scholarly journals Antarctic glacier-tongue velocities from Landsat images: first results

1993 ◽  
Vol 17 ◽  
pp. 356-366 ◽  
Author(s):  
B.K. Lucchitta ◽  
Κ.F. Mullins ◽  
A.L. Allison ◽  
J.G. Ferrigno

We measured the velocities of six glacier tongues and a few tongues within ice shelves distributed around the Antarctic coastline by determining the displacement of crevasse patterns seen on sequential Landsat images. The velocities range from less than 0.2 km a−1 for East Antarctic ice-shelf tongues to more than 2.5 km a−1 for the Thwaites Glacier Tongue. All glacier tongues show increases in velocity toward their distal margins. In general, the tongues of glaciers draining the West Antarctic ice sheet have moved significantly faster than those in East Antarctica. This observation may be significant in light of the hypothesized possible disintegration of the West Antarctic ice sheet.

1993 ◽  
Vol 17 ◽  
pp. 356-366 ◽  
Author(s):  
B.K. Lucchitta ◽  
Κ.F. Mullins ◽  
A.L. Allison ◽  
J.G. Ferrigno

We measured the velocities of six glacier tongues and a few tongues within ice shelves distributed around the Antarctic coastline by determining the displacement of crevasse patterns seen on sequential Landsat images. The velocities range from less than 0.2 km a−1 for East Antarctic ice-shelf tongues to more than 2.5 km a−1 for the Thwaites Glacier Tongue. All glacier tongues show increases in velocity toward their distal margins. In general, the tongues of glaciers draining the West Antarctic ice sheet have moved significantly faster than those in East Antarctica. This observation may be significant in light of the hypothesized possible disintegration of the West Antarctic ice sheet.


1978 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 150-170 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert H. Thomas ◽  
Charles R. Bentley

Marine ice sheets are grounded on land which was below sea level before it became depressed under the ice-sheet load. They are inherently unstable and, because of bedrock topography after depression, the collapse of a marine ice sheet may be very rapid. In this paper equations are derived that can be used to make a quantitative estimate of the maximum size of a marine ice sheet and of when and how rapidly retreat would take place under prescribed conditions. Ice-sheet growth is favored by falling sea level and uplift of the seabed. In most cases the buttressing effect of a partially grounded ice shelf is a prerequisite for maximum growth out to the edge of the continental shelf. Collapse is triggered most easily by eustatic rise in sea level, but it is possible that the ice sheet may self-destruct by depressing the edge of the continental shelf so that sea depth is increased at the equilibrium grounding line.Application of the equations to a hypothetical “Ross Ice Sheet” that 18,000 yr ago may have covered the present-day Ross Ice Shelf indicates that, if the ice sheet existed, it probably extended to a line of sills parallel to the edge of the Ross Sea continental shelf. By allowing world sea level to rise from its late-Wisconsin minimum it was possible to calculate retreat rates for individual ice streams that drained the “Ross Ice Sheet.” For all the models tested, retreat began soon after sea level began to rise (∼15,000 yr B.P.). The first 100 km of retreat took between 1500 and 2500 yr but then retreat rates rapidly accelerated to between 0.5 and 25 km yr−1, depending on whether an ice shelf was present or not, with corresponding ice velocities across the grounding line of 4 to 70 km yr−1. All models indicate that most of the present-day Ross Ice Shelf was free of grounded ice by about 7000 yr B.P. As the ice streams retreated floating ice shelves may have formed between promontories of slowly collapsing stagnant ice left behind by the rapidly retreating ice streams. If ice shelves did not form during retreat then the analysis indicates that most of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet would have collapsed by 9000 yr B.P. Thus, the present-day Ross Ice Shelf (and probably the Ronne Ice Shelf) serves to stabilize the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, which would collapse very rapidly if the ice shelves were removed. This provides support for the suggestion that the 6-m sea-level high during the Sangamon Interglacial was caused by collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet after climatic warming had sufficiently weakened the ice shelves. Since the West Antarctic Ice Sheet still exists it seems likely that ice shelves did form during Holocene retreat. Their effect was to slow and, finally, to halt retreat. The models that best fit available data require a rather low shear stress between the ice shelf and its sides, and this implies that rapid shear in this region encouraged the formation of a band of ice with a preferred crystal fabric, as appears to be happening today in the floating portions of fast bounded glaciers.Rebound of the seabed after the ice sheet had retreated to an equilibrium position would allow the ice sheet to advance once more. This may be taking place today since analysis of data from the Ross Ice Shelf indicates that the southeast corner is probably growing thicker with time, and if this persists then large areas of ice shelf must become grounded. This would restrict drainage from West Antarctic ice streams which would tend to thicken and advance their grounding lines into the ice shelf.


