Summer monsoon low pressure systems over the Indian region and their relationship with the sub-divisional rainfall

In the present paper performance of the monthly sub-divisional summer monsoon rainfall is studied in association with the position of the Low Pressure System (LPS) over the Indian region. Existence of the LPS over a particular location increases the rainfall activities in certain parts of the country while decreases in some other parts. For this study, the Indian region (5°-35° N and 60° -100° E) is divided into 5° Lat. ´ 5° Long. grids. The duration of LPS is taken in terms of LPS days with respect to the location of LPS in a particular grid. Monthly total number of LPS days in each of the grids are computed during the summer monsoon season, June to September for the period 1891 – 1990. Maximum number of LPS days (more than half of the total) are observed in the latitude belt between 20°-25°N. The percentages of total LPS days in this area are higher in July and August which are peak monsoon months as compared to June and September. When there is a LPS are in the area 20°-25° N and 80°-90° E, there is significant increase in the rainfall activities in the sub-divisions along mean monsoon trough while northeast India and southeast peninsular India experience significant decrease in rainfall in the months of July and August. Owing to the movement of LPS from east to west through central India, most parts of the country, excluding northeast India and south peninsular India get good rainfall activity. Correlation coefficients between monthly LPS days over the different grids and monthly sub-divisional rainfall are computed to study the relationships. The performance of sub-divisional rainfall mostly related with the occurrence of LPS in certain grid- locations. The correlation field maps may give some useful information about rainfall performance due to LPS in a particular grid locations.

Intra-seasonal variation of surface air temperature in Nepal Himalayas

Intra-seasonal variation of surface air temperature observed by the automatic weather station at Syangpoche in Khumbu region, Nepal Himalayas, is analyzed. In the monsoon season, temperature was nearly constant with large decrease in insolation due to monsoon clouds. On the other hand, large intra-seasonal variation existed in the winter with increase in temperature associated with passing synoptic scale high-pressure system which disturb local circulation pattern as well as decrease in temperature due to the nighttime strong radiative cooling under the condition of snow covers. Monsoon clouds and deep valley system caused unique surface temperature variation.

Relative Contributions of Tropical and Mid-Latitude Signals on Intraseasonal Precipitation Anomalies Over South China in Boreal Winter

The southern China (SC) exhibits a strong intraseasonal precipitation variability in boreal winter, but so far the relative contributions of the tropical Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the mid-latitude intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) is unclear. This issue is addressed through a cluster analysis. The result shows that 53% of strong intraseasonal precipitation events are unrelated to the MJO. They are caused by southward propagation of a low-pressure anomaly in the lower troposphere from higher latitudes. Southerly anomalies associated with the low-pressure system transport high mean moisture from South China Sea, leading to moisture accumulation over SC. 47% of the events are accompanied by the MJO, and they can be further divided into two groups: one with enhanced MJO convection over the eastern Indian Ocean (termed as IO group), and the other over the Maritime Continent (termed as MC group). For the IO group, the SC precipitation is triggered by low-level southerly anomalies associated with an anomalous anticyclone over the western North Pacific (WNP) in association with suppressed MJO convection in situ, as well as the upper-tropospheric divergence related to a wave train excited from the MJO convection. For the MC group, both the upper-tropospheric wave train related to MJO and the southward propagation of low-pressure anomaly from higher latitudes in the lower troposphere contribute to trigger the SC precipitation.

Variations in intensity and structure of a westward-propagating monsoon depression

The study deals with a monsoon depression which developed over the Bay of Bengal, moved westward across central India and turned into a mid-tropospheric disturbance (MTD) over the northeastern : corner of the Arabian Sea. Its interactions with the thermal fields associated with the basic monsoon, subtropical westerly troughs and a new depression over the Bay of Bengal are examined. Evidence suggests the involvement of all the three factors in causing the observed variations in its intensity and structure. The low pressure system turned into a mid-tropospheric disturbance when it re-entered the warm sector of the basic monsoon field and received increased warm advection from the north to the west of its centre and cold advection from the south to the east in mid-troposphere. The importance of thermal advection is confirmed by computation of a heat budget. The role of condensation heating is also briefly discussed.

Formation Pressure Inversion Method Based on Multisource Information

Summary The exploration and development of offshore oil and gas have greatly alleviated the tension of global oil and gas resources. However, the abnormal pressure of offshore reservoirs is more common compared with terrestrial oil and gas reservoirs, and the marine geological structure is complex, with the development of faults, fractures, and high and steep structures, which leads to the strong anisotropy of formation pore pressure distribution and uncertainty of pressure system change. In this paper, considering the corresponding characteristics of the randomness of the formation pressure prediction results in the Eaton equation for their respective variables, a formation pressure inversion method based on multisource information, such as predrilling data, bottomhole while drilling data, seabed measured data, and surface measured data, is established. On this basis, combined with the data of a well in the South China Sea, the variation law of the uncertainty of formation pressure prediction results under the conditions of predrilling data, measurement while drilling (MWD) data, and their mutual coupling is analyzed. The simulation results show that the uncertainty distribution of formation pressure prediction based solely on predrilling data shows linear accumulation trend with well depth, and the formation pressure inversion method based on multisource information can significantly curb the increasing trend of uncertainty when MWD data are introduced. Therefore, through the analysis of typical change patterns of monitoring parameters under normal/abnormal conditions during drilling, combined with the method of multisource information, the abnormal pressure information can be accurately predicted and inversed, which provides important support for wellbore pressure regulation under complex formation conditions.

