scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF LITHUANIAN CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 916-930 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arvydas Kregzde ◽  
Gediminas Murauskas

This paper studies international sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) market focusing attention to the CDS of Central and East Europe. The main purpose of the study was to perform detail analysis of Lithuanian CDS in the global capital market. We compared the CDS markets of other countries and found some commonalities between them. We study the credit curve produced by CDS and volatility of CDS. A great attention is paid to investigate the relationship of CDS and the government bond market. Analysis of finding a leading role of CDS and the bond markets in the price discovering process is made. A leading market for different periods is found by using the Vector Error Correction model. Our main finding is that during the volatile period price discovery takes place in the bond market and in the calm period price discovery is observed in the CDS market. Disclosed relationship between CDS spreads and Eurobonds yield risk premium gives an additional decision making tool for sovereign debt managers.

Author(s):  
M. Kabir Hassan ◽  
Geoffrey M. Ngene ◽  
Jung-Suk Yu

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 270 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ngan Bich Nguyen

This paper employs the multivariate VAR model to examine the mechanic work of price discovery process between sovereign CDS market and the associated sovereign bond market in contexts of five European and Asian countries, including Vietnam, Korea, Portugal, Italy and France from the beginning of 2008 to the end of April, 2017. The study accentuates on three aspects: the short-term interaction nexus between the sovereign CDS and the associated-sovereign bond market, the long-term co-movement between them and the discovery of which market plays the leading role in the pricing process. The results evidence the short-run and long-run relationship for the two markets. Particularly, the empirical test results support for the predominant role of the sovereign CDS market in the price discovery process in the bulk of sample entities. This might suggests for the governments to use CDS prices as the future indicator for predicting the volatility of debt markets.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (2) ◽  
pp. 3-27
Author(s):  
Sergey Drobyshevsky ◽  
Pavel Trunin ◽  
Lyudmila Gadiy ◽  
Mariya Chembulatova

The analysis of the international market for credit default swaps (CDS) shows that the interdependence of sovereign CDS spreads is increasing and the market remains segmented. However, the reduction in the variation of sovereign CDS spreads means increased competition for capital and should be taken into account by monetary authorities of developed countries when they tighten monetary policy. The article shows a significant role of political risks in determining the level of sovereign risk.


2013 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 87-104
Author(s):  
Rodrigo Olivares-Caminal ◽  
Kiriakos E Papadakis ◽  
Olga Galazoula ◽  
Ioannis Kokkoris

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 466-488
Author(s):  
Ioannis A. Tampakoudis ◽  
Andrius Tamošiūnas ◽  
Demetres N. Subeniotis ◽  
Ioannis G. Kroustalis

This study provides a dynamic analysis of the lead-lag relationship between sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) and bond spreads of the highly indebted southern European countries, considering an extensive time sample from the period before the global financial crisis to the latest developments of the sovereign indebtedness in the euro area. We employ an integrated price discovery methodology on a rolling sample, with the intention to shed light on whether the CDS spreads can trigger rises in bond spreads, and the relative efficiency of credit risk pricing in the CDS and bond markets. In addition, we attempt to depict the evolution of the price discovery process regarding the direction of influence from one market to the other. The rolling window analysis verifies that the price discovery process evolves over time, presenting frequent alternations concerning the leading market. We find that during periods of economic turbulence the CDS market leads the bond market in price discovery, incorporating the new information about sovereign credit risk faster and more efficiently than the bond market does. This regularity should be seriously considered by private and public participants as they make investment and funding decisions. Therefore, the motivation of our paper is to identify the dominant market in terms of price discovery during a period of economic turmoil and, thus, to provide insights for decision making to investment bodies and central governments.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document