scholarly journals Electricity Theft Detection in Power Consumption Data Based on Adaptive Tuning Recurrent Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guoying Lin ◽  
Haoyang Feng ◽  
Xiaofeng Feng ◽  
Hongwu Wen ◽  
Yuanzheng Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Power Consumption ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Basic Unit ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Adaptive Tuning ◽  
Electricity Theft ◽  
Consumption Data ◽  
Electricity Power

Electricity theft behavior has serious influence on the normal operation of power grid and the economic benefits of power enterprises. Intelligent anti-power-theft algorithm is required for monitoring the power consumption data to recognize electricity power theft. In this paper, an adaptive time-series recurrent neural network (TSRNN) architecture was built up to detect the abnormal users (i.e., the electricity theft users) in time-series data of the power consumption. In fusion with the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm, a batch of virtual abnormal observations were generated as the implementation for training the TSRNN model. The power consumption record was characterized with the sharp data (ARP), the peak data (PEA), and the shoulder data (SHO). In the TSRNN architectural framework, a basic network unit was formed with three input nodes linked to one hidden neuron for extracting data features from the three characteristic variables. For time-series analysis, the TSRNN structure was re-formed by circulating the basic unit. Each hidden node was designed receiving data from both the current input neurons and the time-former neuron, thus to form a combination of network linking weights for adaptive tuning. The optimization of the TSRNN model is to automatically search for the most suitable values of these linking weights driven by the collected and simulated data. The TSRNN model was trained and optimized with a high discriminant accuracy of 95.1%, and evaluated to have 89.3% accuracy. Finally, the optimized TSRNN model was used to predict the 47 real abnormal samples, resulting in having only three samples false predicted. These experimental results indicated that the proposed adaptive TSRNN architecture combined with SMOTE is feasible to identify the abnormal electricity theft behavior. It is prospective to be applied to online monitoring of distributed analysis of large-scale electricity power consumption data.

scholarly journals Research on maintenance spare parts requirement prediction based on LSTM recurrent neural network

Open Physics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 618-627
Author(s):  
Weixing Song ◽  
Jingjing Wu ◽  
Jianshe Kang ◽  
Jun Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Spare Parts ◽  
Performance Comparison ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Generalized Regression Neural Network ◽  
Particle Swarm Algorithm

Abstract The aim of this study was to improve the low accuracy of equipment spare parts requirement predicting, which affects the quality and efficiency of maintenance support, based on the summary and analysis of the existing spare parts requirement predicting research. This article introduces the current latest popular long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm which has the best effect on time series data processing to equipment spare parts requirement predicting, according to the time series characteristics of spare parts consumption data. A method for predicting the requirement for maintenance spare parts based on the LSTM recurrent neural network is proposed, and the network structure is designed in detail, the realization of network training and network prediction is given. The advantages of particle swarm algorithm are introduced to optimize the network parameters, and actual data of three types of equipment spare parts consumption are used for experiments. The performance comparison of predictive models such as BP neural network, generalized regression neural network, wavelet neural network, and squeeze-and-excitation network prove that the new method is effective and provides an effective method for scientifically predicting the requirement for maintenance spare parts and improving the quality of equipment maintenance.

scholarly journals Long Short Term Memory Recurrent Network for Standard and Poor’s 500 Index Modelling

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.15) ◽  
pp. 25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Said Jadid Abdulkadir ◽  
Hitham Alhussian ◽  
Muhammad Nazmi ◽  
Asim A Elsheikh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Forecasting time-series data are imperative especially when planning is required through modelling using uncertain knowledge of future events. Recurrent neural network models have been applied in the industry and outperform standard artificial neural networks in forecasting, but fail in long term time-series forecasting due to the vanishing gradient problem. This study offers a robust solution that can be implemented for long-term forecasting using a special architecture of recurrent neural network known as Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model to overcome the vanishing gradient problem. LSTM is specially designed to avoid the long-term dependency problem as their default behavior. Empirical analysis is performed using quantitative forecasting metrics and comparative model performance on the forecasted outputs. An evaluation analysis is performed to validate that the LSTM model provides better forecasted outputs on Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) in terms of error metrics as compared to other forecasting models.  

scholarly journals Development and Evaluation of Recurrent Neural Network-Based Models for Hourly Traffic Volume and Annual Average Daily Traffic Prediction

2019 ◽  
Vol 2673 (7) ◽  
pp. 489-503 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zadid Khan ◽  
Sakib Mahmud Khan ◽  
Kakan Dey ◽  
Mashrur Chowdhury
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Volume ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Annual Average ◽  
Forecasting Models ◽  
Annual Average Daily Traffic ◽  
Better Than ◽  
Temporal Dependencies

The prediction of high-resolution hourly traffic volumes of a given roadway is essential for transportation planning. Traditionally, automatic traffic recorders (ATR) are used to collect these hourly volume data. These large datasets are time-series data characterized by long-term temporal dependencies and missing values. Regarding the temporal dependencies, all roadways are characterized by seasonal variations that can be weekly, monthly or yearly, depending on the cause of the variation. Traditional time-series forecasting models perform poorly when they encounter missing data in the dataset. To address this limitation, robust, recurrent neural network (RNN)-based, multi-step-ahead forecasting models are developed for time-series in this study. The simple RNN, the gated recurrent unit (GRU) and the long short-term memory (LSTM) units are used to develop the forecasting models and evaluate their performance. Two approaches are used to address the missing value issue: masking and imputation, in conjunction with the RNN models. Six different imputation algorithms are then used to identify the best model. The analysis indicates that the LSTM model performs better than simple RNN and GRU models, and imputation performs better than masking to predict future traffic volume. Based on analysis using 92 ATRs, the LSTM-Median model is deemed the best model in all scenarios for hourly traffic volume and annual average daily traffic (AADT) prediction, with an average root mean squared error (RMSE) of 274 and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 18.91% for hourly traffic volume prediction and average RMSE of 824 and MAPE of 2.10% for AADT prediction.

scholarly journals Predicting machine failure using recurrent neural network-gated recurrent unit (RNN-GRU) through time series data

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 870-878
Author(s):  
Zainuddin Z. ◽  
P. Akhir E. A. ◽  
Hasan M. H.
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
The State ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Machine Failure ◽  
Gated Recurrent Unit

Time series data often involves big size environment that lead to high dimensionality problem. Many industries are generating time series data that continuously update each second. The arising of machine learning may help in managing the data. It can forecast future instance while handling large data issues. Forecasting is related to predicting task of an upcoming event to avoid any circumstances happen in current environment. It helps those sectors such as production to foresee the state of machine in line with saving the cost from sudden breakdown as unplanned machine failure can disrupt the operation and loss up to millions. Thus, this paper offers a deep learning algorithm named recurrent neural network-gated recurrent unit (RNN-GRU) to forecast the state of machines producing the time series data in an oil and gas sector. RNN-GRU is an affiliation of recurrent neural network (RNN) that can control consecutive data due to the existence of update and reset gates. The gates decided on the necessary information to be kept in the memory. RNN-GRU is a simpler structure of long short-term memory (RNN-LSTM) with 87% of accuracy on prediction.

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