environmental niche model
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Author(s):  
Bernhard Hausdorf ◽  
Matt Parr ◽  
Laura J. Shappell ◽  
Jens Oldeland ◽  
David G. Robinson

AbstractWe report the introduction of the central and eastern European helicid land snail Caucasotachea vindobonensis in North America. It was first recorded from Rensselaer County in the state of New York in 2015 by a community scientist. From 2016 to 2020, 14 additional occurrences in Rensselaer County, neighbouring Albany County and an imprecisely localized site in the Adirondack Mountains were recorded by community scientists. In 2020, the species was newly recorded at two sites in Schoharie County, NY, and at three sites in Québec, one of them approximately 700 km to the north of the initial record. Partial mitochondrial cox1 sequences from Rensselaer differ from an eastern Ukrainian haplotype only in a single substitution. Therefore, a Ukrainian origin for this introduction is likely, although not certain: the Rensselaer haplotype also differs in only two substitutions from a more widespread haplotype known from Ukraine, Hungary, Slovakia, Czechia, Serbia, and Bulgaria. An environmental niche model of the species based on occurrence data from central and eastern Europe indicated that a large region from the northern east coast to the midwestern United States is suitable for C. vindobonensis. The Canadian occurrences may indicate that the North American lineage is able to survive colder winters than predicted by the environmental niche model. Caucasotachea vindobonensis is not listed as a pest in Europe and it is unlikely to become an agricultural pest in North America as it prefers rotting plant material over living parts of plants, but its impact on native organisms can hardly be predicted.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter D. Wilson

AbstractNiche models are now widely used in many branches of the biological sciences and are often used to contrast the distribution of favouroble environments between regionsa or under changes in environmental conditions such as anthropogenic climate change. Model performance and quality assessment are accepted as best-practice when using these models. One aspect that has received far less attention is developing methods to communicate the degree and nature of changes between model outputs (typically as raster maps). The method described in this paper, Binned Environmental Change Index (BRECI), seeks to address this shortfall in communicating model results.


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