scholarly journals Exploring the effects of hotel development, economic growth and exchange rate on tourism industry

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-96
Author(s):  
Bahman Khanalizadeh ◽  
Neda Ranjandish
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Development Economic ◽  
International Tourism ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Distributed Lag

The Purpose. This study is to investigate factors affecting the attraction of international tourists to Iran for the years 1983 to 2015. Design/Methodology/Approach. In this article, we examine using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method to explore the estimating the impacts of economic growth, hotel development, real exchange rate on tourism industry. Findings/Implications. The results of this study showed that the effect of all variables hotel development, merchandise trade, real exchange rate and real gross domestic product on international tourism In Iran, in the long-term and short-term positive and also bilateral relationship is between them. Also, the greatest impact on the increase in the number of tourists entering Iran is the real effective exchange rate and real GDP and a very important point that the results of this research show is that the development of hotels can increase both the short and long term of the number of international tourism to Iran, so in this regard, the development of the necessary technologies to increase this industry should be It will be on the agenda of the private and public sector of Iran. Originality. Given the increasing number of international tourists and the growing role of the tourism industry in the economies of the country, identification of effective factors in attracting international tourists is more than necessary. Governments and the private sector need to identify the factors affecting the tourism industry in order to develop, compete and survive in the tourism industry.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting Economic Growth: A Comparative Analysis of Democratic and Non-Democratic Eras of Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 61-71
Author(s):  
Faridoon Khan ◽  
Farman Ullah Khan ◽  
Amena Urooj
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

This paper empirically investigated the impact of macroeconomic factors on economic growth during democratic and non-democratic eras of Pakistan. The statistical analyses are conducted using time series methods and yearly data spanning from 1971 to 2018. From the empirical analysis, it is concluded that export, remittances and real effective exchange rate are indeed important. Export, remittances inflow and real effective exchange rate positively influenced economic growth in the long term. Furthermore, imports negatively affect economic growth but the effect is insignificant. The study recommends that policymakers should pursue appropriate strategy to enhance exports and foreign remittances as well as appreciate the currency of a country with a view to attain the long term economic growth.

Questioning the effect of the real exchange rate on growth: new evidence from Mexico

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 253-269
Author(s):  
Florencia Médici ◽  
Augustín Mario ◽  
Alejandro Fiorito
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Institutional Arrangements ◽  
Relative Price ◽  
The Real ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
New Evidence

This study provides new evidence showing that the real exchange rate (RER) does not play an important role in the growth of Mexican GDP. Economic growth is not an automatically predetermined result of relative price correction, and it is important to consider distinctive aspects of national institutional arrangements (fiscal and monetary, for example) for understanding theoretical causality of demand. The empirical results show public expenditure is an overlooked variable in regressions where the exchange rate affects product growth. After incorporating public expenditure, the RER impact on growth becomes insignificant. For its part, public expenditure has a positive and significant effect on GDP in the long term. The RER does not lead to greater GDP since exports are not stimulated through price.

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Misalignment and Economic Growth in Pakistan: The Role of Financial Development

2020 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-99
Author(s):  
Zainab Jehan ◽  
Iffat Irshad
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Adverse Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Development Economic ◽  
Exchange Rate Misalignment ◽  
The Impact

This study endeavours to examine empirically how real exchange rate (RER) misalignment affects economic growth in Pakistan. In this regard, we have not only estimated the direct impact but also the indirect impact of misalignment on economic growth by using the financial development channel. We have used time series data ranging from 1980 to 2016 to carry out the empirical analysis. After testing the time series properties of the selected variables, we computed long run equilibrium RER later used to calculate RER misalignment. Finally, we estimated the impact of misalignment on per capita economic growth, both direct and indirect. Our results reveal an adverse impact of RER misalignment on economic growth. However, we report that financial development helps in minimising the adverse impact of RER misalignment, though not fully eliminating it. Based on the empirical findings, the study suggests that exchange rate policies need to be managed more cautiously. Moreover, the financial sector development needs to be strengthened which may help in fully alleviating the adverse impact of RER misalignment on economic growth. JEL Classification: F31, GOO, O47 Keywords: Real Exchange Rate Misalignment, Financial Development, Economic Growth, FMOLS

scholarly journals Real exchange rate behaviour and economic growth: evidence from Sierra Leone

2011 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abu Tarawalie
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Sierra Leone ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Real ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The main focus of this paper is to examine the impact of the real effective exchange rate on economic growth in Sierra Leone. First an analytical framework is developed to identify the determinants of the real effective exchange rate. Using quarterly data and employing recent econometric techniques, the relationship between the real effective exchange rate and economic growth is then investigated. A bivariate Granger causality test was also employed as part of the methodology to examine the causal relationship between the real exchange rate and economic growth. The empirical results suggest that the real effective exchange rate correlates positively with economic growth, with a statistically significant coefficient. The results also indicate that monetary policy is relatively more effective than fiscal policy in the long run, and evidence of the real effective exchange rate causing economic growth was profound. In addition, the results showed that terms of trade, exchange rate devaluation, investment to GDP ratio and an excessive supply of domestic credit were the main determinants of the real exchange rate in Sierra Leone.

scholarly journals Autoregressive Distributed Lag Kurs Dan Ekspor Karet Remah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Nulhanuddin Nulhanuddin ◽  
Devi Andriyani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Crumb Rubber ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Ardl Approach

