Markowitz Theory in Portfolio Optimization for Heavy Tailed Assets

Author(s):  
Wong Ghee Ching ◽  
Che Mohd Imran Che Taib

This paper aims at solving an optimization problem in the presence of heavy tail behavior of financial assets. The question of minimizing risk subjected to a certain expected return or maximizing return for a given expected risk are two objective functions to be solved using Markowitz model. The Markowitz based strategies namely the mean variance portfolio, minimum variance portfolio and equally weighted portfolio are proposed in conjunction with mean and variance analysis of the portfolio. The historical prices of stocks traded at Bursa Malaysia are used for empirical analysis. We employed CAPM in order to investigate the performance of the Markowitz model which was benchmarked with risk adjusted KLSE Composite Index. We performed a backtesting study of portfolio optimization techniques defined under modern portfolio theory in order to find the optimal portfolio. Our findings showed that the mean variance portfolio outperformed the other two strategies in terms of performance of investment for heavy tailed assets.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Stephanie S. W. Su ◽  
Sie Long Kek

In this paper, the current variant technique of the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) approach, namely, the adaptive moment estimation (Adam) approach, is improved by adding the standard error in the updating rule. The aim is to fasten the convergence rate of the Adam algorithm. This improvement is termed as Adam with standard error (AdamSE) algorithm. On the other hand, the mean-variance portfolio optimization model is formulated from the historical data of the rate of return of the S&P 500 stock, 10-year Treasury bond, and money market. The application of SGD, Adam, adaptive moment estimation with maximum (AdaMax), Nesterov-accelerated adaptive moment estimation (Nadam), AMSGrad, and AdamSE algorithms to solve the mean-variance portfolio optimization problem is further investigated. During the calculation procedure, the iterative solution converges to the optimal portfolio solution. It is noticed that the AdamSE algorithm has the smallest iteration number. The results show that the rate of convergence of the Adam algorithm is significantly enhanced by using the AdamSE algorithm. In conclusion, the efficiency of the improved Adam algorithm using the standard error has been expressed. Furthermore, the applicability of SGD, Adam, AdaMax, Nadam, AMSGrad, and AdamSE algorithms in solving the mean-variance portfolio optimization problem is validated.


Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 1915
Author(s):  
William Lefebvre ◽  
Grégoire Loeper ◽  
Huyên Pham

This paper studies a variation of the continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection where a tracking-error penalization is added to the mean-variance criterion. The tracking error term penalizes the distance between the allocation controls and a reference portfolio with same wealth and fixed weights. Such consideration is motivated as follows: (i) On the one hand, it is a way to robustify the mean-variance allocation in the case of misspecified parameters, by “fitting" it to a reference portfolio that can be agnostic to market parameters; (ii) On the other hand, it is a procedure to track a benchmark and improve the Sharpe ratio of the resulting portfolio by considering a mean-variance criterion in the objective function. This problem is formulated as a McKean–Vlasov control problem. We provide explicit solutions for the optimal portfolio strategy and asymptotic expansions of the portfolio strategy and efficient frontier for small values of the tracking error parameter. Finally, we compare the Sharpe ratios obtained by the standard mean-variance allocation and the penalized one for four different reference portfolios: equal-weights, minimum-variance, equal risk contributions and shrinking portfolio. This comparison is done on a simulated misspecified model, and on a backtest performed with historical data. Our results show that in most cases, the penalized portfolio outperforms in terms of Sharpe ratio both the standard mean-variance and the reference portfolio.


Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Joseph Mercurio ◽  
Yuehua Wu ◽  
Hong Xie

This paper presents an improved method of applying entropy as a risk in portfolio optimization. A new family of portfolio optimization problems called the return-entropy portfolio optimization (REPO) is introduced that simplifies the computation of portfolio entropy using a combinatorial approach. REPO addresses five main practical concerns with the mean-variance portfolio optimization (MVPO). Pioneered by Harry Markowitz, MVPO revolutionized the financial industry as the first formal mathematical approach to risk-averse investing. REPO uses a mean-entropy objective function instead of the mean-variance objective function used in MVPO. REPO also simplifies the portfolio entropy calculation by utilizing combinatorial generating functions in the optimization objective function. REPO and MVPO were compared by emulating competing portfolios over historical data and REPO significantly outperformed MVPO in a strong majority of cases.


