Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal variability relations to the El Niño events and their effects on the South American rainfall

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (4) ◽  
pp. 2183-2200 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mary T. Kayano ◽  
Rita V. Andreoli ◽  
Rodrigo A. F. Souza
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
South American ◽  
Atlantic Multidecadal Variability ◽  
The South ◽  
Multidecadal Variability ◽  
El Niño Events ◽  
El Nino Events

scholarly journals Seasonal and interannual (ENSO) climate variabilities and trends in the South China Sea over the last three decades

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Violaine Piton ◽  
Thierry Delcroix
Keyword(s):  
South China Sea ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
The South ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Winds ◽  
El Niño Events ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Increasing Trends ◽  
El Nino Events

Abstract. We present a short overview of the long-term mean and variability of five Essential Climate Variables observed in the South China Sea over the last 3 decades, including sea surface temperature (SST), sea level anomaly (SLA), precipitation (P), surface wind and water discharge (WD) from the Mekong and Red Rivers. At the seasonal time scale, SST and SLAs increase in the summer (up to 4.2 °C and 14 cm, respectively), and P increases in the north. The summer zonal and meridional winds reverse and intensify (mostly over the ocean), and the WD shows positive anomalies. At the interannual time scale, each variable appears to be correlated with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indices. Eastern Pacific El Niño events produce basin-wide SST warming (up to 1.4 °C) with a 6-month lag. The SLAs fall basin-wide (by up to 9 cm) during an El Niño event (all types), with a 3-month lag. The zonal and meridional winds strengthen (up to 4 m/s) in the north (weaken in the south) during all types of El Niño events, with a 3–5-month lag. A rainfall deficit of approximately 30 % of the mean occurs during all types of El Niño phases. The Mekong River WD is reduced by 1/3 of the mean 7–8 months after all types of El Niño events. We also show increasing trends of SST as high as 0.24 °C/decade and SLAs by 41 mm/decade. Increasing trends are observed for zonal wind, which is possibly linked to the phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and decreasing trends are observed for P in the north and both WD stations that were analyzed. The likely driving mechanisms and some of the relationships between all observed anomalies are discussed

Super instrumental El Niño events recorded by a Porites coral from the South China Sea

Coral Reefs ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 295-308 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xijie Wang ◽  
Wenfeng Deng ◽  
Xi Liu ◽  
Gangjian Wei ◽  
Xuefei Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
South China Sea ◽  
South China ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
The South China Sea ◽  
The South ◽  
China Sea ◽  
Porites Coral ◽  
El Niño Events ◽  
El Nino Events

The Contribution of Boreal Spring South Pacific Atmospheric Variability to El Niño Occurrence

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (19) ◽  
pp. 8301-8313
Author(s):  
Qingye Min ◽  
Renhe Zhang
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
The South ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Boreal Spring ◽  
El Niño Events ◽  
El Nino Events ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

AbstractDespite the fact that great efforts have been made to improve the prediction of El Niño events, it remains challenging because of limited understanding of El Niño and its precursors. This research focuses on the influence of South Pacific atmospheric variability on the development of the sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the tropical Pacific. It is found that as early as in the boreal spring of El Niño years, the sea level pressure anomaly (SLPA) shows a configuration characterized by two significant negative anomaly centers in the north and a positive anomaly center in the south between the subtropics and high latitudes in South Pacific. Such an anomalous SLPA pattern becomes stronger in the following late boreal spring and summer associated with the strengthening of westerly anomalies in the tropical Pacific, weakening the southeasterly trade winds and promoting the warming of tropical eastern Pacific, which is conducive to the development of El Niño events. It is demonstrated that the SLPA pattern in boreal spring revealed in this study is closely associated with boreal summer South Pacific Oscillation (SPO) and South Pacific meridional mode (SPMM). As a precursor in boreal spring, the prediction skill of the South Pacific SLPA in boreal spring for the SSTA in the eastern equatorial Pacific is better than that of the SPMM. This study is helpful to deepen our understanding of the contribution of South Pacific extratropical atmospheric variability to El Niño occurrence.

Effective population size for South American sea lions along the Peruvian coast: the survivors of the strongest El Niño event in history

2012 ◽  
Vol 92 (8) ◽  
pp. 1835-1841 ◽  
Author(s):  
Larissa Rosa de Oliveira ◽  
Lúcia Darsie Fraga ◽  
Patricia Majluf
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
South American ◽  
Effective Population ◽  
Sea Lions ◽  
El Niño Event ◽  
Peruvian Coast ◽  
El Niño Events ◽  
El Nino Events

The South American sea lion, Otaria flavescens, has been considered vulnerable and under the threat of extinction in Peru due to the drastic demographic changes as a result of the impact of low food availability and the unusual timing of the severe El Niño event of 1997–1998. We present the first estimate of effective population size (Ne) for the species that takes into account the effects of mating system and variation in population size in different generations caused by the severe El Niño event of 1997–1998. The resulting Ne was 7715 specimens. We believe that the estimated Ne for the Peruvian population is not a critical value, because it is higher than the mean minimum viable population generally accepted for vertebrates (ca. 5000 breeding adults). However, the viability of O. flavescens on the Peruvian coast may depend primarily on local availability of food resources. Climatic change models predict stronger and more frequent El Niño events. In this sense, the Ne of 7715 should be considered as a value to be maintained in order to keep the population large enough to avoid inbreeding or to retain adaptive genetic variation to survive to future El Niño events. Moreover, this Ne estimate is important data in discussions about resuming culling activities, based on the statement of an increasing competition between fishery activity and sea lions during El Niño events. Thus, this Ne should be taken into account in future management plans to ensure the conservation of the species on the Peruvian coast.

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