Analysis of the Forbush effect in May 2005 using the spectrographic global survey method

2011 ◽  
Vol 75 (6) ◽  
pp. 805-807 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Ye. Sdobnov
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 93-97 ◽  
Author(s):  
Владислав Григорьев ◽  
Vladislav Grigoryev ◽  
Сергей Стародубцев ◽  
Sergei Starodubtsev ◽  
Петр Гололобов ◽  
...  

A method for forecasting geomagnetic storms using the realization of the global survey method in real time is presented. The method is based on data from the worldwide network of neutron monitors NMDB. Using this method, we analyze the behavior of components of three-dimensional angular distribution of cosmic rays in the interplanetary medium, which were due to the first two spherical harmonics, over the period from 2013 to 2018. We have established that the main parameters that respond to the arrival of geoeffective disturbances of the interplanetary medium at Earth are changes in amplitudes of zonal (north-south) components of cosmic ray distribution. In order to select effective criteria for identifying predictors of geomagnetic disturbances and their possible temporal variations, we have made a retrospective analysis of the relationship between behaviors of the above components and geomagnetic disturbances occurring during the period of interest.


2020 ◽  
pp. 37-39
Author(s):  
Anton Zverev ◽  
Vladislav Grigoryev ◽  
Peter Gololobov ◽  
Sergei Starodubtsev

SB RAS, using data from the NMDB database, has implemented continuous monitoring of the dynamics of cosmic ray (CR) distribution parameters and the automatic forecasting of geomagnetic disturbance. Monitoring is based on the global survey method, which considers the world-wide network of neutron monitors as a single device oriented in different directions at each measured time. This method provides real-time parameters of nine components of the first two angular moments of the CR distribution function for each hour of observation. This paper discusses methodological aspects related to the use of the global survey method and some results of the forecasting of geomagnetic disturbances for 2017–2018.


10.12737/7890 ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Марта Тясто ◽  
Marta Tyasto ◽  
Ольга Данилова ◽  
Olga Danilova ◽  
Наталия Птицына ◽  
...  

Very strong interplanetary and magnetospheric disturbance observed on 7–13 November 2004 can be regarded as one of the strongest events during the entire period of space observations. In this paper, we report on the studies of cosmic ray cutoff rigidity variations during 7–13 November 2004 showing how storm conditions can affect the direct cosmic ray access to the inner magnetosphere. Effective cutoff rigidities have been calculated for selected points on the ground by tracing trajectories of cosmic ray particles through the magnetospheric magnetic field of the “storm-oriented” Tsyganenko 2003 model [Tsyganenko, 2002a, b; Tsyganenko et al., 2003]. Cutoff rigidity variations have also been determined by the spectrographic global survey method on the basis of experimental data of the neutron monitor network. Correlations between the calculated and experimental cutoff rigidities, as well as between geomagnetic Dst index and interplanetary parameters have been investigated. Correlation coefficients between the cutoff rigidities obtained by the trajectory tracing method and the spectrographic global survey method have been found to be in the limits of 0.76–0.89 for all stations except the low-latitude station Tokyo (0.35). The most pronounced correlation has been revealed between the cutoff rigidities that exhibited a very large variation of 1–1.5 GV during the magnetic storm, and the Dst index.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 42-45
Author(s):  
Anton Zverev ◽  
Vladislav Grigoryev ◽  
Peter Gololobov ◽  
Sergei Starodubtsev

SB RAS, using data from the NMDB database, has implemented continuous monitoring of the dynamics of cosmic ray (CR) distribution parameters and the automatic forecasting of geomagnetic disturbance. Monitoring is based on the global survey method, which considers the world-wide network of neutron monitors as a single device oriented in different directions at each measured time. This method provides real-time parameters of nine components of the first two angular moments of the CR distribution function for each hour of observation. This paper discusses methodological aspects related to the use of the global survey method and some results of the forecasting of geomagnetic disturbances for 2017–2018.


Solar Physics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 293 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Belov ◽  
E. Eroshenko ◽  
V. Yanke ◽  
V. Oleneva ◽  
A. Abunin ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 58 (3) ◽  
pp. 356-372 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. V. Belov ◽  
E. A. Eroshenko ◽  
V. G. Yanke ◽  
V. A. Oleneva ◽  
M. A. Abunina ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 110-115
Author(s):  
Владислав Григорьев ◽  
Vladislav Grigoryev ◽  
Сергей Стародубцев ◽  
Sergei Starodubtsev ◽  
Петр Гололобов ◽  
...  

A method for forecasting geomagnetic storms using the realization of the global survey method in real time is presented. The method is based on data from the worldwide network of neutron monitors NMDB. Using this method, we analyze the behavior of components of three-dimensional angular distribution of cosmic rays in the interplanetary medium, which were due to the first two spherical harmonics, over the period from 2013 to 2018. We have established that the main parameters that respond to the arrival of geoeffective disturbances of the interplanetary medium at Earth are changes in amplitudes of zonal (north-south) components of cosmic ray distribution. In order to select effective criteria for identifying predictors of geomagnetic disturbances and their possible temporal variations, we have made a retrospective analysis of the relationship between behaviors of the above components and geomagnetic disturbances occurring during the period of interest.


Author(s):  
Petr Yu Gololobov ◽  
Sergey A. Starodubtsev ◽  
Vladislav G. Grigoryev ◽  
Anton S. Zverev

The method of a global survey developed in the 1970s allows using a world-wide network of neutron monitor stations as a single multidirectional device. Wherein, receiving characteristics of each device, which reflects their geometries and geographical positions, are taken into account. Such an approach makes it possible to define the first two angular moments of the distribution function of cosmic rays in the interplanetary space at each hour of observation. With the creation in 2008/2009 and subsequent development of an international database of neutron monitors NMDB, for the first time it appeared an opportunity to use the global survey method in real-time mode. Such a situation creates a unique possibility to use the results not only for scienti- fic researches but also for space weather forecasting. To use the data of the world-wide network of neutron monitors it is necessary to carry preliminary preparations. Thereby, in the current work, the main attention is attracted to a solution to some practical questions that arise when using the NMDB in real-time.


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