Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass-balance modelling and freshwater flux for 2007, and in a 1995-2007 perspective

2009 ◽  
Vol 23 (17) ◽  
pp. 2470-2484 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian H. Mernild ◽  
Glen E. Liston ◽  
Christopher A. Hiemstra ◽  
Konrad Steffen ◽  
Edward Hanna ◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heiko Goelzer ◽  
Brice P. Y. Noel ◽  
Tamsin L. Edwards ◽  
Xavier Fettweis ◽  
Jonathan M. Gregory ◽  
...  

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 1275-1294 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. G. L. Rae ◽  
G. Aðalgeirsdóttir ◽  
T. L. Edwards ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
J. M. Gregory ◽  
...  

Abstract. Four high-resolution regional climate models (RCMs) have been set up for the area of Greenland, with the aim of providing future projections of Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance (SMB), and its contribution to sea level rise, with greater accuracy than is possible from coarser-resolution general circulation models (GCMs). This is the first time an intercomparison has been carried out of RCM results for Greenland climate and SMB. Output from RCM simulations for the recent past with the four RCMs is evaluated against available observations. The evaluation highlights the importance of using a detailed snow physics scheme, especially regarding the representations of albedo and meltwater refreezing. Simulations with three of the RCMs for the 21st century using SRES scenario A1B from two GCMs produce trends of between −5.5 and −1.1 Gt yr−2 in SMB (equivalent to +0.015 and +0.003 mm sea level equivalent yr−2), with trends of smaller magnitude for scenario E1, in which emissions are mitigated. Results from one of the RCMs whose present-day simulation is most realistic indicate that an annual mean near-surface air temperature increase over Greenland of ~ 2°C would be required for the mass loss to increase such that it exceeds accumulation, thereby causing the SMB to become negative, which has been suggested as a threshold beyond which the ice sheet would eventually be eliminated.


2018 ◽  
Vol 123 (16) ◽  
pp. 8538-8560 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. S. Mattingly ◽  
T. L. Mote ◽  
X. Fettweis

2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (16) ◽  
pp. 6002-6008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeremy G. Fyke ◽  
Miren Vizcaíno ◽  
William H. Lipscomb

2005 ◽  
Vol 42 ◽  
pp. 90-94 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.E. Box

AbstractThe Polar MM5 mesoscale atmospheric model was run for 13 years (1991–2003) over Greenland at 24 km horizontal resolution (Box and others, 2004). The model physics were driven by satellite, station and weather-balloon observational data assimilation, i.e. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational analysis. The analysis in this study focuses on the response of the surface mass balance to its primary controls: temperature and precipitation. The results indicate coherent spatial patterns of variability and statistically significant links with temperature and precipitation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Precipitation trends have the same spatial pattern and sign as temperature, suggesting an association of precipitation and temperature variability. Increasing temperatures contribute to an increasing ablation trend and expansion of the ablation zone despite increasing accumulation trends. The Pinatubo (Philippines) volcanic cooling in the early 1990s enhances this apparent warming trend. Only in the northeast does precipitation appear to dominate the surface mass balance, where both temperature and precipitation have decreased. There is little evidence for a total ice-sheet surface mass-balance trend, although the meltwater runoff has a positive trend and, combined with iceberg discharge and basal melting estimates, suggests the ice sheet as a whole is in a state of net mass loss over this period.


2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. 470-475 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeremy G. Fyke ◽  
Miren Vizcaíno ◽  
William Lipscomb ◽  
Stephen Price

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Izeboud ◽  
S. Lhermitte ◽  
K. Van Tricht ◽  
J. T. M. Lenaerts ◽  
N. P. M. Van Lipzig ◽  
...  

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