scholarly journals Rare Event Simulation in a Dynamical Model Describing the Spread of Traffic Congestions in Urban Network Systems

Author(s):  
Getachew K. Befekadu

In this chapter, we present a mathematical framework that provides a new insight for understanding the spread of traffic congestions in an urban network system. In particular, we consider a dynamical model, based on the well-known susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model from mathematical epidemiology, with small random perturbations, that describes the process of traffic congestion propagation and dissipation in an urban network system. Here, we provide the asymptotic probability estimate based on the Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large deviations for certain rare events that are difficult to observe in the simulation of urban traffic network dynamics. Moreover, the framework provides a computational algorithm for constructing efficient importance sampling estimators for rare event simulations of certain events associated with the spread of traffic congestions in the dynamics of the traffic network.


Author(s):  
Michael P. Allen ◽  
Dominic J. Tildesley

The development of techniques to simulate infrequent events has been an area of rapid progress in recent years. In this chapter, we shall discuss some of the simulation techniques developed to study the dynamics of rare events. A basic summary of the statistical mechanics of barrier crossing is followed by a discussion of approaches based on the identification of reaction coordinates, and those which seek to avoid prior assumptions about the transition path. The demanding technique of transition path sampling is introduced and forward flux sampling and transition interface sampling are considered as rigorous but computationally efficient approaches.



2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1514 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quang-Duy Tran ◽  
Sang-Hoon Bae

To reduce the impact of congestion, it is necessary to improve our overall understanding of the influence of the autonomous vehicle. Recently, deep reinforcement learning has become an effective means of solving complex control tasks. Accordingly, we show an advanced deep reinforcement learning that investigates how the leading autonomous vehicles affect the urban network under a mixed-traffic environment. We also suggest a set of hyperparameters for achieving better performance. Firstly, we feed a set of hyperparameters into our deep reinforcement learning agents. Secondly, we investigate the leading autonomous vehicle experiment in the urban network with different autonomous vehicle penetration rates. Thirdly, the advantage of leading autonomous vehicles is evaluated using entire manual vehicle and leading manual vehicle experiments. Finally, the proximal policy optimization with a clipped objective is compared to the proximal policy optimization with an adaptive Kullback–Leibler penalty to verify the superiority of the proposed hyperparameter. We demonstrate that full automation traffic increased the average speed 1.27 times greater compared with the entire manual vehicle experiment. Our proposed method becomes significantly more effective at a higher autonomous vehicle penetration rate. Furthermore, the leading autonomous vehicles could help to mitigate traffic congestion.



Author(s):  
Liping Wang ◽  
Wenhui Fan

Multi-level splitting algorithm is a famous rare event simulation (RES) method which reaches rare set through splitting samples during simulation. Since choosing sample paths is a key factor of the method, this paper embeds differential evolution in multi-level splitting mechanism to improve the sampling strategy and precision, so as to improve the algorithm efficiency. Examples of rare event probability estimation demonstrate that the new proposed algorithm performs well in convergence rate and precision for a set of benchmark cases.





2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengyu Yin ◽  
Tao Ren ◽  
Yuanwei Jing


Author(s):  
András Varga ◽  
Ahmet Y. Şekercioğlu Şekercioğlu

This paper reports a new parallel and distributed simulation architecture for OMNeT++, an open-source discrete event simulation environment. The primary application area of OMNeT++ is the simulation of communication networks. Support for a conservative PDES protocol (the Null Message Algorithm) and the relatively novel Ideal Simulation Protocol has been implemented.Placeholder modules, a novel way of distributing the model over several logical processes (LPs) is presented. The OMNeT++ PDES implementation has a modular and extensible architecture, allowing new synchronization protocols and new communication mechanisms to be added easily, which makes it an attractive platform for PDES research, too. We intend touse this framework to harness the computational capacity of highperformance cluster computersfor modeling very large scale telecommunication networks to investigate protocol performance and rare event failure scenarios.



2012 ◽  
Vol 44 (5) ◽  
pp. 352-367 ◽  
Author(s):  
John F. Shortle ◽  
Chun-Hung Chen ◽  
Ben Crain ◽  
Alexander Brodsky ◽  
Daniel Brod


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