Questioning the effect of the real exchange rate on growth: new evidence from Mexico

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 253-269
Author(s):  
Florencia Médici ◽  
Augustín Mario ◽  
Alejandro Fiorito
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Institutional Arrangements ◽  
Relative Price ◽  
The Real ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
New Evidence

This study provides new evidence showing that the real exchange rate (RER) does not play an important role in the growth of Mexican GDP. Economic growth is not an automatically predetermined result of relative price correction, and it is important to consider distinctive aspects of national institutional arrangements (fiscal and monetary, for example) for understanding theoretical causality of demand. The empirical results show public expenditure is an overlooked variable in regressions where the exchange rate affects product growth. After incorporating public expenditure, the RER impact on growth becomes insignificant. For its part, public expenditure has a positive and significant effect on GDP in the long term. The RER does not lead to greater GDP since exports are not stimulated through price.

scholarly journals DETERMINANTS OF REAL EXCHANGE RATE: A BEHAVIOURAL AND FUNDAMENTAL DYNAMIC ANALYSIS IN LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 70
Author(s):  
Cesar Chavez
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Relative Price ◽  
Random Component ◽  
System Gmm ◽  
Monetary Aggregates ◽  
The Real ◽  
Latin American Countries

In this research, we analyze the determinants of the real exchange rate through the fundamentals and behavioral factors, adding other variables as monetary aggregates, economic growth, domestic savings, and productivity. We worked with thirteen Latin American countries from 1980 to 2018 and we used three estimates such as fixed-effects, random-effects, and System GMM. The findings show that although the real exchange rate has a large random component, due to the high coefficient presented by the past values of that variable, there are other variables such as terms of trade, net foreign assets, tax revenue, monetary aggregates, savings rates and productivity, or real interest rate differentials, relative price and economic growth, which can impact negatively and positively respectively. Keywords: Real Exchange Rate, System GMM, Macroeconomics FactorsJEL Classification: E52, E62, C33, C53

scholarly journals Exploring the effects of hotel development, economic growth and exchange rate on tourism industry

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-96
Author(s):  
Bahman Khanalizadeh ◽  
Neda Ranjandish
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Development Economic ◽  
International Tourism ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Distributed Lag

The Purpose. This study is to investigate factors affecting the attraction of international tourists to Iran for the years 1983 to 2015. Design/Methodology/Approach. In this article, we examine using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method to explore the estimating the impacts of economic growth, hotel development, real exchange rate on tourism industry. Findings/Implications. The results of this study showed that the effect of all variables hotel development, merchandise trade, real exchange rate and real gross domestic product on international tourism In Iran, in the long-term and short-term positive and also bilateral relationship is between them. Also, the greatest impact on the increase in the number of tourists entering Iran is the real effective exchange rate and real GDP and a very important point that the results of this research show is that the development of hotels can increase both the short and long term of the number of international tourism to Iran, so in this regard, the development of the necessary technologies to increase this industry should be It will be on the agenda of the private and public sector of Iran. Originality. Given the increasing number of international tourists and the growing role of the tourism industry in the economies of the country, identification of effective factors in attracting international tourists is more than necessary. Governments and the private sector need to identify the factors affecting the tourism industry in order to develop, compete and survive in the tourism industry.

scholarly journals Real exchange rate behaviour and economic growth: evidence from Sierra Leone

2011 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abu Tarawalie
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Sierra Leone ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Real ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The main focus of this paper is to examine the impact of the real effective exchange rate on economic growth in Sierra Leone. First an analytical framework is developed to identify the determinants of the real effective exchange rate. Using quarterly data and employing recent econometric techniques, the relationship between the real effective exchange rate and economic growth is then investigated. A bivariate Granger causality test was also employed as part of the methodology to examine the causal relationship between the real exchange rate and economic growth. The empirical results suggest that the real effective exchange rate correlates positively with economic growth, with a statistically significant coefficient. The results also indicate that monetary policy is relatively more effective than fiscal policy in the long run, and evidence of the real effective exchange rate causing economic growth was profound. In addition, the results showed that terms of trade, exchange rate devaluation, investment to GDP ratio and an excessive supply of domestic credit were the main determinants of the real exchange rate in Sierra Leone.

scholarly journals The Effect of Exchange Rate Movements and Economic Growth on Job Creation

2017 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 20-41
Author(s):  
Chama Chipeta ◽  
Daniel Francois Meyer ◽  
Paul-Francois Muzindutsi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Job Creation ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
The Real ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Exchange Rate Shocks ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Job creation is at the centre of economic development and remains a source of sustenance for social and human relations. The creation of a job-enabling economic environment is imperative in promoting social and economic cohesiveness in the macro and microeconomic environment. Any shocks to the economy, particularly those of exchange rate shocks and changes in economic growth, may negatively affect the labour market and job creation. This study made use of quarterly observations, from the first quarter of 1995 to the fourth quarter of 2015, to investigate the effect of the real exchange rate and economic growth on South Africa’s employment status. South Africa, a developing country, was selected as a case study due to its high unemployment rate that is still increasing. The Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model and multivariate co-integration techniques were used in assessing the impact and responsiveness of employment to the real exchange rate and real economic growth in South Africa. Findings of this study revealed that employment responds positively to economic growth and negatively to the real exchange rate in the long-run. The short-run displays a positive relationship between real economic growth and employment, while the relationship between employment and the real exchange rate is also negative. However, the effect of economic growth in creating jobs is not significant enough in stimulating job creation in South Africa, as indicated by results in variance decomposition. Movements in the exchange rate exerted a significant short and long-run negative effect on employment dynamics; implying that a depreciation of the rand against the U.S. dollar is associated with decrease in overall employment. Exchange rate stability is thus important for economic growth and job creation in South Africa. The study provided further recommendations on promoting job creation in South Africa and other developing countries.

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