1983 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 302-302 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. R. MacAyeal

A collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet due to warming by atmospheric carbon dioxide is a potential threat to mankind because low-lying land would be flooded by rising sea-level. Intervention would be possible by creating one or several artifical ice rises on the floating ice shelves surrounding the West Antarctic ice sheet. Ice rises are places where the ice shelf has run aground locally on the sea bed. Existing ice rises obstruct ice flow and are responsible for maintaining the ice sheet in its present stable condition. An artificial ice rise could be created by (1) drilling a hole through the ice shelf in a choice position such as over a sea-bed ridge, (2) pumping large volumes of sea-water from beneath the ice shelf so as to flood the surface, and (3) continuing to pump until the frozen sea-water has thickened the ice shelf by 100 m over an area of 100 km2. Approximately 1.6 × 106 kW of power would be required to accomplish the task in ten years. This would cost approximately 20 × 109 US dollars.


2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (260) ◽  
pp. 891-904 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sainan Sun ◽  
Frank Pattyn ◽  
Erika G. Simon ◽  
Torsten Albrecht ◽  
Stephen Cornford ◽  
...  

AbstractAntarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their ‘buttressing’ effect, causing a response in the grounded ice. While the processes governing ice-shelf weakening are complex, uncertainties in the response of the grounded ice sheet are also difficult to assess. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) compares ice-sheet model responses to decrease in buttressing by investigating the ‘end-member’ scenario of total and sustained loss of ice shelves. Although unrealistic, this scenario enables gauging the sensitivity of an ensemble of 15 ice-sheet models to a total loss of buttressing, hence exhibiting the full potential of marine ice-sheet instability. All models predict that this scenario leads to multi-metre (1–12 m) sea-level rise over 500 years from present day. West Antarctic ice sheet collapse alone leads to a 1.91–5.08 m sea-level rise due to the marine ice-sheet instability. Mass loss rates are a strong function of the sliding/friction law, with plastic laws cause a further destabilization of the Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins, East Antarctica. Improvements to marine ice-sheet models have greatly reduced variability between modelled ice-sheet responses to extreme ice-shelf loss, e.g. compared to the SeaRISE assessments.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 1579-1600 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. L. Cornford ◽  
D. F. Martin ◽  
A. J. Payne ◽  
E. G. Ng ◽  
A. M. Le Brocq ◽  
...  

Abstract. We use the BISICLES adaptive mesh ice sheet model to carry out one, two, and three century simulations of the fast-flowing ice streams of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, deploying sub-kilometer resolution around the grounding line since coarser resolution results in substantial underestimation of the response. Each of the simulations begins with a geometry and velocity close to present-day observations, and evolves according to variation in meteoric ice accumulation rates and oceanic ice shelf melt rates. Future changes in accumulation and melt rates range from no change, through anomalies computed by atmosphere and ocean models driven by the E1 and A1B emissions scenarios, to spatially uniform melt rate anomalies that remove most of the ice shelves over a few centuries. We find that variation in the resulting ice dynamics is dominated by the choice of initial conditions and ice shelf melt rate and mesh resolution, although ice accumulation affects the net change in volume above flotation to a similar degree. Given sufficient melt rates, we compute grounding line retreat over hundreds of kilometers in every major ice stream, but the ocean models do not predict such melt rates outside of the Amundsen Sea Embayment until after 2100. Within the Amundsen Sea Embayment the largest single source of variability is the onset of sustained retreat in Thwaites Glacier, which can triple the rate of eustatic sea level rise.


1983 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 302 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. R. MacAyeal

A collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet due to warming by atmospheric carbon dioxide is a potential threat to mankind because low-lying land would be flooded by rising sea-level. Intervention would be possible by creating one or several artifical ice rises on the floating ice shelves surrounding the West Antarctic ice sheet. Ice rises are places where the ice shelf has run aground locally on the sea bed. Existing ice rises obstruct ice flow and are responsible for maintaining the ice sheet in its present stable condition. An artificial ice rise could be created by (1) drilling a hole through the ice shelf in a choice position such as over a sea-bed ridge, (2) pumping large volumes of sea-water from beneath the ice shelf so as to flood the surface, and (3) continuing to pump until the frozen sea-water has thickened the ice shelf by 100 m over an area of 100 km2. Approximately 1.6 × 106 kW of power would be required to accomplish the task in ten years. This would cost approximately 20 × 109 US dollars.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tanja Schlemm ◽  
Johannes Feldmann ◽  
Ricarda Winkelmann ◽  
Anders Levermann

