Baseline Alligator Nesting Data in Arthur R. Marshall Loxahatchee National Wildlife Refuge to Inform Monitoring
Abstract Monitoring key ecological attributes helps land managers understand the current state of the resource and decide if management action is necessary. Baseline data on spatial and temporal variability of attributes to be monitored is important for development of successful monitoring programs. In this study, I collected data from 2000 to 2004 on American alligator Alligator mississippiensis nesting in the Arthur R. Marshall Loxahatchee National Wildlife Refuge to determine feasibility of conducting alligator nest surveys and collect baseline data on alligator nesting status and variability. I used nest data to provide examples of potential monitoring strategies for tracking trends over time or understanding the effects of different hydrologic conditions on alligator nesting. Conducting ground surveys with airboats in Arthur R. Marshall Loxahatchee National Wildlife Refuge proved to be an effective method of finding alligator nests. Number of nests per 1.6 km × 1.6 km (256-ha) plot ranged from 1 to 12, and by year from 28 to 53. Overall, average number of nests per hour ranged from 1.8 ± 0.26 (SE) in 2000 to a low of 0.84 ± 0.08 in 2004. Using data from this study for the six plots sampled each year, and assuming no change in variability, power analysis shows that 10 y of sampling would allow for detection of an annual 10% change in number of nests per hour, with power and level of certainty set equal at 90% (β and α both 0.10). Additionally, 15 y of data would allow for a detection of a 5% change per year. Thirty-seven plots per area would be necessary to assess a 40% difference in number of alligator nests per hour in areas with different hydrologic conditions with power and level of certainty at 90%. Land managers can use these data and analyses, along with examples of monitoring strategies, to guide development of more specific monitoring protocols that address restoration objectives and management actions throughout the Florida Everglades.