A new conception of subcritical transition to turbulence
in unbounded smooth shear flows is discussed. According
to this scenario, the transition to turbulence is caused
by the interplay between the four basic phenomena: (a)
linear “drift” of spatial Fourier harmonics
(SFH) of disturbances in wave-number space (k-space);
(b) transient growth of SFH; (c) viscous dissipation; (d)
nonlinear process that closes a feedback loop of transition
by angular redistribution of SFH in k-space; The
key features of the concept are: transition to turbulence
only by the finite amplitude vortex disturbances; anisotropy
of the process in k-space; onset on chaos due
to the dynamic (not stochastic) process. The evolution
of 2D small-scale vortex disturbances in the parallel flows
with uniform shear of velocity is analyzed in the framework
of the weak turbulence approach. This numerical test analysis
is carried out to prove the most problematic statement
of the conception—existence of positive feedback
caused by the nonlinear process (d). Numerical calculations
also show the existence of a threshold: if amplitude of
the initial disturbance exceeds the threshold value, the
self maintenance of disturbances becomes realistic. The
latter, in turn, is the characteristic feature of the flow
transition to the turbulent state and its self maintenance.