scholarly journals Exploration of diffusion kernel density estimation in agricultural drought risk analysis: a case study in Shandong, China

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (11) ◽  
pp. 6757-6789
Author(s):  
W. Chen ◽  
Z. Shao ◽  
L. K. Tiong
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density Estimation ◽  
Standardized Precipitation Index ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
Agricultural Drought ◽  
Gaussian Kernel ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Variation ◽  
Drought Risk ◽  
Diffusion Kernel

Abstract. Drought caused the most widespread damage in China, making up over 50 % of the total affected area nationwide in recent decades. In the paper, a Standardized Precipitation Index-based (SPI-based) drought risk study is conducted using historical rainfall data of 19 weather stations in Shandong province, China. Kernel density based method is adopted to carry out the risk analysis. Comparison between the bivariate Gaussian kernel density estimation (GKDE) and diffusion kernel density estimation (DKDE) are carried out to analyze the effect of drought intensity and drought duration. The results show that DKDE is relatively more accurate without boundary-leakage. Combined with the GIS technique, the drought risk is presented which reveals the spatial and temporal variation of agricultural droughts for corn in Shandong. The estimation provides a different way to study the occurrence frequency and severity of drought risk from multiple perspectives.

scholarly journals Author Correction: An extended Weight Kernel Density Estimation model forecasts COVID-19 onset risk and identifies spatiotemporal variations of lockdown effects in China

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenzhong Shi ◽  
Chengzhuo Tong ◽  
Anshu Zhang ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
Zhicheng Shi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variations ◽  
Estimation Model

A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-021-01924-6

scholarly journals Identifying the density of grassland fire points with kernel density estimation based on spatial distribution characteristics

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 796-806
Author(s):  
Zhen Shuo ◽  
Zhang Jingyu ◽  
Zhang Zhengxiang ◽  
Zhao Jianjun
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density Estimation ◽  
Function Method ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
Fire Occurrence ◽  
Distribution Characteristics ◽  
Fire Point ◽  
Spatial Distribution Characteristics ◽  
Grassland Fire

Abstract Understanding the risk of grassland fire occurrence associated with historical fire point events is critical for implementing effective management of grasslands. This may require a model to convert the fire point records into continuous spatial distribution data. Kernel density estimation (KDE) can be used to represent the spatial distribution of grassland fire occurrences and decrease the influences historical records in point format with inaccurate positions. The bandwidth is the most important parameter because it dominates the amount of variation in the estimation of KDE. In this study, the spatial distribution characteristic of the points was considered to determine the bandwidth of KDE with the Ripley’s K function method. With high, medium, and low concentration scenes of grassland fire points, kernel density surfaces were produced by using the kernel function with four bandwidth parameter selection methods. For acquiring the best maps, the estimated density surfaces were compared by mean integrated squared error methods. The results show that Ripley’s K function method is the best bandwidth selection method for mapping and analyzing the risk of grassland fire occurrence with the dependent or inaccurate point variable, considering the spatial distribution characteristics.

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