CEO turnover, communication disruption, and analyst forecast properties

Author(s):  
Mengshu Hao
2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 190-223
Author(s):  
Juan Wang

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of long horizon institutional ownership on CEO career concerns to meet the short-term earnings benchmark. Design/methodology/approach Using a sample of 10,565 firm-year observations in the USA, the paper examines the extent to which long horizon institutional investors mitigate the positive relation between CEO turnover and missing the quarterly consensus analyst forecast. Findings After controlling for the general performance-turnover relation, this paper finds that long horizon institutional investors mitigate the positive relation between CEO turnover and missing the quarterly consensus analyst forecast. This finding is stronger when CEOs focus on long-term value creation and do not sacrifice long-term value to boost current earnings and is stronger when the monitoring intensity by long horizon institutional investors is greater. Research limitations/implications The results suggest that long horizon institutional investors serve a monitoring role in alleviating CEO career concerns to meet the short-term earnings benchmark. Originality/value This paper contributes to the literature on the relation between long horizon institutional ownership and attenuated managerial short-termism. The literature is silent about why long horizon institutional investors alleviate managerial short-termism. This paper fills this void in the literature by documenting that long horizon institutional investors mitigate CEO career concerns for managerial short-termism. Moreover, this paper contributes to the literature on the monitoring role of institutional investors by documenting the incremental effect of institutional ownership on CEO career concerns to meet the short-term earnings benchmark.


Author(s):  
Marc R. Bernard

This study analyzes the impact of CEO turnover on the accuracy of analyst forecasts. Specifically, it examines the level of information that becomes available to analysts covering firms with different levels of internationalization, a proxy for firm complexity, during periods surrounding these events. After controlling for analyst and firm characteristics, along with regulatory period variables, this study finds that the accuracy of analyst forecasts improves in periods immediately following the turnover event. Results further indicate that the accuracy in the post-turnover period is greater for firms with lower levels of internationalization. In general, these findings are consistent with prior research describing the improvement of forecasts surrounding the CEO turnover event, the positive link between forecast accuracy and company disclosures, and finally, the negative link between analyst forecast accuracy and the complexity of the forecasting task.


2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean Helwege ◽  
Vincent Intintoli ◽  
Andrew (Jianzhong) Zhang

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