scholarly journals Soft Computing of a Medically Important Arthropod Vector with Autoregressive Recurrent and Focused Time Delay Artificial Neural Networks

Insects ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 503
Author(s):  
Petros Damos ◽  
José Tuells ◽  
Pablo Caballero

A central issue of public health strategies is the availability of decision tools to be used in the preventive management of the transmission cycle of vector-borne diseases. In this work, we present, for the first time, a soft system computing modeling approach using two dynamic artificial neural network (ANNs) models to describe and predict the non-linear incidence and time evolution of a medically important mosquito species, Culex sp., in Northern Greece. The first model is an exogenous non-linear autoregressive recurrent neural network (NARX), which is designed to take as inputs the temperature as an exogenous variable and mosquito abundance as endogenous variable. The second model is a focused time-delay neural network (FTD), which takes into account only the temperature variable as input to provide forecasts of the mosquito abundance as the target variable. Both models behaved well considering the non-linear nature of the adult mosquito abundance data. Although, the NARX model predicted slightly better (R = 0.623) compared to the FTD model (R = 0.534), the advantage of the FTD over the NARX neural network model is that it can be applied in the case where past values of the population system, here mosquito abundance, are not available for their forecasting.

Author(s):  
Senthil Kumar Arumugasamy ◽  
Zainal Ahmad

Process control in the field of chemical engineering has always been a challenging task for the chemical engineers. Hence, the majority of processes found in the chemical industries are non-linear and in these cases the performance of the linear models can be inadequate. Recently a promising alternative modelling technique, artificial neural networks (ANNs), has found numerous applications in representing non-linear functional relationships between variables. A feedforward multi-layered neural network is a highly connected set of elementary non-linear neurons. Model-based control techniques were developed to obtain tighter control. Many model-based control schemes have been proposed to incorporate a process model into a control system. Among them, model predictive control (MPC) is the most common scheme. MPC is a general and mathematically feasible scheme to integrate our knowledge about a target, process controller design and operation, which allows flexible and efficient exploitation of our understanding of a target, and thus produces optimal performance of a system under various constraints. The need to handle some difficult control problems has led us to use ANN in MPC and has recently attracted a great deal of attention. The efficacy of the neural predictive control with the ability to perform comparably to the non linear neural network strategy in both set point tracking and disturbance rejection proves to have less computation expense for the neural predictive control. The neural network model predictive control (NNMPC) method has less perturbations and oscillations when dealing with noise as compared to the PI controllers.


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