scholarly journals Determining the economic impact of cryptocurrency adoption on international trade from a gravity model framework

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric R. Chen

As cryptocurrencies develop and circulate at greater rates, countries have appeared to consider the technology as an adoptable medium of exchange. By expanding the influence of cryptocurrencies through adoption, countries raise its impact on the global economy. This paper is the first to apply an augmented version of the gravity model to examine the effects of global cryptocurrency adoption on international trade. This empirical study involves aggregating datasets on U.S. bilateral trade flows, gravity variable statistics, and the adoption of cryptocurrencies. In application of the gravity model, regression analyses are used on the aggregated data to test the magnitude of cryptocurrencies’ impact on trade. Based on the overall findings, the variables for cryptocurrency adoption produce negative coefficients suggesting a negative correlation between the adoption of cryptocurrencies and international trade. The central tendency in the empirical evidence offers the interpretation that countries with weak institutions to promote trade are more likely to adopt cryptocurrencies resulting in a negative association between cryptocurrency adoption and trade.

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 415-437 ◽  
Author(s):  
MAURO VIGANI ◽  
VALENTINA RAIMONDI ◽  
ALESSANDRO OLPER

AbstractThis paper quantifies the effect of GMO regulation on bilateral trade flows of agricultural products. We develop a composite index of GMO regulations and using a gravity model we show that bilateral differences in GMO regulation negatively affect trade flows. This effect is especially driven by labeling, approval process, and traceability. Our results are robust to the endogeneity of GMO standards to trade flows.


2009 ◽  
Vol 14 (Special Edition) ◽  
pp. 87-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Musleh-ud Din Musleh-ud Din ◽  
Ejaz Ghani ◽  
Usman Qadir

This paper examines the prospects of expanding bilateral trade between Pakistan and China particularly in the context of the recently signed free trade agreement between the two countries. Using the augmented gravity model in the tradition of Rose (2004), the paper shows that there is significant potential for the expansion of bilateral trade between the two countries as a result of the free trade agreement. The paper also analyzes bilateral trade flows between the two countries in terms of a trade specialization index and the Grubel-Lloyd index of intra-industry trade. We show that bilateral trade between the two countries is heavily tilted in favor of China and that this situation may persist in the short term.


1997 ◽  
Vol 91 (1) ◽  
pp. 94-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward D. Mansfield ◽  
Rachel Bronson

We analyze the effects of alliances and preferential trading arrangements on bilateral trade flows. Both factors are likely to promote trade among members, but we argue that the interaction between them is central to explaining patterns of commerce. The combination of an alliance, which creates political incentives for participants to engage in trade, and a commercial institution, which liberalizes trade among members, is expected to provide a considerable impetus to commerce among parties to both. The results of our quantitative analyses support these arguments. Both alliances and preferential trading arrangements strongly affected trade from 1960 to 1990, and allies that included a major power conducted considerably more trade than their nonmajor-power counterparts. Moreover, the interaction between alliances and preferential trading arrangements is fundamental to explaining patterns of bilateral commerce: Parties to a common preferential trading arrangement and a common alliance engage in markedly greater trade than do members of either type of institution but not both.


2005 ◽  
Vol 50 (166) ◽  
pp. 149-178
Author(s):  
Radmila Dragutinovic-Mitrovic

This work deals with econometric modeling of bilateral trade flows based on gravity model. Standard approach in most of previous empirical researches consisted of estimating bilateral trade potentials using gravity model and analysis of differences between the observed and predicted (potential) trade flows. Large differences were interpreted as the unexhausted foreign trade potentials. This work considers some limitations and problems of such approach mostly based on cross-section data. We consider alternative gravity model specifications with panel data and estimating procedures, as appropriate base for more precise estimates and conclusions. Furthermore, both theoretical and empirical analysis of econometric problems in panel data gravity model are carried out. Some of those problems have considered partially in previous empirical researches (for example autocorrelation in panels), but some of them have not considered at all, such as double endogenous regressors. Empirical results show that mentioned problems cause biased regression parameters estimates and consequently systematic variations of gravity model residuals (large systematic differences between observed and predicted). This makes conclusions on trade potentials between countries imprecise and unreliable.


2005 ◽  
Vol 50 (167) ◽  
pp. 77-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Radmila Dragutinovic-Mitrovic

This work deals with econometric modeling of bilateral trade flows based on gravity model. Standard approach in most of previous empirical researches consisted of estimating bilateral trade potentials using gravity model and analysis of differences between the observed and predicted (potential) trade flows. Large differences were interpreted as the unexhausted foreign trade potentials. This work considers some limitations and problems of such approach mostly based on cross-section data. We consider alternative gravity model specifications with panel data and estimating procedures, as appropriate base for more precise estimates and conclusions. Furthermore, both theoretical and empirical analysis of econometric problems in panel data gravity model are carried out. Some of those problems have considered partially in previous empirical researches (for example autocorrelation in panels), but some of them have not considered at all, such as double endogenous regressors. Empirical results show that mentioned problems cause biased regression parameters estimates and consequently systematic variations of gravity model residuals (large systematic differences between observed and predicted). This makes conclusions on trade potentials between countries imprecise and unreliable.


2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 2540-2549
Author(s):  
Laetitia Byukusenge ◽  
Song Wei ◽  
Delphine Tuyishime

Previous studies have shown that the geographic distance is among the factors that can typically results in diminished trade flows between two or more countries. As the international trade is one among the public policies, the governments of countries have to take control policies about their imports and exports after signing some trade contracts or agreements of eliminating trade barriers between trade countries. This paper analyzes and compares how the geographic distance affects the international trade flows of developed and developing countries‟ economies and becomes the obstacle to the developing countries to achieve their objectives and goals in eliminating trade barriers between their trading partners. The gravity model with panel data sets for period of 2008 to 2011 are used to determine the geographic distance effects in those countries. The sample size is bilateral trade flows of eight developing countries with lower income of EAC and two developed countries and one developing country with middle income of NAFTA. The study discovers that the various factors influence the geographic distance effects on international trade flows of developed and developing countries in different ways. This paper recommends that the signed policies between countries should be observed, maintained and followed in order to achieve expected objectives.


2021 ◽  
Vol Volume II (December 2021) ◽  
pp. 128-142
Author(s):  
Le Khuong Ninh ◽  
Phan Anh Tu ◽  
Pham Thi Nhu Hao

This study uses the gravity model to investigate the bilateral trade flows between Vietnam and 52 countries from 2001 through 2011. The data are collected from International Trade Centre (ITC), International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the World Bank (WB). The results show that economic size, geographical distance, economic distance, technological innovation, trade openness, free trade agreement, population, exchange rate, and common border affect the bilateral trade flows between Vietnam and these 52 countries. More importantly, this study uses the speed-of-convergence method to find new potential trading partners for Vietnam, such as those in Africa and Southwest Asia.


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