Drought Assessment in São Francisco River Basin, Brazil: Characterization through SPI and Associated Anomalous Climate Patterns

The São Francisco River Basin (SFRB) is one of the main watersheds in Brazil, standing out for generating energy and consumption, among other ecosystem services. Hence, it is important to identify hydrological drought events and the anomalous climate patterns associated with dry conditions. The Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) for 12 months was used to identify hydrological drought episodes over SFRB 1979 and 2020. For these episodes, the severity, duration, intensity, and peak were obtained, and SPI-1 was applied for the longest and most severe episode to identify months with wet and dry conditions within the rainy season (Nov–Mar). Anomalous atmospheric and oceanic patterns associated with this episode were also analyzed. The results revealed the longest and most severe hydrological drought episode over the basin occurred between 2012 and 2020. The episode over the Upper portion of the basin lasted 103 months. The results showed a deficit of monthly precipitation up to 250 mm in the southeast and northeast regions of the country during the anomalous dry months identified through SPI-1. The dry conditions observed during the rainy season of this episode were associated with an anomalous high-pressure system acting close to the coast of Southeast Brazil, hindering the formation of precipitating systems.

Is There Any Effect of Symmetry on Velocity of the Four Swimming Strokes?

The different characteristics of the four swimming strokes affect the interplay between the four limbs, acting as a constraint to the force produced by each hand and foot. The purpose of this study was to analyze the symmetry of force production with a varying number of limbs in action and see its effect on velocity. Fifteen male swimmers performed four all-out bouts of 25-m swims in the four strokes in full-body stroke and segmental actions. A differential pressure system was used to measure the hands/feet propulsive force and a mechanical velocity meter was used to measure swimming velocity. Symmetry index was calculated based on the force values. All strokes and conditions presented contralateral limb asymmetries (ranging from 6.73% to 28% for the peak force and from 9.3% to 35.7% for the mean force). Backstroke was the most asymmetric stroke, followed-up by butterfly, front crawl, and breaststroke. Kicking conditions elicited the higher asymmetries compared with arm-pull conditions. No significant associations were found between asymmetries and velocity. The absence of such association suggests that, to a certain and unknown extent, swimming may benefit from contralateral limb asymmetry.

Swell hindcast statistics for the Baltic Sea

The classic characterisation of swell as regular, almost monochromatic, wave trains does not necessarily accurately describe swell in water bodies shielded from the oceanic wave climate. In such enclosed areas the locally generated swell waves still contribute to processes at the air and seabed interfaces, and their presence can be quantified by partitioning wave components based on their speed relative to the wind. We present swell statistics for the semi-enclosed Baltic Sea using 20 years of swell-partitioned model data. The swell significant wave height was mostly under 2 m, and in the winter (DJF) the mean significant swell height was typically less than 0.4 m; higher swell was found in limited nearshore areas. Swell waves were typically short (under 5 s), with mean periods over 8 s being rare. In open-sea areas the average ratio of swell energy (to total energy) was mostly below 0.4 – significantly less than in the World Ocean. Certain coastal areas were swell dominated over half the time, mostly because of weak winds (U<5 m s−1) rather than high swell heights. Swell-dominated events with a swell height over 1 m typically lasted under 10 h. A cross-correlation analysis indicates that swell in the open sea is mostly generated from local wind sea when wind decays (dominant time lag roughly 15 h). Near the coast, however, the results suggest that the swell is partially detached from the local wind waves, although not necessarily from the weather system that generates them because the highest swell typically arrives with a roughly 10 h delay after the low-pressure system has already passed.

Unusual weather over northwest & west India during November, 2010

lkekU;r% uoEcj dk eghuk /kwi ds fnuksa o fcuk ckfj'k okyk eghuk dgykrk gS vkSj uoEcj eghus ds chrus ds lkFk-lkFk mRrj if'peh Hkkjr ds eSnkuh Hkkxksa esa lqcg dh gYdh BaMd fy, ekSle lqgkouk jgrk gS fdUrq uoEcj 2010 ds nkSjku mRrj if'peh vkSj if'pe Hkkjr esa o"kkZ dh ckSNkjksa ds lkFk yEcs le; rd yxkrkj ckny Nk, jgs ftlds dkj.k ekSle vlkekU; jgkA bl vlkekU; ekSle ds fy, mRrjnk;h HkkSfrd izfØ;kvksa dk irk yxkus ds fy, bl 'kks/k i= esa bl ekg esa cuh flukfIVd fLFkfr;ksa dk foLr`r fo'ys"k.k fd;k x;k gSA bl v/;;u ls ;g irk pyk gS fd vjc lkxj esa xgu fuEu vonkc iz.kkyh dh mifLFkfr vkSj fupys Lrjksa esa if'peh gokvksa esa e/; {kksHkeaMyh; nzksf.k;ksa ds lkFk&lkFk iwohZ gokvksa esa mPp vk;keh nzksf.k;ksa dh ijLij fØ;kvksa ds dkj.k uoEcj ekg esa ekSle vlkekU; jgkA Generally, November is the dry month with sunny days and pleasant weather for plains of northwest & west India with a bit of early morning chill as the month progresses. But during November, 2010, there was unusual weather in the form of prolonged and persistent cloudy conditions with wet spell over northwest & west India. To find out the physical processes leading to this unusual weather, detailed analysis of synoptic conditions during the month has been carried out in this paper. This study reveals that the unusual weather that occurred in association with presence of an intense low pressure system in the Arabian Sea and interaction of high-amplitude troughs in easterlies in the lower levels with mid-tropospheric troughs in the westerlies.