scholarly journals Prediction of mild Steel weld properties using artificial neural network and regression analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 37-49
Author(s):  
Jacob Achebo ◽  
Martins Eki

Safety hazards resulting from structural material failure occur mostly in less developed countries where material standard specifications are not strictly adhered to, due to failure of government policy implementation. These hazards often result in loss of life. Failures tend to occur at welded joints, and various research institutions are making attempts to prevent such failures by developing new methods that could predict and improve welded joint qualities. The concern goes beyond safety, but also encompasses economic and other similar long term considerations. In this study, experimental methods were used to obtain the Bead Height (BH), Ultimate Tensile Strength (UTS) and Brinell Hardness Number (BHN) of mild steel welded joints. Thereafter, the artificial neural network (ANN), and Regression analysis methods were applied to predict the corresponding values of the BH, UTS, and BHN. The resulting performance of these two predictive methods was compared side by side to determine which one of the two methods better predicted these quality properties. This comparative analysis was carried out by comparing the percentage error of ANN to that of the Regression analysis. From the results obtained, it was found that for the bead height, Regression analysis method produced a total of 1.72% error. For UTS, ANN method produced a total of 63.31% error whereas Regression analysis produced a total of 0.39% and for BHN, ANN method produced a total of 353.86% error whereas, Regression analysis method produced a total of 2.58% error. The results shows that overall, regression analysis method predicted the properties better. Also, the effect of the process parameters on the weld properties were investigated. In this study, a step by step method is applied.

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 5188
Author(s):  
Mitsugu Hasegawa ◽  
Daiki Kurihara ◽  
Yasuhiro Egami ◽  
Hirotaka Sakaue ◽  
Aleksandar Jemcov

An artificial neural network (ANN) was constructed and trained for predicting pressure sensitivity using an experimental dataset consisting of luminophore content and paint thickness as chemical and physical inputs. A data augmentation technique was used to increase the number of data points based on the limited experimental observations. The prediction accuracy of the trained ANN was evaluated by using a metric, mean absolute percentage error. The ANN predicted pressure sensitivity to luminophore content and to paint thickness, within confidence intervals based on experimental errors. The present approach of applying ANN and the data augmentation has the potential to predict pressure-sensitive paint (PSP) characterizations that improve the performance of PSP for global surface pressure measurements.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafael S. F. Ferraz ◽  
Renato S. F. Ferraz ◽  
Lucas F. S. Azeredo ◽  
Benemar A. de Souza

An accurate demand forecasting is essential for planning the electric dispatch in power system, contributing financially to electricity companies and helping in the security and continuity of electricity supply. In addition, it is evident that the distributed energy resource integration in the electric power system has been increasing recently, mostly from the photovoltaic generation, resulting in a gradual change of the load curve profile. Therefore, the 24 hours ahead prediction of the electrical demand of Campina Grande, Brazil, was realized from artificial neural network with a focus on the data preprocessing. Thus, the time series variations, such as hourly, diary and seasonal, were reduced in order to obtain a better demand prediction. Finally, it was compared the results between the forecasting with the preprocessing application and the prediction without the  preprocessing stage. Based on the results, the first methodology presented lower mean absolute percentage error with 7.95% against 10.33% of the second one.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (7) ◽  
pp. 2058 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Ahmed Al-AbdulJabbar ◽  
Khaled Abdelgawad

The drilling rate of penetration (ROP) is defined as the speed of drilling through rock under the bit. ROP is affected by different interconnected factors, which makes it very difficult to infer the mutual effect of each individual parameter. A robust ROP is required to understand the complexity of the drilling process. Therefore, an artificial neural network (ANN) is used to predict ROP and capture the effect of the changes in the drilling parameters. Field data (4525 points) from three vertical onshore wells drilled in the same formation using the same conventional bottom hole assembly were used to train, test, and validate the ANN model. Data from Well A (1528 points) were utilized to train and test the model with a 70/30 data ratio. Data from Well B and Well C were used to test the model. An empirical equation was derived based on the weights and biases of the optimized ANN model and compared with four ROP models using the data set of Well C. The developed ANN model accurately predicted the ROP with a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.94 and an average absolute percentage error (AAPE) of 8.6%. The developed ANN model outperformed four existing models with the lowest AAPE and highest R value.


