An Extrema Extension Method Based on Support Vector Regression for Restraining the End Effects in Empirical Mode Decomposition

2013 ◽  
Vol 404 ◽  
pp. 526-532 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Ming Xue ◽  
Jian Zhong Zhou ◽  
Yong Chuan Zhang ◽  
Xiao Jian ◽  
Xue Min Wang

The end effects is a serious problem in the applications of the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method. To deal with this problem, an extrema extension method based on the support vector regression (SVR) is proposed in this paper. In each iterating process of the EMD method, the SVR method is employed to predict one maximum and a minimum point respectively at the both ends of the original data series to form the relatively true upper and lower envelope, thus the end effects can be restrained effectively. The prediction of an extrema point includes two parts, the forecast of the extreme value and location. In contrast with other traditional extrema extension methods, such as the extrema mirror extension and linear fitting extension method, the decomposed results from the simulation and actual signals demonstrated that this proposed method has a better performance in eliminating the end effects related to the empirical mode decomposition.

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanmei Huang ◽  
Changrui Deng ◽  
Xiaoyuan Zhang ◽  
Yukun Bao

Purpose Despite the widespread use of univariate empirical mode decomposition (EMD) in financial market forecasting, the application of multivariate empirical mode decomposition (MEMD) has not been fully investigated. The purpose of this study is to forecast the stock price index more accurately, relying on the capability of MEMD in modeling the dependency between relevant variables. Design/methodology/approach Quantitative and comprehensive assessments were carried out to compare the performance of some selected models. Data for the assessments were collected from three major stock exchanges, namely, the standard and poor 500 index from the USA, the Hang Seng index from Hong Kong and the Shanghai Stock Exchange composite index from China. MEMD-based support vector regression (SVR) was used as the modeling framework, where MEMD was first introduced to simultaneously decompose the relevant covariates, including the opening price, the highest price, the lowest price, the closing price and the trading volume of a stock price index. Then, SVR was used to set up forecasting models for each component decomposed and another SVR model was used to generate the final forecast based on the forecasts of each component. This paper named this the MEMD-SVR-SVR model. Findings The results show that the MEMD-based modeling framework outperforms other selected competing models. As per the models using MEMD, the MEMD-SVR-SVR model excels in terms of prediction accuracy across the various data sets. Originality/value This research extends the literature of EMD-based univariate models by considering the scenario of multiple variables for improving forecasting accuracy and simplifying computability, which contributes to the analytics pool for the financial analysis community.


2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-16
Author(s):  
Irene Karijadi ◽  
Ig. Jaka Mulyana

Improving accuracy of wind power prediction is important to maintain power system stability. However, wind power prediction is difficult due to randomness and high volatility characteristics. This study applies a hybrid algorithm that combines ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and support vector regression (SVR) to develop a prediction model for wind power prediction. Ensemble empirical mode decomposition is employed to decompose original data into several Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMF). Finally, a prediction model using support vector regression is built for each IMF individually, and the prediction result of all IMFs is combined to obtain an aggregated output of wind power Numerical testing demonstrated that the proposed method can accurately predict the wind power in Belgian.


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