Abstract. Due to global warming and particularly high regional ocean warming, both Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers in the Amundsen region of the Antarctic Ice Sheet could lose their buttressing ice shelves over time. We analyze the possible consequences using the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM), applying a simple cliff-calving parameterization and an ice-mélange-buttressing model. We find that the instantaneous loss of ice-shelf buttressing, due to enforced ice-shelf melting, initiates grounding line retreat and triggers the marine ice sheet instability (MISI). As a consequence, the grounding line progresses into the interior of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet and leads to a sea level contribution of 0.6 m within 100 a. By subjecting the exposed ice cliffs to cliff calving using our simplified parameterization, we also analyze the marine ice cliff instability (MICI). In our simulations it can double or even triple the sea level contribution depending on the only loosely constraint parameter which determines the maximum cliff-calving rate. The speed of MICI depends on this upper bound on the calving rate which is given by the ice mélange buttressing the glacier. However, stabilization of MICI may occur for geometric reasons. Since the embayment geometry changes as MICI advances into the interior of the ice sheet, the upper bound on calving rates is reduced and the progress of MICI is slowed down. Although we cannot claim that our simulations bear relevant quantitative estimates of the effect of ice-mélange buttressing on MICI, the mechanism has the potential to stop the instability. Further research is needed to evaluate its role for the past and future evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diarmuid Corr ◽  
Amber Leeson ◽  
Malcolm McMillan ◽  
Ce Zhang ◽  
Thomas Barnes

Abstract. Quantifying the extent and distribution of supraglacial hydrology, i.e. lakes and streams, is important for understanding the mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet, and its consequent contribution to global sea level rise. The existence of meltwater on the ice surface has the potential to affect ice shelf stability and grounded ice flow, through hydrofracturing and the associated delivery of meltwater to the bed. In this study, we systematically map all observable supraglacial lakes and streams in West Antarctica, by applying a semi-automated Dual-NDWI (Normalised Difference Water Index) approach to > 2000 images acquired by the Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8 satellites during January 2017. We use a K-Means clustering method to partition water into lakes and streams, which is important for understanding the dynamics and inter-connectivity of the hydrological system. When compared to a manually-delineated reference dataset on three Antarctic test sites, our approach achieves average values for sensitivity (85.3 % and 77.6 %), specificity (99.1 % and 99.7 %) and accuracy (98.7 % and 98.3 %) for Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8 acquisitions, respectively. In total, we identified 10,478 supraglacial features (10,223 lakes and 255 channels) on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) and Antarctic Peninsula (AP), with a combined area of 119.4 km2 (114.7 km2 lakes, 4.7 km2 channels). 27.3 % of feature area was found on grounded ice, 17.8 % of feature area comprised lakes which crossed the grounding line, while 54.9 % of feature area was found on floating ice shelves. New continental-scale inventories such as these, the first produced for WAIS and AP, are made possible by the recent expansion in satellite data provision. The inventories provide a baseline for future studies and a benchmark to monitor the development of Antarctica’s surface hydrology in a warming world, and thus enhance our capability to predict the collapse of ice shelves in the future. The dataset is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5109856 (Corr et al., 2021).


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mackenzie Grieman ◽  
Helene Hoffmann ◽  
Jack Humby ◽  
Robert Mulvaney ◽  
Christoph Nehrbass-Ahles ◽  
...  

<p>The aim of the WArm Climate Stability of the West Antarctic ice sheet in the last INterglacial (WACSWAIN) project is to investigate the possible collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) and its surrounding ice shelves during the Last Interglacial (~120,000 years ago).  As part of this project, a 651-meter ice core was drilled to bedrock at Skytrain Ice Rise in Antarctica during the 2018/2019 field season.  Ions and elements originating from marine sources along with water isotope content in this ice core can be used to infer changes in ice sheet and ice shelf extent.  The stable water isotope signal has the potential to capture both regional climate change and changes in the elevation of the drilling site through time.  Marine chemical content in the ice core could indicate variability in the proximity of the site to a marine environment.  Water isotopes and chemical impurities in the ice core were analysed continuously using cavity ring down spectroscopy and inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry, respectively. As expected, δ<sup>18</sup>O and δD increase from the last glacial maximum to the Holocene.  δ<sup>18</sup>O and δD increase and sodium and magnesium levels decline from deglaciation into the early Holocene. δ<sup>18</sup>O and δD show an abrupt increase in the early Holocene at about 8,000 years before present.  Sea salt similarly increases 2-fold and becomes more variable about 1,000 years later (7,000 years before present).  These increases could indicate a retreat of the ice shelf to its current position.</p>


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