scholarly journals The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth under Different Exchange Rate Regimes and Financial Structures

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 63-86
Author(s):  
Elham Mohammadi ◽  
Ali Reza Kazerooni ◽  
Hossein Asgharpur
Author(s):  
Comfort Akinwolere Bukola ◽  

This study examined the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth in Nigeria. The study covers the period of 1986 to 2019. Using time series data, the methodology adopted is the Vector Error Correction Mechanism to explore the impact of exchange rate volatility on the selected macroeconomic variables. The result indicated that exchange rate volatility has a significant impact on economic growth, specifically it has a positive impact on inflation, unemployment and balance of trade. On the other hand it has a negative impact on economic growth and investment. The recommendations made include; that relevant authorities should try to avoid systematic currency devaluations in order to maintain exchange rate volatility at a rate that allows adjustment of the balance of payments.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ercan Özen

Abstract Developing countries need higher economic growth to reach the level of developed countries. When developing countries exceed the potential economic growth, problems, such as, high external debt and high current deficit emerge. Such situations increase the financial risk of the country; in addition, international political risks, fluctuations in capital inflows and some manipulative movements have subjected countries to extreme exchange rate fluctuations. Purposes of this research: (1) to uncover the impact of high exchange rate volatility on small business activities and (2) to determine whether the level of exposure of the exchange rate shock on business owners varies by age. The methodology of the study involved a survey administered to 390 small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The findings of the study show that after a period of significant exchange rate fluctuations, business activities were negatively affected, sales decreased, and job cuts increased. On the other hand, the exchange rate effect was mostly felt by all business owners of different ages. According to the study, it can be concluded that small enterprises are vulnerable to rising exchange rate volatility. The effect on SMEs with more work experience is not different. In order to alleviate the effects of adverse exchange rate movements, enterprises should be more cautious in their activities. Two suggestions can be made at this point: (i) Governments should follow optimal growth policies and (ii) Small businesses that have an important place in the economy should be made aware of the exchange rate risk and crisis management.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (29) ◽  
pp. 111-134
Author(s):  
Elham Mohammadi ◽  
Alireza Kazerooni ◽  
Hossein Asgharpur ◽  
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2021 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 495-507
Author(s):  
Gatot Nazir Ahmad ◽  
Haryo Kuncoro ◽  
Harmuzan Tazril ◽  
Dicky Iranto

This study aims to determine the effect of exchange rate volatility on economic growth in the ASEAN member countries (Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Cambodia) through investment. Based on the previous studies, the researcher focuses on developing the initial research analysis because it can control different company levels' characteristics and then determine the impact of exchange rate changes on economic growth mediated by investment. There is a limited analysis of whether exchange rate movements encourage overall investment in this study's particular direction. The author's primary focus is whether the export or import channels or both play an essential role in determining a company's investment. This study's population is in ASEAN member countries that have been published by the World Bank (https://www.worldbank.org/) and continue to exist during the period 1998-2019. The sample selection in this study used a purposive sampling method. Some of the ratio data were available in the financial report summary. The analysis method used in the study is the path analysis.


Author(s):  
Bahar Erdal

The aim of this paper is to analyse empirically the effects of real exchange rate volatility on sectoral exports in Turkey under intermediate and flexible exchange rate regimes. The cointegration test and error correction models are used to test the long-run relationship and short-run effects, respectively. The estimation results show that the real exchange rate volatility has negative and significant effects on sectoral exports in both intermediate and flexible exchange rate regimes. These empirical results are consistent with the theory. However, the impact of real exchange rate and foreign income appeared to be quite different for the two exchange rate regimes. Further, research is required to analyse the impacts of real exchange rate and foreign income on sectoral exports. Keywords: Real exchange rate volatility, real exchange rate, intermediate exchange rate regime, flexible exchange rate regime, sectoral export.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 177
Author(s):  
Fatbardha Morina ◽  
Eglantina Hysa ◽  
Uğur Ergün ◽  
Mirela Panait ◽  
Marian Catalin Voica

The exchange rate is a key macroeconomic factor that affects international trade and the real economy of each country. The development of international trade creates conditions where volatility comes with the exchange rate. The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of real effective exchange rate volatility on economic growth in the Central and Eastern European countries. Additionally, the effect, through three channels of influence on economic growth which vary on the measurement of exchange rate volatility, is examined. The study uses annual data for fourteen CEE countries for the period 2002–2018 to examine the nature and extends the impact of such movements on growth. The empirical findings using the fixed effects estimation for panel data reveal that the volatility of the exchange rate has a significant negative effect on real economic growth. The results appear robust with alternative measures of exchange rate volatility such as standard deviation and z-score. This paper suggests that policymakers should adopt different policies to keep the exchange rate stable in order to foster economic growth.


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