financial modelling
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Author(s):  
Lukas Gonon ◽  
Christoph Schwab

AbstractWe study the expression rates of deep neural networks (DNNs for short) for option prices written on baskets of $d$ d risky assets whose log-returns are modelled by a multivariate Lévy process with general correlation structure of jumps. We establish sufficient conditions on the characteristic triplet of the Lévy process $X$ X that ensure $\varepsilon $ ε error of DNN expressed option prices with DNNs of size that grows polynomially with respect to ${\mathcal{O}}(\varepsilon ^{-1})$ O ( ε − 1 ) , and with constants implied in ${\mathcal{O}}(\, \cdot \, )$ O ( ⋅ ) which grow polynomially in $d$ d , thereby overcoming the curse of dimensionality (CoD) and justifying the use of DNNs in financial modelling of large baskets in markets with jumps.In addition, we exploit parabolic smoothing of Kolmogorov partial integro-differential equations for certain multivariate Lévy processes to present alternative architectures of ReLU (“rectified linear unit”) DNNs that provide $\varepsilon $ ε expression error in DNN size ${\mathcal{O}}(|\log (\varepsilon )|^{a})$ O ( | log ( ε ) | a ) with exponent $a$ a proportional to $d$ d , but with constants implied in ${\mathcal{O}}(\, \cdot \, )$ O ( ⋅ ) growing exponentially with respect to $d$ d . Under stronger, dimension-uniform non-degeneracy conditions on the Lévy symbol, we obtain algebraic expression rates of option prices in exponential Lévy models which are free from the curse of dimensionality. In this case, the ReLU DNN expression rates of prices depend on certain sparsity conditions on the characteristic Lévy triplet. We indicate several consequences and possible extensions of the presented results.


2021 ◽  
pp. 231971452110327
Author(s):  
Amit Kumar Singh ◽  
Preeti Bansal ◽  
Moon Moon Haque

This study provides a comprehensive analysis of capital structure stability over long horizons for firms listed in India. It covers a period of 28 years from 1992 to 2019, leading to 20,371 firm-year observations to determine the relative significance of cross-firm leverage variation and time-series leverage variation. It also identifies the circumstances and industries when each type of variation emerges stronger. The study employs simple econometric tools along with financial modelling techniques in SPSS and Microsoft Excel. It was found that corporate leverages are sticky and predictable in the short run. Also, with an increase in a firm’s age, leverage stability increases. This study contributes to the existing literature by empirically establishing that leverages can also be persistent at high levels and identifying industries that are persistent at low and high leverages. The results show that persistence at low leverage is a common phenomenon; however, a few industries such as textile, construction, and metals and mining are persistent in their capital structures even at higher levels of leverage.


2021 ◽  
Vol 190 (5-6(2)) ◽  
pp. 119-127
Author(s):  
Zoltán Csesznik ◽  
◽  
Sándor Gáspár ◽  
Gergő Thalmeiner ◽  
Zoltán Zéman ◽  
...  

Over the past decade, a number of modern and sophisticated methods have been developed to optimize the composition of equity portfolios. Most of these methods are based on complex mathematical or financial modelling. Less emphasis has been placed on companies’ internal data, while in recent years external data have become increasingly important. However, for long-term investments, the dominance of external data is not necessarily an efficient way to construct an appropriate portfolio. In this paper, we highlight the phenomenon that complex mathematical models, the based on simpler fundamental indicators can also be an efficient investment tool for in making investment decisions. Our results show that our hypothesis has been confirmed that some basic-based indicators can achieve alpha returns. Our analysis is based on financial reporting data in the form of various financial indicators. We used the S&P500 index as benchmark. A comparative analysis of the stock portfolio created illustrates that basic analysis can be more effective than a chosen market-based stock index. By the end of the period under review, the portfolio based on the selected five core financial indicators had a market capitalization 1.68% higher than the benchmark. The alpha return achieved also demonstrates that even simpler models can be efficient and effective in creating an equity portfolio.


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