Estimating One-Off Operational Risk Events with the Lossless Fuzzy Weighted Average Method

Author(s):  
Pasi Luukka ◽  
Mikael Collan ◽  
Fai Tam ◽  
Yuri Lawryshyn
Healthcare ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 481
Author(s):  
Toly Chen ◽  
Yu-Cheng Wang ◽  
Min-Chi Chiu

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the operations of factories worldwide. However, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on different factories is not the same. In other words, the robustness of factories to the COVID-19 pandemic varies. To explore this topic, this study proposes a fuzzy collaborative intelligence approach to assess the robustness of a factory to the COVID-19 pandemic. In the proposed methodology, first, a number of experts apply a fuzzy collaborative intelligence approach to jointly evaluate the relative priorities of factors that affect the robustness of a factory to the COVID-19 pandemic. Subsequently, based on the evaluated relative priorities, a fuzzy weighted average method is applied to assess the robustness of a factory to the COVID-19 pandemic. The assessment result can be compared with that of another factory using a fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution. The proposed methodology has been applied to assess the robustness of a wafer fabrication factory in Taiwan to the COVID-19 pandemic.


Author(s):  
Aijuan Li ◽  
Zhenghong Chen ◽  
Donghong Ning ◽  
Xin Huang ◽  
Gang Liu

In order to ensure the detection accuracy, an improved adaptive weighted (IAW) method is proposed in this paper to fuse the data of images and lidar sensors for the vehicle object’s detection. Firstly, the IAW method is proposed in this paper and the first simulation is conducted. The unification of two sensors’ time and space should be completed at first. The traditional adaptive weighted average method (AWA) will amplify the noise in the fusion process, so the data filtered with Kalman Filter (KF) algorithm instead of with the AWA method. The proposed IAW method is compared with the AWA method and the Distributed Weighted fusion KF algorithm in the data fusion simulation to verify the superiority of the proposed algorithm. Secondly, the second simulation is conducted to verify the robustness and accuracy of the IAW algorithm. In the two experimental scenarios of sparse and dense vehicles, the vehicle detection based on image and lidar is completed, respectively. The detection data is correlated and merged through the IAW method, and the results show that the IAW method can correctly associate and fuse the data of the two sensors. Finally, the real vehicle test of object vehicle detection in different environments is carried out. The IAW method, the KF algorithm, and the Distributed Weighted fusion KF algorithm are used to complete the target vehicle detection in the real vehicle, respectively. The advantages of the two sensors can give full play, and the misdetection of the target objects can be reduced with proposed method. It has great potential in the application of object acquisition.


2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (17) ◽  
pp. 4651-4664 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Budishchev ◽  
Y. Mi ◽  
J. van Huissteden ◽  
L. Belelli-Marchesini ◽  
G. Schaepman-Strub ◽  
...  

Abstract. Most plot-scale methane emission models – of which many have been developed in the recent past – are validated using data collected with the closed-chamber technique. This method, however, suffers from a low spatial representativeness and a poor temporal resolution. Also, during a chamber-flux measurement the air within a chamber is separated from the ambient atmosphere, which negates the influence of wind on emissions. Additionally, some methane models are validated by upscaling fluxes based on the area-weighted averages of modelled fluxes, and by comparing those to the eddy covariance (EC) flux. This technique is rather inaccurate, as the area of upscaling might be different from the EC tower footprint, therefore introducing significant mismatch. In this study, we present an approach to validate plot-scale methane models with EC observations using the footprint-weighted average method. Our results show that the fluxes obtained by the footprint-weighted average method are of the same magnitude as the EC flux. More importantly, the temporal dynamics of the EC flux on a daily timescale are also captured (r2 = 0.7). In contrast, using the area-weighted average method yielded a low (r2 = 0.14) correlation with the EC measurements. This shows that the footprint-weighted average method is preferable when validating methane emission models with EC fluxes for areas with a heterogeneous and irregular vegetation pattern.


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