Selvi Selvi

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui Metode Capital Asset Pricing Model dan Fama-French Three Factor Model untuk penentuan investasi pada saham Indeks IDX30 periode 2016 – 2018 serta untuk membandingkan antara dua model tersebut model manakah yang memiliki tingkat akurasi yang lebih tinggi untuk mempertimbangkan tingkat return dan risikonya. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah deskriptif komparatif dengan pendekatan kuantitatif. Adapun data yang digunakan adalah data berupa laporan keuangan tahunan (annual report) Indeks IDX30 periode 2016 – 2018. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa Metode Capital Asset Pricing Model merupakan model yang lebih akurat dibandingkan Fama-French Three Factor Model. Selain terlihat sederhana, model Capital Asset Pricing Model ini juga lebih akurat dalam menentukan investasi sesuai dengan tingkat pengembalian yang diharapkan dan risiko yang bersedia ditanggung dan model ini dapat memberikan informasi secepat-cepatnya mengenai tingkat pengembalian dan risiko yang akan ditanggung investor. Kata-kata Kunci:Metode Capital Asset Pricing Model, Fama-French Three Factor Model, dan Indeks IDX30. 


2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 231-256 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Karp ◽  
Gary Van Vuuren

This paper tests the validity and accuracy of the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Fama-French Three-Factor Model, by predicting the variation in excess portfolio returns on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Portfolios of stocks were constructed based on an adapted Fama-French (1993) approach, using a  annual sorting procedure, based on Size and Book-to-Market metrics respectively. The sample period spans six years, 2010 to 2015, and includes 46 companies listed on the JSE. The results indicate that both models perform relatively poorly because of inadequate market proxy measures, market liquidity restrictions, unpriced risk factors and volatility inherent in an emerging market environment. The Value Premium is found to explain a larger proportion of variation in excess returns than the Size Premium, and is more pronounced in portfolios with relatively higher book-to-market portfolios.


Author(s):  
Luong Tram Anh

Using data from 2010 to 2019, for the first time, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Three-factor Model (TFM) are compared in different contexts of the Vietnamese economy (recession and recovery). This paper employs four tests including the t-test, determination coefficient R2, Chow-test and GRS-test to examine the performance of the two models. Results show the superiority of the TFM over the CAPM in both contexts of the economy, consistent with Fama and French’s studies. This promises that the TFM can be used to replace the CAPM in capturing the cost of equity. Another finding is that the two models tend to perform better in recession than recovery. This study contributes to the literature about asset-pricing models and their performances in different economic contexts. Moreover, the findings also offer insights into the use of the CAPM and TFM in developing countries in general and Vietnam, in particular.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 116-127
Author(s):  
Dorota Witkowska

Presented research aims in evaluation if three-factor model better describes rates of return than single-factor capital asset pricing model. Investigation concerns 30 selected companies listed on WSE in years 2007-2017. The whole period of analysis is divided into seven samples according to observed market tendency in Poland. Research is conducted for daily rates of return whereas comparative analysis is provided for portfolios constructed from companies belonging to stock indexes WIG20, mWIG40 and sWIG80.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-175
Author(s):  
Ahmad Musodik ◽  
Arrum Sari ◽  
Ida Nur Fitriani

Investment is a tool for investors to get more profit than what has been invested. Investors must be able to predict the possibilities that occur when investing. Capital Asset Pricing Model is a tool to predict the development of investment in a particular company used to calculate and determine the Expected Return in minimizing risk investments. The authors conducted research using a sample of 5 companies in the automotive industry, namely PT Astra International Tbk, PT Indokordsa Tbk, PT Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk, PT Astra Otoparts Tbk, and PT Gajah Tunggal Tbk. This study uses a descriptive quantitative approach with Microsoft Excel 2016 analysis tools. This study aims to determine Portfolio Analysis with the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) approach which is used as the basis for making stock investment decisions in automotive industry sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Use from the results of the analysis of the results by comparing the value of E(Ri) has a directly proportional relationship, meaning that the higher the value of, then the stock return (E(Ri)) will be high as well. Of the 5 companies, there are 2 companies that are in the Undervalued category and 3 companies that are in the overvalued category. This means that investors who will invest in companies engaged in the automotive industry can decide to buy shares of the companies PT Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk and PT Gajah Tunggal Tbk, because they are classified as undervalued. Meanwhile, investors who want to invest in shares are not advised to buy company shares that are in the overvalued category, but are advised to sell them to investors who already have shares in the company.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Danyi Bao

<p>This paper applies the Ibbotson and Sinquefield (1976) method and the Lally (2002) method to New Zealand data over the period 1960-2005 in order to estimate the market risk premium (MRP) in two versions of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). With respect to the standard CAPM, the resulting Ibbotson estimate of the MRP for New Zealand was 6.11%. The resulting Lally estimate of the MRP ranged from 5.52% (in 1970) to 18.40% (in 1990), with an average of 7.95%, and was 6.40% for 2005. With respect to the simplified Brennan-Lally CAPM, the resulting Ibbotson estimate of the MRP for New Zealand was 8.49%. The resulting Lally estimate of the MRP ranged from 7.91% (in 1970) to 20.79% (in 1990), with an average of 10.33%, and was 8.78% for 2005. The Lally and the Ibbotson estimates of the MRP are similar in general. However, when market leverage is unusually high or low, they diverge significantly. In future, practitioners may need to choose between the estimates from the two methods when market leverage goes beyond the normal level.</p>


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