Process Mining to Forecast the Future of Running Cases

2014 ◽  
pp. 67-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonja Pravilovic ◽  
Annalisa Appice ◽  
Donato Malerba
Keyword(s):  
Process Mining ◽  
The Future

How Low Can We Go? Proposing Quantifying the Going Concern Survival Index (GCSI) and One Month Resilience Index (OMRI) as Metrics of Firm Risk in the Wake of the Coronavirus Crisis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Glen L. Gray ◽  
Michael Alles
Keyword(s):  
Process Mining ◽  
Design Science ◽  
Science Research ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Net Income ◽  
Firm Risk ◽  
Going Concern ◽  
The Future ◽  
Going Concern Opinion ◽  
Resilience Index

The coronavirus crisis disrupted business survivability.  Measures, like going concern opinion and bankruptcy predictors, depend on past trends extending into the future. With black swan events, past trends do not extend into the future. We propose two new metrics.  The “Going Concern Survivability Index” ( GCSI) is the maximum percentage revenue loss that a business can endure as a going concern. The “One Month Resilience Index” (OMRI) is the effect on the net income from the loss of the revenue its most successful month. While OMRI is straightforward, calculating GCSI requires real options and process mining. The emerging technology of process mining and artificial intelligence are needed to capture the dynamic process by which management will juggle cash flows, sources of funds, and payment of liabilities as revenue falls. This paper is an instance of action design science research and we discuss the steps to put our artifact into practice.

Predicting Next Touch Point In A Customer Journey: A Use Case In Telecommunication

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marwan Hassani ◽  
Stefan Habets
Keyword(s):  
Historical Data ◽  
Process Mining ◽  
Use Case ◽  
Customer Journey ◽  
Contact Type ◽  
Touch Point ◽  
The Future ◽  
Telecommunication Company

Customer journey analysis is rapidly increasing in popularity, as it is essential for companies to understand how their customers think and behave. Recent studies investigate how customers traverse their journeys and how they can be improved for the future. However, those researches only focus on improving the process for future customers by analyzing the historical data. This research focuses on helping the current customer immediately, by analyzing if it is possible to predict what the customer will do next and accordingly take proactive steps. We propose a model to predict the customer's next contact type (touch point). At first we will analyze the customer journey data by applying process mining techniques. We will use these insights then together with the historical data of accumulated customer journeys to train several classifiers. The winning of those classifiers, namely XGBoost, is used to perform a prediction on a customer's journey while the journey is still active. We show on three different real datasets coming from interactions between a telecommunication company and its customers that we always beat a baseline classifier thanks to our thorough pre-processing of the data.

International determination of the total motion of the pole

1961 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 29-41
Author(s):  
Wm. Markowitz
Keyword(s):  
Secular Motion ◽  
The Future

A symposium on the future of the International Latitude Service (I. L. S.) is to be held in Helsinki in July 1960. My report for the symposium consists of two parts. Part I, denoded (Mk I) was published [1] earlier in 1960 under the title “Latitude and Longitude, and the Secular Motion of the Pole”. Part II is the present paper, denoded (Mk II).

Status of the Lick Proper Motion Program

1978 ◽  
Vol 48 ◽  
pp. 387-388
Author(s):  
A. R. Klemola
Keyword(s):  
Proper Motion ◽  
The Future

Second-epoch photographs have now been obtained for nearly 850 of the 1246 fields of the proper motion program with centers at declination -20° and northwards. For the sky at 0° and northward only 130 fields remain to be taken in the next year or two. The 270 southern fields with centers at -5° to -20° remain for the future.

Some Structural Features of Metaphase Chromosomes of Mice and Men

1967 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 190-191
Author(s):  
Godfrey C. Hoskins ◽  
Betty B. Hoskins
Keyword(s):  
Electron Microscopy ◽  
Electron Micrographs ◽  
Structural Features ◽  
Metaphase Chromosomes ◽  
The Future ◽  
Of Mice And Men ◽  
Mouse Cells ◽  
Human And Mouse

Metaphase chromosomes from human and mouse cells in vitro are isolated by micrurgy, fixed, and placed on grids for electron microscopy. Interpretations of electron micrographs by current methods indicate the following structural features.Chromosomal spindle fibrils about 200Å thick form fascicles about 600Å thick, wrapped by dense spiraling fibrils (DSF) less than 100Å thick as they near the kinomere. Such a fascicle joins the future daughter kinomere of each metaphase chromatid with those of adjacent non-homologous chromatids to either side. Thus, four fascicles (SF, 1-4) attach to each metaphase kinomere (K). It is thought that fascicles extend from the kinomere poleward, fray out to let chromosomal fibrils act as traction fibrils against polar fibrils, then regroup to join the adjacent kinomere.

Freeze-fracture cytochemistry: A goal set by Russell Steere in 1957

1993 ◽  
Vol 51 ◽  
pp. 60-61
Author(s):  
Nicholas J Severs
Keyword(s):  
Chemical Nature ◽  
Biological Systems ◽  
Freeze Fracture ◽  
Structural Components ◽  
Major Goal ◽  
Membrane Biology ◽  
Routine Application ◽  
The Future ◽  
Freeze Etching

In his pioneering demonstration of the potential of freeze-etching in biological systems, Russell Steere assessed the future promise and limitations of the technique with remarkable foresight. Item 2 in his list of inherent difficulties as they then stood stated “The chemical nature of the objects seen in the replica cannot be determined”. This defined a major goal for practitioners of freeze-fracture which, for more than a decade, seemed unattainable. It was not until the introduction of the label-fracture-etch technique in the early 1970s that the mould was broken, and not until the following decade that the full scope of modern freeze-fracture cytochemistry took shape. The culmination of these developments in the 1990s now equips the researcher with a set of effective techniques for routine application in cell and membrane biology.Freeze-fracture cytochemical techniques are all designed to provide information on the chemical nature of structural components revealed by freeze-fracture, but differ in how this is achieved, in precisely what type of information is obtained, and in which types of specimen can be studied.

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