scholarly journals Predicting Short-Term Subway Ridership and Prioritizing Its Influential Factors Using Gradient Boosting Decision Trees

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 1100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuan Ding ◽  
Donggen Wang ◽  
Xiaolei Ma ◽  
Haiying Li
2018 ◽  
Vol 51 ◽  
pp. 02004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanislav Eroshenko ◽  
Alexandra Khalyasmaa ◽  
Denis Snegirev

The paper presents the operational model of very-short term solar power stations (SPS) generation forecasting developed by the authors, based on weather information and built into the existing software product as a separate module for SPS operational forecasting. It was revealed that one of the optimal mathematical methods for SPS generation operational forecasting is gradient boosting on decision trees. The paper describes the basic principles of operational forecasting based on the boosting of decision trees, the main advantages and disadvantages of implementing this algorithm. Moreover, this paper presents an example of this algorithm implementation being analyzed using the example of data analysis and forecasting the generation of the existing SPS.


2018 ◽  
Vol 51 ◽  
pp. 02004
Author(s):  
Stanislav Eroshenko ◽  
Alexandra Khalyasmaa ◽  
Denis Snegirev

The paper presents the operational model of very-short term solar power stations (SPS) generation forecasting developed by the authors, based on weather information and built into the existing software product as a separate module for SPS operational forecasting. It was revealed that one of the optimal mathematical methods for SPS generation operational forecasting is gradient boosting on decision trees. The paper describes the basic principles of operational forecasting based on the boosting of decision trees, the main advantages and disadvantages of implementing this algorithm. Moreover, this paper presents an example of this algorithm implementation being analyzed using the example of data analysis and forecasting the generation of the existing SPS.


2017 ◽  
Vol 62 ◽  
pp. 3-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas E. Johnson ◽  
Olga Ianiuk ◽  
Daniel Cazap ◽  
Linglan Liu ◽  
Daniel Starobin ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 781-817 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ching-Pei Lee ◽  
Chih-Jen Lin

Linear rankSVM is one of the widely used methods for learning to rank. Although its performance may be inferior to nonlinear methods such as kernel rankSVM and gradient boosting decision trees, linear rankSVM is useful to quickly produce a baseline model. Furthermore, following its recent development for classification, linear rankSVM may give competitive performance for large and sparse data. A great deal of works have studied linear rankSVM. The focus is on the computational efficiency when the number of preference pairs is large. In this letter, we systematically study existing works, discuss their advantages and disadvantages, and propose an efficient algorithm. We discuss different implementation issues and extensions with detailed experiments. Finally, we develop a robust linear rankSVM tool for public use.


Author(s):  
Nino Antulov-Fantulin ◽  
Tian Guo ◽  
Fabrizio Lillo

AbstractWe study the problem of the intraday short-term volume forecasting in cryptocurrency multi-markets. The predictions are built by using transaction and order book data from different markets where the exchange takes place. Methodologically, we propose a temporal mixture ensemble, capable of adaptively exploiting, for the forecasting, different sources of data and providing a volume point estimate, as well as its uncertainty. We provide evidence of the clear outperformance of our model with respect to econometric models. Moreover our model performs slightly better than Gradient Boosting Machine while having a much clearer interpretability of the results. Finally, we show that the above results are robust also when restricting the prediction analysis to each volume quartile.


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