2017 ◽  
Vol 106 ◽  
pp. 335-342 ◽  
Author(s):  
F.J. Santos-Alamillos ◽  
N.S. Thomaidis ◽  
J. Usaola-García ◽  
J.A. Ruiz-Arias ◽  
D. Pozo-Vázquez

Jurnal Varian ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 6-12
Author(s):  
Gilang Primajati ◽  
Ahmad Zuli Amrullah ◽  
Ahmad Ahmad

In the formation of an efficient portfolio, many methods can be used. Of course with its own assumptions and advantages. In the process, reasonable investor assumptions tend to be risk averse. Investors who are risk averse are investors who, when faced with two investments with the same expected return, will choose an investment with a lower risk level. If an investor has several efficient portfolio choices, then the most optimal portfolio will be chosen. Optimal portfolio with mean-variance efficient portfolio criteria, investors only invest in risky assets. Investors do not include risk free assets in their portfolios. Mean-variance efficient portfolio is defined as a portfolio that has a minimum variance among all possible portfolio that can be formed, at the mean level of the same expected return. The mean variant method of the two constraints can be used as a basis in determining the optimal portfolio weight by minimizing the risk of portfolio return with two constraints. In this article the problem referred to is symbolized by lamda and beta. With this two-constraint method, the results obtained are more detailed so that they can describe the results of a sharper analysis for an investor.


Jurnal METRIS ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (01) ◽  
pp. 47-58
Author(s):  
Cheng-Wen Lee ◽  
Dolgion Gankhuyag

In this study, we present the Mongolian stock market’s performance post phenomenal financial crisis of 2008-2009, opportunities to invest and the risks problems. For analysis of the study, we used financial portfolio optimization models with restricted structure, mathematical statistic methods and financial methods. First, we considered about portfolio optimization in the Mongolian Stock Exchange using Markowitz’s modern portfolio theory and Telser’s safety first model. We used MSE weekly trading data chosen 50 most traded stocks out of 237 stocks listed at the MSE between 2009 and 2013. We generated 50 weeks mean-variance portfolio and safety first portfolio for 2014 and discussed. We considered weekly investment in the MSE using mean-variance portfolio andsafety first portfolio. The mean-variance portfolio has the best performance of weekly portfolio return with average weekly return and cumulative return. We found stable portfolio against investing risk and did back-test the result. For prospect investors in the MSE, we suggest invest and earn high return in the MSE.


Author(s):  
R. K. Jena

Portfolio optimization is one of the important issues in the effective management of investment. There is plenty of research in the literature addressing these issues. Markowitz’s primary portfolio selection model is a more suitable method to solve the model for obtaining fairly optimum portfolios. But, the problem of portfolio optimization is multi-objective in nature that aims at simultaneously maximizing the expected return of the portfolio and minimizing portfolio risk. The computational complexity increases with an increase in the total number of available assets. Therefore heuristic methods are more suitable for portfolio optimization in compare to deterministic methods. This research compares three well-known swarm intelligence algorithms (e.g. Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Artificial Bee Colony (ABC)) for portfolio optimization. The Sharpe ratio was used as one of the important criteria for this comparison. PSO outperformed other algorithms in portfolio optimization experiments. The results were also showed that the portfolios which were made of monthly data had performed better than the yearly data.


Jurnal Varian ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-29
Author(s):  
Gilang Primajati

In the capital markets, especially the investment market, the establishment of a portfolio is something that must be understood by investors. Portfolio formation by investors to maximize profits as much as possible by minimizing the risk of losses that may occur. Portfolio diversification is defined as portfolio formation in such a way that it can reduce portfolio risk without sacrificing returns. Optimal portfolio with efficient-portfolio mean criteria, investors only invest in risk assets only. Investors do not include risk free assets in their portfolios. The efficient variance portfolio is defined as a portfolio that has minimum variance among the overall possible portfolio that can be formed, at the same expected return rate. The mean method of one constraint variant can be used as the basis for optimal portfolio determination. The shares of LQ-45 used are shares of AALI, BBCA, UNVR, TLKM and ADHI. AALI shares received a positive weight of 7%, BBCA 48%, UNVR 16%, TLKM 26% and ADHI 3%


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