Simulation of the spatial pattern of land use change in China: the case of planned development scenario

2012 ◽  
Vol 32 (20) ◽  
pp. 6440-6451 ◽  
Author(s):  
孙晓芳 SUN Xiaofang ◽  
岳天祥 YUE Tianxiang ◽  
范泽孟 FAN Zemeng
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 748
Author(s):  
Iana Rufino ◽  
Slobodan Djordjević ◽  
Higor Costa de Brito ◽  
Priscila Barros Ramalho Alves

The northeastern Brazilian region has been vulnerable to hydrometeorological extremes, especially droughts, for centuries. A combination of natural climate variability (most of the area is semi-arid) and water governance problems increases extreme events’ impacts, especially in urban areas. Spatial analysis and visualisation of possible land-use change (LUC) zones and trends (urban growth vectors) can be useful for planning actions or decision-making policies for sustainable development. The Global Human Settlement Layer (GHSL) produces global spatial information, evidence-based analytics, and knowledge describing Earth’s human presence. In this work, the GHSL built-up grids for selected Brazilian cities were used to generate urban models using GIS (geographic information system) technologies and cellular automata for spatial pattern simulations of urban growth. In this work, six Brazilian cities were selected to generate urban models using GIS technologies and cellular automata for spatial pattern simulations of urban sprawl. The main goal was to provide predictive scenarios for water management (including simulations) and urban planning in a region highly susceptible to extreme hazards, such as floods and droughts. The northeastern Brazilian cities’ analysis raises more significant challenges because of the lack of land-use change field data. Findings and conclusions show the potential of dynamic modelling to predict scenarios and support water sensitive urban planning, increasing cities’ coping capacity for extreme hazards.


2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 3215-3232 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xindong Du ◽  
Xiaobin Jin ◽  
Xilian Yang ◽  
Xuhong Yang ◽  
Yinkang Zhou

Author(s):  
Ali Wijaya ◽  
Cahyono Susetyo ◽  
Azillatin Q. Diny ◽  
Danika H. Nabila ◽  
Rahel P. Pamungkas ◽  
...  

Pekalongan is one of several cities that lies in the northern coast of Java island which is often flooded due to sea level rise. This condition impacted its urban development characteristic and increase in the future. In this research both Geographical Information System based and Spatial Metric approach are used. The spatial pattern is analyzed by using spatial metric based on the exploration of land use change that occurred. In this research, the spatial pattern is focused on aggregation pattern and diversity in coastal area. The result shows that the land use of coastal area are dominated with swamp, then followed by settlement and fishpond. It is also shown that the greatest land use change occurred on paddy field and swamp areas. Based on the spatial metric calculation, the aggregation level of land use decrease periodically and has a small growth level. It is indicated from its metric value aggregation and diversity from two periods: 2003-2009 and 2009-2016. Overall the land use of Pekalongan experienced large dynamics, especially in its coastal area. The spatial pattern trend in those area tend to be more sprawl as defined by the decrease of aggregation pattern and low level of land use growth pattern.


Author(s):  
Ali Wijaya ◽  
Cahyono Susetyo ◽  
Azillatin Qisthian Diny ◽  
Danika Hudani Nabila ◽  
Rahel Putri Pamungkas ◽  
...  

Pekalongan is one of several cities that lies in the northern coast of Java island which is often flooded due to sea level rise. This condition impacted its urban development characteristic and increase in the future. In this research both Geographical Information System based and Spatial Metric approach are used. The spatial pattern is analyzed by using spatial metric based on the exploration of land use change that occurred. In this research, the spatial pattern is focused on aggregation pattern and diversity in coastal area. The result shows that the land use of coastal area are dominated with swamp, then followed by settlement and fishpond. It is also shown that the greatest land use change occurred on paddy field and swamp areas. Based on the spatial metric calculation, the aggregation level of land use decrease periodically and has a small growth level. It is indicated from its metric value aggregation and diversity from two periods: 2003-2009 and 2009-2016. Overall the land use of Pekalongan experienced large dynamics, especially in its coastal area. The spatial pattern trend in those area tend to be more sprawl as defined by the decrease of aggregation pattern and low level of land use growth pattern.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 44
Author(s):  
James Rodríguez-Echeverry ◽  
Rodrigo Fuentes ◽  
Margareth Leiton ◽  
Edilia Jaque

AbstractThe forest landscape of southern Chile, which includes Chilean temperate forest ecosystem, has been designated as a hotspot for biodiversity conservation. However, this landscape has been transformed by land-use change. A proper knowledge about how land-use change impact this ecosystem would provide crucial information for planning conservation strategies. At the commune of Arauco – Chile, the impact of the land-use change on the spatial pattern of native forest ecosystem from 1990 to 2010 was evaluated at the landscape level. This evaluation was carried out using satellite images, landscape metrics and spatially explicit models. The loss of native forest ecosystem was of 40.7% (loss rate of 4.39% per year). Conversely, the exotic species plantations increased more than 150%. The number patches of native forest ecosystem increased more than 130%. The size distribution of patches (<100 ha) increased more than 22%. The aggregation index of native forest ecosystem decreased from 62.5 to 40.1. The loss of native forest ecosystem was caused by the expansion of exotic species plantations, which was associated with substantial changes in the spatial pattern of the forest landscape. As a strategy for conservation of the native forest ecosystem we suggest a landscape approach, using the corridor–patch–matrix model. We recommend that this strategy be complemented with land-use planning. Moreover, this strategy must be supported by a framework of environmental policies. We also recommend strengthening the existing ecological restoration programmes and developing new programmes to restore the native forest ecosystem.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-60
Author(s):  
Afan Ray Mahardika ◽  
Baba Barus ◽  
Didit Okta Pribadi

Tangerang Regency is one of the regencies in Banten Province, which has a fairly established agricultural system with fertile land potential for the agricultural sector. The central government has prioritized the regenciy’s rice field are as one of the food barns of Indonesia. Rajeg District is one of nine districts in Tangerang Regency that has been designated as a food barns. Land conversion has been a threat in implementing stable and sustainable food security. Significantly, conversion of paddy fields can affect the availability of food and inventory of rice fields. The purpose of this study is to analyze the spatial pattern of land use change conversion using the Landscape Metrics method. Data used in this research are secondary data, including land use maps of 2005, 2012, and 2018, spatial pattern maps of Tangerang Regency Spatial Plan (RTRW) 2011-2031, and maps of land ownership status in Rajeg District. Result of the analysis shows that the largest conversion of land use change occurs in paddy fields into developed land in agricultural areas with unregistered land ownership status (not registered and not certified). The characteristic of spatial pattern of this conversion type covers a wide conversion area with various forms of conversion geometry. Patch density tends to cluster (not fragmented). The built-up land formed in this type of conversion tends to be massive and in the form of clusters.


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