Mathematical Constraints Representation for Bottom-Up Approaches to Climate Policy Modeling

2013 ◽  
Vol 734-737 ◽  
pp. 3133-3136
Author(s):  
Hu Gon Kim ◽  
Yong Joo Chung ◽  
Chun Hyun Paik

For analyzing the effect of GHG abatement policies, bottom-up models including MARKAL, MESSAGE, AIM etc. are widely used. These models are normally based on LP(linear programming) optimization, and are trying to find both the minimal cost combination of technologies and energy flows while satisfying the demands. This study investigates representative constraints needed for analysing GHG abatement policies, proposes how to implement these constraints in bottom-up modeling.

2005 ◽  
pp. 211-238 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey Paltsev ◽  
Henry D. Jacoby ◽  
John M. Reilly ◽  
Laurent Viguier ◽  
Mustapha Babiker

Author(s):  
Geoffrey Morrison ◽  
Anthony Eggert ◽  
Sonia Yeh ◽  
Raphael Isaac ◽  
Christina Zapata

2017 ◽  
Vol 255 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhimin Huang ◽  
Yi-Ming Wei ◽  
Ke Wang ◽  
Hua Liao

2012 ◽  
Vol 03 (01) ◽  
pp. 1250004 ◽  
Author(s):  
ALEXANDER LORENZ ◽  
ELMAR KRIEGLER ◽  
HERMANN HELD ◽  
MATTHIAS G. W. SCHMIDT

We investigate the importance of explicitly accounting for uncertainty in the determination of optimal global climate policy. We demonstrate that the marginal risk premium determines the importance of adapting the optimal policy to uncertainty. Common integrated assessment models (IAM) of climate change suggest uncertainty has little effect because the marginal risk premium in these models is small. A rigorous investigation of the marginal risk premium and the marginal functional relationships within IAMs allows understanding the non-significance of (thin-tailed) uncertainty as a result of compensating factors in the climate cause-effect chain.


2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 71-75
Author(s):  
Y. S. Kucherov ◽  
R. V. Dopira ◽  
D. V. Yagolnikov ◽  
I. E. Yanochkin

The article proposes a method for solving the problem of choosing the element base and constructive solutions to ensure the required reliability of promising radio equipment at minimal cost. The problem belongs to the class of Boolean linear programming and is solved using the branch and bound method. The main idea of the branch and bound method is to determine the branching rule for assigning options and further evaluating the objective function on these subsets, which allows us to exclude from consideration subsets that do not contain optimal points. The task of increasing reliability can be solved by choosing more reliable elements and using the method of structural reservation of elements at the stage of product development. The results of using the proposed method to solve the practical problem of choosing the elements are presented.


Author(s):  
Carey W. King ◽  
Jay Zarnikau ◽  
Phil Henshaw

Business investments rely on creating a whole system of different parts, technologies, field and business operations, management, land, financing and commerce using a network of other services. Using the example of a wind farm development, a typical life cycle assessment (LCA) focuses upon the primary technology inputs and their countable embodied direct impacts. What LCA omits are the direct and indirect impacts of the rest of the business system that operates the primary technology, the labor, commerce and other technology employed. A total environmental assessment (TEA) would include the physical costs to the environment of the labor, commerce and other technology too. Here a simplified “system energy assessment” (SEA) is used to combine a “top-down” method of measuring implied indirect business impacts using econometric methods, with a “bottom-up” method of adding up the identifiable direct impact parts. The top-down technique gives an inclusive but rough measure. The bottom-up technique gives a precise accounting for the directly identifiable individual parts that is highly incomplete. SEA allows these two kinds of measures to be combined for a significantly improved understanding of the whole business system and its impacts, combining the high and low precision measures indentified by each method. The key is exhaustively accounting for energy uses within the natural boundary of a whole business system as a way of calibrating the measure. That allows defining a standardized measure of complex distributed system energy flows and their energy returns on invested energy resources (EROI). The method is demonstrated for a generic business operation. Starting from the easily accountable inputs and outputs, SEA successively uses larger natural system boundaries to discover a way of finding the limiting value of EROI after all parts of the whole are included. Some business choices and a net present value model of cash flow for the 20 year project help illustrate the related financial issues. The business model used shows that the EROI of a generic “Texas Wind Farm” is 31 when accounting for direct and indirect fuels only, but decreases to 4–6 after accounting for the economic energy consumed by all necessary business units and services.


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