scholarly journals CONSISTENCY OF KERNEL-TYPE ESTIMATORS FOR THE FIRST AND SECOND DERIVATIVES OF A PERIODIC POISSON INTENSITY FUNCTION

2007 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
I W. MANGKU ◽  
S. SYAMSURI ◽  
H. HERNIWAT

<p>We construct and investigate consistent kernel-type estimators for the first and second derivatives of a periodic Poisson intensity function when the period is known. We do not assume any particular parametric form for the intensity function. More- over, we consider the situation when only a single realization of the Poisson process is available, and only observed in a bounded interval. We prove that the proposed estimators are consistent when the length of the interval goes to infinity. We also prove that the mean-squared error of the estimators converge to zero when the length of the interval goes to infinity.<br />1991 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60G55, 62G05, 62G20.</p>

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 128-139
Author(s):  
Fatimah Azzahra ◽  
I Wayan Mangku

ABSTRAKPenduga yang konsisten dari fungsi distribusi dan fungsi kepekatan peluang waktu tunggu dari proses Poisson periodik dibahas dalam artikel ini. Tidak ada asumsi bentuk parametrik tertentu dari fungsi intensitas proses Poisson periodik. Situasi dipertimbangkan ketika hanya ada realisasi tunggal dari proses Poisson periodik yang teramati dalam interval terbatas [0,n]. Hasil pembuktian menunjukkan bahwa penduga yang diusulkan konsisten ketika n-??. ABSTRACTThe consistent estimator of the distribution and the density functions of the waiting time of a cyclic Poisson process is considered and investigated. We do not assume any particular parametric form of the intensity function of the cyclic Poisson process. We consider the situation when there is only a single realization of the cyclic Poisson process is spotted in a bounded interval [0,n]. We proved that the propose estimators are consistent as n-??.


1975 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 230-241 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Susarla ◽  
S. Kumar

Recently, attention has been drawn to the problem of estimation of a k-variate probability density and its partial derivatives of various orders. Specifically, let X1, …, Xn be i.i.d. k-variate random variables with common density f wrt Lebesgue measure μ on the k-dimensional σ-field Bk. Parzen (1962) in the k = 1 case and Cacoullos (1966) in the k ≧ 1 case gave the asymptotic properties of a class of kernel estimates fn(x), x ∈ Rk, of f(x) based on X1, …, Xn. The asymptotic properties given in the above two papers concern consistency, asymp-totic unbiasedness, bounds for the mean squared error and asymptotic normality of fn. Also in the context of an empirical Bayes two-action problem, Johns and Van Ryzin (1972) introduced kernel estimates for f(x) and the derivative f'(x)for x∈R1 when f is a mixture of univariate exponential densities wrt Lebesgue measure on B1. They also investigated the asymptotic unbiasedness and themean squared error convergence properties of these estimates. Lin (1968) statedsome generalizations of the results of Johns and Van Ryzin, with applicationsto empirical Bayes decision problems.


2005 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
I W. MANGKU ◽  
I. WIDIYASTUTI ◽  
I G. P. PURNABA

<p>An estimator of the intensity in the form of a power function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process is constructed and investigated. It is assumed that only a single realization of the Poisson process is observed in a bounded window. We prove that the proposed estimator is consistent when the size of the window indefinitely expands. The asymptotic bias, variance and the mean- squared error of the proposed estimator are computed. Asymptotic normality of the estimator is also established.</p>


2011 ◽  
Vol 60 (2) ◽  
pp. 248-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sangmun Shin ◽  
Funda Samanlioglu ◽  
Byung Rae Cho ◽  
Margaret M. Wiecek

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4863 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Huang ◽  
Longpeng Cao ◽  
Nanxin Peng ◽  
Sijia Li ◽  
Jing Zhang ◽  
...  

Photovoltaic (PV) modules convert renewable and sustainable solar energy into electricity. However, the uncertainty of PV power production brings challenges for the grid operation. To facilitate the management and scheduling of PV power plants, forecasting is an essential technique. In this paper, a robust multilayer perception (MLP) neural network was developed for day-ahead forecasting of hourly PV power. A generic MLP is usually trained by minimizing the mean squared loss. The mean squared error is sensitive to a few particularly large errors that can lead to a poor estimator. To tackle the problem, the pseudo-Huber loss function, which combines the best properties of squared loss and absolute loss, was adopted in this paper. The effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method was verified by benchmarking against a generic MLP network with real PV data. Numerical experiments illustrated that the proposed method performed better than the generic MLP network in terms of root mean squared error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE).


