The Smart Money is in Cash? Financial Literacy and Liquid Savings Among U.S. Families

Most financial advisors recommend storing three to six months of expenses in liquid assets in case of an emergency. Yet we estimate that more than half of U.S. families do not have at least three months of their non-discretionary expenses in liquid savings. We find that financial literacy is strongly predictive of having three months of liquid savings, controlling for income, income variability, and even parental resources. We also find that financial literacy predicts liquid savings across the income distribution. These results indicate that accumulation of an emergency fund is not simply a function of income. Finally, financial literacy is predictive of liquid savings even among high illiquid wealth households. This suggests that the phenomenon of "wealthy hand-to-mouth" families may reflect financial mistakes rather than portfolio optimization. Our paper highlights the importance of financial knowledge in explaining families' preparedness to deal with unexpected expenses or disruption in their income.

Did Institutional Investors’ Behavior Affect U.S.-China Equity Market Sentiment? Evidence from the U.S.-China Trade Turbulence

In the current situation of U.S.-China trade turbulence, this study focuses on quarterly panel data from May 2016 to September 2019 in order to verify the effectiveness of feedback trading strategy and smart money theory in stabilizing U.S.-China securities markets and to understand the role of institutional investors’ behavior, to come up with suggestions for improving and perfecting the market mechanism in stabilizing the U.S.-China securities markets. In this study, we adopt the generalized method of moments (GMM) to perform dynamic panel data analysis and discuss the changes in professional institutional investors’ behavior and equity market sentiment in the U.S. and China during the trade turbulence, and then analyze whether that behavior will suppress local stock market sentiment. Through empirical research, we found that institutional investors on both sides of the trade turbulence have a different impact on the stability of the local securities market. The behavior of institutional investors in the United States has played a role in stabilizing equity market sentiment in accordance with feedback trading strategy and smart money theory. However, the behavior of institutional investors in China is the opposite.

Do Local Investors Exhibit Smart Value Investment? Empirical Evidence from India

We have studied the investment behaviour of ‘foreign institutional investors’ (FIIs) and ‘domestic institutional investors’ (DIIs) in the Indian stock market for positive feedback trading and smart money value investments. We have collected the daily investment of FII and DII in Indian stock markets along with NIFTY daily returns. We have used multivariate causality approach VAR and found that FII investments follow positive feedback trading approach whereas DII follow smart money value investments in the Indian stock market.

The Affordable Care Act's Enduring Resilience

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) has taken numerous blows, both from the courts and from opponents seeking to undermine it. Yet, due to its policy design and the political forces the ACA has unleashed, the law has shown remarkable resilience. While there remain ongoing efforts to undo the ACA, the smart money has to be on its continued existence.