A Prospective Fuzzy Approach for the Development of Integral Seismic Risk Scenarios for Barcelona, Spain

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Rubén G. Cárdenas ◽  
Francisco Mugica ◽  
Àngela Nebot
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Fuzzy Approach ◽  
Risk Scenarios

Future urban seismic risk scenarios using a cellular automata model

2019 ◽  
Vol 28 (11) ◽  
pp. 2101-2115
Author(s):  
Daniel Navarro ◽  
Manuel Navarro ◽  
Ismael Vallejo
Keyword(s):  
Cellular Automata ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Cellular Automata Model ◽  
Risk Scenarios ◽  
Urban Seismic Risk

How to create seismic risk scenarios in historic built environment using rapid data collection and managing

2021 ◽  
Vol 48 ◽  
pp. 93-105
Author(s):  
Enrico Quagliarini ◽  
Michele Lucesoli ◽  
Gabriele Bernardini
Keyword(s):  
Data Collection ◽  
Built Environment ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Risk Scenarios

scholarly journals Probabilistic Seismic Damage Assessment of RC Buildings Based on Nonlinear Dynamic Analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 344-350 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yeudy F. Vargas ◽  
Lluis G. Pujades ◽  
Alex H. Barbat ◽  
Jorge E. Hurtado
Keyword(s):  
Dynamic Analysis ◽  
Nonlinear Dynamic ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Damage Index ◽  
Nonlinear Dynamic Analysis ◽  
Incremental Dynamic Analysis ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Seismic Action ◽  
Risk Scenarios ◽  
Urban Level

The incremental dynamic analysis is a powerful tool for evaluating the seismic vulnerability and risk of buildings. It allows calculating the global damage of structures for different PGAs and representing this result by means of damage curves. Such curves are used by many methods to obtain seismic risk scenarios at urban level. Even if the use of this method in a probabilistic environment requires a relevant computational effort, it should be the reference method for seismic risk evaluation. In this article we propose to assess the seismic expected damage by using nonlinear dynamic analysis. We will obtain damage curves by means of the incremental dynamic analysis combined with the damage index of Park * Ang. The uncertainties related to the mechanical properties of the materials and the seismic action will be considered. The probabilistic damage curves obtained can be used to calculate not only seismic risk scenarios at urban level, but also to estimate economic losses.

Assessment of seismic risk scenarios for Bucharest, Romania

2017 ◽  
Vol 93 (S1) ◽  
pp. 25-37 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florin Pavel ◽  
Ileana Calotescu ◽  
Radu Vacareanu ◽  
Ana-Maria Sandulescu
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Risk Scenarios

THE ATTRACTIVENESS OF COUNTRIES FOR FDI. A FUZZY APPROACH

2010 ◽  
Vol 15 (02) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marina Murata ◽  
Tommaso Pirotti
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Approach

SEISMIC RISK AND RESILIENCE ASSESSMENT OF INDUSTRIAL FACILITIES: CASE STUDY ON A BLACK CARBON PLANT

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Karagiannakis
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Human Life ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Risk And Resilience ◽  
Industrial Plants ◽  
Plant Equipment

This paper deals with state of the art risk and resilience calculations for industrial plants. Resilience is a top priority issue on the agenda of societies due to climate change and the all-time demand for human life safety and financial robustness. Industrial plants are highly complex systems containing a considerable number of equipment such as steel storage tanks, pipe rack-piping systems, and other installations. Loss Of Containment (LOC) scenarios triggered by past earthquakes due to failure on critical components were followed by severe repercussions on the community, long recovery times and great economic losses. Hence, facility planners and emergency managers should be aware of possible seismic damages and should have already established recovery plans to maximize the resilience and minimize the losses. Seismic risk assessment is the first step of resilience calculations, as it establishes possible damage scenarios. In order to have an accurate risk analysis, the plant equipment vulnerability must be assessed; this is made feasible either from fragility databases in the literature that refer to customized equipment or through numerical calculations. Two different approaches to fragility assessment will be discussed in this paper: (i) code-based Fragility Curves (FCs); and (ii) fragility curves based on numerical models. A carbon black process plant is used as a case study in order to display the influence of various fragility curve realizations taking their effects on risk and resilience calculations into account. Additionally, a new way of representing the total resilience of industrial installations is proposed. More precisely, all possible scenarios will be endowed with their weighted recovery curves (according to their probability of occurrence) and summed together. The result is a concise graph that can help stakeholders to identify critical plant equipment and make decisions on seismic mitigation strategies for plant safety and efficiency. Finally, possible mitigation strategies, like structural health monitoring and metamaterial-based seismic shields are addressed, in order to show how future developments may enhance plant resilience. The work presented hereafter represents a highly condensed application of the research done during the XP-RESILIENCE project, while more detailed information is available on the project website https://r.unitn.it/en/dicam/xp-resilience.

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