2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas Najim Salman ◽  
Maymona Ameen

<p>This paper is concerned with minimax shrinkage estimator using double stage shrinkage technique for lowering the mean squared error, intended for estimate the shape parameter (a) of Generalized Rayleigh distribution in a region (R) around available prior knowledge (a<sub>0</sub>) about the actual value (a) as initial estimate in case when the scale parameter (l) is known .</p><p>In situation where the experimentations are time consuming or very costly, a double stage procedure can be used to reduce the expected sample size needed to obtain the estimator.</p><p>The proposed estimator is shown to have smaller mean squared error for certain choice of the shrinkage weight factor y(<strong>×</strong>) and suitable region R.</p><p>Expressions for Bias, Mean squared error (MSE), Expected sample size [E (n/a, R)], Expected sample size proportion [E(n/a,R)/n], probability for avoiding the second sample and percentage of overall sample saved  for the proposed estimator are derived.</p><p>Numerical results and conclusions for the expressions mentioned above were displayed when the consider estimator are testimator of level of significanceD.</p><p>Comparisons with the minimax estimator and with the most recent studies were made to shown the effectiveness of the proposed estimator.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-22
Author(s):  
Byung-Kwon Son ◽  
Do-Jin An ◽  
Joon-Ho Lee

In this paper, a passive localization of the emitter using noisy angle-of-arrival (AOA) measurements, called Brown DWLS (Distance Weighted Least Squares) algorithm, is considered. The accuracy of AOA-based localization is quantified by the mean-squared error. Various estimates of the AOA-localization algorithm have been derived (Doğançay and Hmam, 2008). Explicit expression of the location estimate of the previous study is used to get an analytic expression of the mean-squared error (MSE) of one of the various estimates. To validate the derived expression, we compare the MSE from the Monte Carlo simulation with the analytically derived MSE.


2009 ◽  
Vol 106 (3) ◽  
pp. 975-983 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Burnley

To determine whether the asymptote of the torque-duration relationship (critical torque) could be estimated from the torque measured at the end of a series of maximal voluntary contractions (MVCs) of the quadriceps, eight healthy men performed eight laboratory tests. Following familiarization, subjects performed two tests in which they were required to perform 60 isometric MVCs over a period of 5 min (3 s contraction, 2 s rest), and five tests involving intermittent isometric contractions at ∼35–60% MVC, each performed to task failure. Critical torque was determined using linear regression of the torque impulse and contraction time during the submaximal tests, and the end-test torque during the MVCs was calculated from the mean of the last six contractions of the test. During the MVCs voluntary torque declined from 263.9 ± 44.6 to 77.8 ± 17.8 N·m. The end-test torque was not different from the critical torque (77.9 ± 15.9 N·m; 95% paired-sample confidence interval, −6.5 to 6.2 N·m). The root mean squared error of the estimation of critical torque from the end-test torque was 7.1 N·m. Twitch interpolation showed that voluntary activation declined from 90.9 ± 6.5% to 66.9 ± 13.1% ( P < 0.001), and the potentiated doublet response declined from 97.7 ± 23.0 to 46.9 ± 6.7 N·m ( P < 0.001) during the MVCs, indicating the development of both central and peripheral fatigue. These data indicate that fatigue during 5 min of intermittent isometric MVCs of the quadriceps leads to an end-test torque that closely approximates the critical torque.


Author(s):  
MOULOUD ADEL ◽  
DANIEL ZUWALA ◽  
MONIQUE RASIGNI ◽  
SALAH BOURENNANE

A noise reduction scheme on digitized mammographic phantom images is presented. This algorithm is based on a direct contrast modification method with an optimal function, obtained by using the mean squared error as a criterion. Computer simulated images containing objects similar to those observed in the phantom are built to evaluate the performance of the algorithm. Noise reduction results obtained on both simulated and real phantom images show that the developed method may be considered as a good preprocessing step from the point of view of automating phantom film evaluation by means of image processing.


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