Comparative Study on Landslide Hazard Deformation Forecast Method

2012 ◽  
Vol 226-228 ◽  
pp. 1318-1321
Author(s):  
Hua Fu ◽  
Jing Li Yang ◽  
Jin Hua Zhang ◽  
Ming Wei Liu
Keyword(s):  
Comparative Study ◽  
Three Gorges Reservoir ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Landslide Hazard ◽  
Three Gorges Reservoir Area ◽  
Three Gorges ◽  
Reservoir Area ◽  
Gray Prediction ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Unstable Slope

The key problem which the control of landslide hazard is the prediction of landslide fatalness, successful landslide forecast can consumedly decrease the loss caused by landslide hazard. Landslide spatial forecast can determine the location of unstable slope. For a certain landslide in Three Gorges Reservoir area, according to the existing monitoring data and analysis methods, such as: nonlinear regression analysis method, exponential smoothing and gray prediction method, to forecast deformation tendency of landslide from quantitative point and take comparative study. Results indicate that the gray prediction method is more tally with the reality in the deformation prediction. It can provide reference for deformation forecast of similar landslide or slope prevention in chongqing and Three Gorges Reservoir area.

scholarly journals Evaluation of ESV Change under Urban Expansion Based on Ecological Sensitivity: A Case Study of Three Gorges Reservoir Area in China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 8490
Author(s):  
Hongjie Peng ◽  
Lei Hua ◽  
Xuesong Zhang ◽  
Xuying Yuan ◽  
Jianhao Li
Keyword(s):  
Three Gorges Reservoir ◽  
Urban Expansion ◽  
Urban Land ◽  
Three Gorges Reservoir Area ◽  
Three Gorges ◽  
Ecological Sensitivity ◽  
Reservoir Area ◽  
Green Development ◽  
Source Data

In recent years, ecosystem service values (ESV) have attracted much attention. However, studies that use ecological sensitivity methods as a basis for predicting future urban expansion and thus analyzing spatial-temporal change of ESV are scarce in the region. In this study, we used the CA-Markov model to predict the 2030 urban expansion under ecological sensitivity in the Three Gorges reservoir area based on multi-source data, estimations of ESV from 2000 to 2018 and predictions of ESV losses from 2018 to 2030. Research results: (i) In the concept of green development, the ecological sensitive zone has been identified in Three Gorges reservoir area; it accounts for about 35.86% of the study area. (ii) It is predicted that the 2030 urban land will reach 211,412.51 ha by overlaying the ecological sensitive zone. (iii) The total ESV of Three Gorges Reservoir area showed an increasing trend from 2000 to 2018 with growth values of about USD 3644.26 million, but the ESVs of 16 districts were decreasing, with Dadukou and Jiangbei having the highest reductions. (iv) New urban land increases by 80,026.02 ha from 2018 to 2030. The overall ESV losses are about USD 268.75 million. Jiulongpo, Banan and Shapingba had the highest ESV losses.

scholarly journals Effects of Landscape Positions and Landscape Types on Soil Properties and Chlorophyll Content of Citrus in a Sloping Orchard in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 4288
Author(s):  
Siyue Sun ◽  
Guolin Zhang ◽  
Tieguang He ◽  
Shufang Song ◽  
Xingbiao Chu
Keyword(s):  
Soil Properties ◽  
Chlorophyll Content ◽  
Three Gorges Reservoir ◽  
Slope Position ◽  
Three Gorges Reservoir Area ◽  
Three Gorges ◽  
Reservoir Area ◽  
The Three Gorges Reservoir ◽  
The Three Gorges ◽  
Landscape Types

In recent years, soil degradation and decreasing orchard productivity in the sloping orchards of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area of China have received considerable attention both inside and outside the country. More studies pay attention to the effects of topography on soil property changes, but less research is conducted from the landscape. Therefore, understanding the effects of landscape positions and landscape types on soil properties and chlorophyll content of citrus in a sloping orchard is of great significance in this area. Our results showed that landscape positions and types had a significant effect on the soil properties and chlorophyll content of citrus. The lowest soil nutrient content was detected in the upper slope position and sloping land, while the highest exists at the footslope and terraces. The chlorophyll content of citrus in the middle and upper landscape position was significantly higher than the footslope. The redundancy analysis showed that the first two ordination axes together accounted for 81.32% of the total variation, which could be explained by the changes of soil total nitrogen, total phosphorus, total potassium, available nitrogen, available potassium, organic matter, pH, and chlorophyll content of the citrus. Overall, this study indicates the significant influence of landscape positions and types on soil properties and chlorophyll content of citrus. Further, this study provides a reference for the determination of targeted land management measures and orchard landscape design so that the soil quality and orchard yield can be improved, and finally, the sustainable development of agriculture and ecology can be realized.

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