scholarly journals Three Essays on Stopping

Risks ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 105
Author(s):  
Eberhard Mayerhofer

First, we give a closed-form formula for first passage time of a reflected Brownian motion with drift. This corrects a formula by Perry et al. (2004). Second, we show that the maximum before a fixed drawdown is exponentially distributed for any drawdown, if and only if the diffusion characteristic μ / σ 2 is constant. This complements the sufficient condition formulated by Lehoczky (1977). Third, we give an alternative proof for the fact that the maximum before a fixed drawdown is exponentially distributed for any spectrally negative Lévy process, a result due to Mijatović and Pistorius (2012). Our proof is similar, but simpler than Lehoczky (1977) or Landriault et al. (2017).

2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (05) ◽  
pp. 1650036 ◽  
Author(s):  
WEIPING LI ◽  
TIM KREHBIEL

We provide (i) a simplified analytic closed form formula for evaluating joint default probability, (ii) an improved method to resolve the inconsistency between the univariate process underlying firm-specific default probability and the correlated bivariate process of the first-passage-time default correlation model, (iii) illustration of risk management implications from misspecification of the default state space. Our closed form formula provides a natural extension of previous structural first-passage-time models and shows the sensitivities of default correlation numerically with respect to the underlying asset correlation, obligor credit quality and time horizon. We emphasize the disparate credit risk management implications of our result in contrast to commonly used risk measurement methods.


2011 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 435-453 ◽  
Author(s):  
LEANDRO P. R. PIMENTEL

In this paper we study planar first-passage percolation (FPP) models on random Delaunay triangulations. In [14], Vahidi-Asl and Wierman showed, using sub-additivity theory, that the rescaled first-passage time converges to a finite and non-negative constant μ. We show a sufficient condition to ensure that μ>0 and derive some upper bounds for fluctuations. Our proofs are based on percolation ideas and on the method of martingales with bounded increments.


1980 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 777-782 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milan Šolc

The establishment of chemical equilibrium in a system with a reversible first order reaction is characterized in terms of the distribution of first passage times for the state of exact chemical equilibrium. The mean first passage time of this state is a linear function of the logarithm of the total number of particles in the system. The equilibrium fluctuations of composition in the system are characterized by the distribution of the recurrence times for the state of exact chemical equilibrium. The mean recurrence time is inversely proportional to the square root of the total number of particles in the system.


Author(s):  
Natalie Packham ◽  
Lutz Schloegl ◽  
Wolfgang M. Schmidt

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