Application of the Theory of Extremes to the Study of Precipitation in Madeira Island: Statistical Choice of Extreme Domains of Attraction

Author(s):  
Délia Gouveia ◽  
Luiz Guerreiro Lopes ◽  
Sandra Mendonça
2003 ◽  
Vol 283 (1-4) ◽  
pp. 122-145 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cornelis H Van der Weijden ◽  
Fernando A.L Pacheco

2001 ◽  
Vol 49 (7) ◽  
pp. 1397-1408 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Gu ◽  
Lang Tong

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (03) ◽  
pp. 2150037
Author(s):  
Ling Chen ◽  
You-Qi Tang ◽  
Shuang Liu ◽  
Yuan Zhou ◽  
Xing-Guang Liu

This paper investigates some nonlinear dynamical behaviors about domains of attraction, bifurcations, and chaos in an axially accelerating viscoelastic beam under a time-dependent tension and a time-dependent speed. The axial speed and the axial tension are coupled to each other on the basis of a harmonic variation over constant initial values. The transverse motion of the moving beam is governed by nonlinear integro-partial-differential equations with the rheological model of the Kelvin–Voigt energy dissipation mechanism, in which the material derivative is applied to the viscoelastic constitutive relation. The fourth-order Galerkin truncation is employed to transform the governing equation to a set of nonlinear ordinary differential equations. The nonlinear phenomena of the system are numerically determined by applying the fourth-order Runge–Kutta algorithm. The tristable and bistable domains of attraction on the stable steady state solution with a three-to-one internal resonance are analyzed emphatically by means of the fourth-order Galerkin truncation and the differential quadrature method, respectively. The system parameters on the bifurcation diagrams and the maximum Lyapunov exponent diagram are demonstrated by some numerical results of the displacement and speed of the moving beam. Furthermore, chaotic motion is identified in the forms of time histories, phase-plane portraits, fast Fourier transforms, and Poincaré sections.


2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 2225-2240 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. T. Couto ◽  
R. Salgado ◽  
M. J. Costa

Abstract. This paper constitutes a step towards the understanding of some characteristics associated with high rainfall amounts and flooding on Madeira Island. The high precipitation events that occurred during the winter of 2009/2010 have been considered with three main goals: to analyze the main atmospheric characteristics associated with the events; to expand the understanding of the interaction between the island and the atmospheric circulations, mainly the effects of the island on the generation or intensification of orographic precipitation; and to evaluate the performance of high resolution numerical modeling in simulating and forecasting heavy precipitation events over the island. The MESO-NH model with a horizontal resolution of 1 km is used, as well as rain gauge data, synoptic charts and measurements of precipitable water obtained from the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS). The results confirm the influence of the orographic effects on precipitation over Madeira as well as the tropical–extratropical interaction, since atmospheric rivers were detected in six out of the seven cases analyzed, acting as a low level moisture supplier, which together with the orographic lifting induced the high rainfall amounts. Only in one of the cases the presence of a low pressure system was identified over the archipelago.


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