This study aims to determine the effect of short-term and long-term exchange rates and crumb rubber exports on the economic growth of Indonesia. The data used are secondary data for 39 years from 1980 to 2018 accessed on www.world.bank.wdi.data.bank.org, www.pertanian.go.id, www.bps.go.id, and www.bps.go.id. The data analysis method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach with the help of EViews 10 software. The results show that the economic growth is stationary at the level and exchange rate and exports of stationary crumb rubber at the first difference level and have cointegration in the long-term relationship. The test results in the short-term analysis of the exchange rate have a positive and significant effect, and exports have a positive but insignificant effect on economic growth, while in the long run, the exchange rate has a negative effect but insignificant, and exports have a positive but insignificant effect on the economic growth of Indonesia. Keywords:economic growth, exchange rates, exports and the ARDL approach.  

scholarly journals Indonesian Export Analysis: Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Syarifah Labibah ◽  
Abd. Jamal ◽  
Taufiq C. Dawood
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
The United States ◽  
Positive Sign ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Auto Regressive

There are some factors predicted tohave an effect on the countries’ economic devlopment. This study aimed to analyze the long-term and short-term effects of In-flation, Exchange Rate, and Foreign Economic Growth (the destination of the United States, China, and Japan) on the Indonesian Export. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model is used in this analysis from 1968 through 2017. The results of the analysis show that in the long-term, the inflation and the economic growth in China as well in Japan has a positive sign and significant effect on Indonesian exports. In addition, in the short-term, the US exchange rate and economic growth have a positive significant effect on Indonesian exports.

Tourism-induced financial development in Malaysia: New evidence from the tourism development index

2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (5) ◽  
pp. 757-778 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Shahbaz ◽  
Ramzi Benkraiem ◽  
Anthony Miloudi ◽  
Aviral Kumar Tiwari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Development Economic ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Bounds Testing

This article explores the relationship between tourism development and financial development by incorporating economic growth and the real effective exchange rate as additional determinants in the finance demand function of the Malaysian economy. Thus, the analysis relies on the bounds testing approach by accommodating structural breaks to examine the cointegration among the variables and investigates the causal direction between the variables by applying the Toda–Yamamoto Granger causality approach. The results show that all the variables are cointegrated over the period from 1975 to 2016; tourism development is positively related to financial development; economic growth is positively linked with financial development; and real exchange rate is negatively associated with financial development. The Granger causality analysis demonstrates the presence of bidirectional causality between tourism development and financial development as well as a unidirectional causal relationship running from financial development and tourism development to economic growth.

Exchange rate misalignment and economic growth in India

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 414-434
Author(s):  
Vaseem Akram ◽  
Badri Narayan Rath
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Structural Break ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Exchange Rate Misalignment ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of the paper is to examine the impact of exchange rate misalignment on economic growth in India using annual data from 1980 to 2014. Design/methodology/approach First, misalignment is measured, which is defined as the deviations of the actual real exchange rate (RER) from its equilibrium level. The equilibrium real exchange rate (ERER) is estimated using the auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) model by considering key macroeconomic fundamentals of the determinants of RER. Zivot and Andrews’ unit root with structural break is used to test the stationarity property of data. The impact of exchange rate misalignment on economic growth has been examined using ARDL and variance decomposition techniques. Findings Our results find an overvaluation of the exchange rate till 2000, and thereafter, an undervaluation of the exchange rate prevails in India. Further, the result indicates that an increase in exchange rate misalignment leads to a decrease in economic growth and vice versa. Moreover, a positive misalignment (overvaluation) hurts the economic growth and a negative misalignment (undervaluation) promotes the economic growth. Research limitations/implications From the policy perspective, the results highlight that India needs to maintain an appropriate exchange rate which can reduce the RER misalignment. It is better for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s intervention to smoothen the fluctuations of the exchange rate to avoid the inefficiency in the allocation of resources. However, to minimize the RER misalignment, the intervention should be conducted only in the short run. Originality/value The study contributes to the existing literature by estimating the exchange rate misalignment for India and its impact on economic growth.

scholarly journals Resources of Sustainable Economic Growth and Development

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jelena Ignjatovic
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Development Strategy ◽  
Social Inclusion ◽  
Three Dimensions ◽  
Development Economic ◽  
Gender Inequalities ◽  
The European Union ◽  
The Sustainable Development

The Sustainable Development Strategy implies a targeted long-term process that affects economic, social, environmental and institutional aspects of life. The goal is to meet the social and economic interests of citizens, reduce poverty, reduce unemployment and gender inequalities and reduce negative impacts on natural resources and the environment, resulting in long-term economic growth with economic efficiency, technology and innovation. Accordingly, in 2015, the United Nations adopted Resolution A / RES / 70/1 - Transforming our world: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, based on three dimensions of sustainable development: economic growth, social inclusion and environmental protection. At the end of the 20th century, parallel with the theory of development, which turned into the concept of sustainable development, there was globalization that integrated the entire world regions in order to gain as strong economic and financial positions as possible on the world stage. Today, Serbia is not in a position to choose whether to engage in modern globalization processes, but it must continue the initiated transitional reforms and accession to the European Union, regardless of the economic, political or environmental consequences. By implementing national policies, Serbia should aim at national and economic sovereignty, which will further influence sustainable development. Only by changing the current economic policy, by creating a national strategy based on the exploitation of domestic economic and industrial potentials, by reducing unemployment, social responsibility and individual freedom, economic growth and sustainable development can be achieved. This work, besides the introduction, consists of materials based on the presentation of the sustainable development strategy of the Republic of Serbia and also presents the results and discussion that draft the current situation with possible solutions to achieve sustainable development in the future. Finally, the final ratifications are provided.      

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