Analysing the Risk of Bankruptcy of Firms: Survival Analysis, Competing Risks and Multistate Models

Author(s):  
Francesca Pierri ◽  
Chrys Caroni
2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (12) ◽  
pp. 3666-3683
Author(s):  
Dominic Edelmann ◽  
Maral Saadati ◽  
Hein Putter ◽  
Jelle Goeman

Standard tests for the Cox model, such as the likelihood ratio test or the Wald test, do not perform well in situations, where the number of covariates is substantially higher than the number of observed events. This issue is perpetuated in competing risks settings, where the number of observed occurrences for each event type is usually rather small. Yet, appropriate testing methodology for competing risks survival analysis with few events per variable is missing. In this article, we show how to extend the global test for survival by Goeman et al. to competing risks and multistate models[Per journal style, abstracts should not have reference citations. Therefore, can you kindly delete this reference citation.]. Conducting detailed simulation studies, we show that both for type I error control and for power, the novel test outperforms the likelihood ratio test and the Wald test based on the cause-specific hazards model in settings where the number of events is small compared to the number of covariates. The benefit of the global tests for competing risks survival analysis and multistate models is further demonstrated in real data examples of cancer patients from the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation.


2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
María Teresa Seoane-Pillado ◽  
Salvador Pita-Fernández ◽  
Francisco Valdés-Cañedo ◽  
Rocio Seijo-Bestilleiro ◽  
Sonia Pértega-Díaz ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
pp. 181-218
Author(s):  
Bendix Carstensen

This chapter describes survival analysis. Survival analysis concerns data where the outcome is a length of time, namely the time from inclusion in the study (such as diagnosis of some disease) till death or some other event — hence the term 'time to event analysis', which is also used. There are two primary targets normally addressed in survival analysis: survival probabilities and event rates. The chapter then looks at the life table estimator of survival function and the Kaplan–Meier estimator of survival. It also considers the Cox model and its relationship with Poisson models, as well as the Fine–Gray approach to competing risks.


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