Optimization model of electrification ratio using solar photovoltaic: case study in Kupang Regency

The Electrification ratio in Indonesia is 89.10%, which means there are 7, 245,728 of 66, 489,400 households don’t have access to Electrical Energy Sources (EES). Kupang Regency is one of the Regency in Indonesia which has a low electrification ratio. 29,542 of 78,109 households haven't access to EES spread over 29 villages (electrification ratio of 62%). Solar Photovoltaic in Kupang Regency 5 MWp capacity has been operating but directly connected (On-Grid) to the State Electricity Company (PLN), it is not able to help rural communities that are difficulties to reach due to its geographical conditions. The aim of this research was design the electrification ratio optimization model with the consideration of CO2 emission reduction using Solar Photovoltaic. The method of research using dynamic modeling approach. The result of the research shows that electrification ratio can be achieved optimum estimated in 2020-2021 if the addition of capable power each year 4,000 kW. The addition of capable power 2,000 kW/year, can reach the optimum electrification ratio in 2023-2024 and if the addition of capable power is only 1,000 kW/year, the optimum electrification ratio can be achieved in 2030-2031. Diversification of DPG into Solar PV can reduce CO2 emissions by 98.8%.