2019 ◽  
Vol 120 ◽  
pp. 01003
Author(s):  
Redden Rose Rivera ◽  
Allan Soriano

The applications of ionic liquids solve a lot of major problems regarding green energy production and environment. Ionic liquids are solvents used as alternative to unfriendly traditional and hazardous solvents which reduces the negative impact to environment to a great extent. This study produced models to predict two of the basic physical properties of binary ionic liquid and ketone mixtures: density and speed of sound. The artificial neural network algorithm was used to predict these properties by varying the temperature, mole fraction, atom count in cation, methyl group count in cation, atom count in anion, hydrogen atom count in anion of ionic liquid and atom count in ketone. Total experimental data points of 2517 for density and 947 for speed of sound were used to train the algorithm and to test the network obtained. The optimum neural network structure determined for density and speed of sound of binary ionic liquid and ketone mixtures were 7-9-9-1 and 7-7-4-1 respectively; overall average percentage error of 2.45% and 2.17% respectively; and mean absolute error of 28.21 kg/m3 and 33.91 m/s respectively. The said algorithm was found applicable for the prediction of density and speed of sound of binary ionic liquid and ketone mixtures.


2012 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norhisham Bakhary ◽  
Khairulzan Yahya ◽  
Chin Nam Ng

Kebelakangan ini ramai penyelidik mendapati ‘Artificial Neural Network’ (ANN) untuk digunakan dalam berbagai bidang kejuruteraan awam. Banyak aplikasi ANN dalam proses peramalan menghasilkan kejayaan. Kajian ini memfokuskan kepada penggunaan siri masa ‘Univariate Neural Network’ untuk meramalkan permintaan rumah kos rendah di daerah Petaling Jaya, Selangor. Dalam kajian ini, beberapa kes bagi sesi latihan dan ramalan telah dibuat untuk mendapatkan model terbaik bagi meramalkan permintaan rumah. Nilai RMSE yang paling rendah yang diperolehi bagi tahap validasi adalah 0.560 dan nilai MAPE yang diperolehi adalah 8.880%. Hasil kajian ini menunjukkan kaedah ini memberikan keputusan yang boleh diterima dalam peramalan permintaan rumah berdasarkan data masa lalu. Kata kunci: Univariate Neural Network, permintaan rumah kos rendah, RMSE, MAPE Recently researchers have found the potential applications of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in various fields in civil engineering. Many attempts to apply ANN as a forecasting tool has been successful. This paper highlighted the application of Time Series Univariate Neural Network in forecasting the demand of low cost house in Petaling Jaya district, Selangor, using historical data ranging from February 1996 to Appril 2000. Several cases of training and testing were conducted to obtain the best neural network model. The lowest Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) obtained for validation step is 0.560 and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 8.880%. These results show that ANN is able to provide reliable result in term of forecasting the housing demand based on previous housing demand record. Key words: Time Series Univariate Neural Network, low cost housing demand, RMSE, MAPE


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 154-162
Author(s):  
Engin Özdemir ◽  
Didem Eren Sarici

Background: The calorific value is the most important and effective factors of lignites in terms of energy resources. Humidity, ash content, volatile matter and sulfur content are the main factors affecting lignite's calorific values. Objective: Determination of calorific value is a process that takes time and cost for businesses. Therefore, estimating the calorific value from the developed models by using other parameters will benefit enterprises in term of time, cost and labor. Method: In this study calorific values were estimated by using artificial neural network and multiple regression models by using lignite data of 30 different regions. As input parameters, humidity, ash content and volatile matter values are used. In addition, the mean absolute percentage error and the significance coefficient values were determined. Results: Mean absolute percentage error values were found to be below 10%. There is a strong relationship between calorific values and other properties (R2> 90). Conclusion: As a result, artificial neural network and multiple regression models proposed in this study was shown to successfully estimate the calorific value of lignites without performing laboratory analyses.


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