Assessment of genomic prediction reliability and optimization of experimental designs in multi-environment trials

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Rio ◽  
Deniz Akdemir ◽  
Tiago Carvalho ◽  
Julio Isidro y Sánchez
Keyword(s):  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Genotype By Environment Interaction ◽  
Experimental Designs ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Environment Interaction ◽  
Genetic Covariance ◽  
Genotype By Environment ◽  
Wheat Population ◽  
Prediction Reliability ◽  
Genetic Value

Abstract Key message New forms of the coefficient of determination can help to forecast the accuracy of genomic prediction and optimize experimental designs in multi-environment trials with genotype-by-environment interactions. Abstract In multi-environment trials, the relative performance of genotypes may vary depending on the environmental conditions, and this phenomenon is commonly referred to as genotype-by-environment interaction (G$$\times$$ × E). With genomic prediction, G$$\times$$ × E can be accounted for by modeling the genetic covariance between trials, even when the overall experimental design is highly unbalanced between trials, thanks to the genomic relationship between genotypes. In this study, we propose new forms of the coefficient of determination (CD, i.e., the expected model-based square correlation between a genetic value and its corresponding prediction) that can be used to forecast the genomic prediction reliability of genotypes, both for their trial-specific performance and their mean performance. As the expected prediction reliability based on these new CD criteria is generally a good approximation of the observed reliability, we demonstrate that they can be used to optimize multi-environment trials in the presence of G$$\times$$ × E. In addition, this reliability may be highly variable between genotypes, especially in unbalanced designs with complex pedigree relationships between genotypes. Therefore, it can be useful for breeders to assess it before selecting genotypes based on their predicted genetic values. Using a wheat population evaluated both for simulated and phenology traits, and two maize populations evaluated for grain yield, we illustrate this approach and confirm the value of our new CD criteria.

scholarly journals Enviromic-based Kernels Optimize Resource Allocation with Multi-trait Multi-environment Genomic Prediction for Tropical Maize

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raysa Gevartosky ◽  
Humberto Fanelli Carvalho ◽  
Germano Costa-Neto ◽  
Osval A. Montesinos-Lopez ◽  
Jose Crossa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithms ◽  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Genotype By Environment Interaction ◽  
Environment Interaction ◽  
Genotype By Environment ◽  
Apply Genetic ◽  
Ear Height ◽  
Predictor Model ◽  
Training Sets

Genomic prediction (GP) success is directly dependent on establishing a training population, where incorporating envirotyping data and correlated traits may increase the GP accuracy. Therefore, we aimed to design optimized training sets for multi-trait for multi-environment trials (MTMET). For that, we evaluated the predictive ability of five GP models using the genomic best linear unbiased predictor model (GBLUP) with additive + dominance effects (M1) as the baseline and then adding genotype by environment interaction (G × E) (M2), enviromic data (W) (M3), W+G × E (M4), and finally W+G × W (M5), where G × W denotes the genotype by enviromic interaction. Moreover, we considered single-trait multi-environment trials (STMET) and MTMET for three traits: grain yield (GY), plant height (PH), and ear height (EH), with two datasets and two cross-validation schemes. Afterward, we built two kernels for genotype by environment by trait interaction (GET) and genotype by enviromic by trait interaction (GWT) to apply genetic algorithms to select genotype:environment:trait combinations that represent 98% of the variation of the whole dataset and composed the optimized training set (OTS). Using OTS based on enviromic data, it was possible to increase the response to selection per amount invested by 142%. Consequently, our results suggested that genetic algorithms of optimization associated with genomic and enviromic data efficiently design optimized training sets for genomic prediction and improve the genetic gains per dollar invested.

scholarly journals Genomic Prediction and Genotype-by-Environment Interaction Analysis of Crown and Stem Rust in Ryegrasses in European Multi-Site Trials

Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1119
Author(s):  
Mattia Fois ◽  
Marta Malinowska ◽  
Franz Xaver Schubiger ◽  
Torben Asp
Keyword(s):  
Stem Rust ◽  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Interaction Analysis ◽  
Genotype By Environment Interaction ◽  
Environment Interaction ◽  
Forage Crops ◽  
Breeding Programs ◽  
Genotype By Environment ◽  
The Given ◽  
Better Than

Climate change calls for novel approaches to include environmental effects in future breeding programs for forage crops. A set of ryegrasses (Lolium) varieties was evaluated in multiple European environments for crown rust (Puccinia coronata f. sp. lolii) and stem rust (P. graminis f. sp. graminicola) resistance. Additive Main Effect and Multiplicative Interaction (AMMI) analysis revealed significant genotype (G) and environment (E) effects as well as the interaction of both factors (G × E). Genotypes plus Genotype-by-Environment interaction (GGE) analysis grouped the tested environments in multiple mega-environments for both traits suggesting the presence of an environmental effect on the ryegrasses performances. The best performing varieties in the given mega-environments showed high resistance to crown as well as stem rust, and overall, tetraploid varieties performed better than diploid. Furthermore, we modeled G × E using a marker x environment interaction (M × E) model to predict the performance of varieties tested in some years but not in others. Our results showed that despite the limited number of varieties, the high number of observations allowed us to predict both traits’ performances with high accuracy. The results showed that genomic prediction using multi environmental trials could enhance breeding programs for the crown and stem rust in ryegrasses.

Using AMMI approach to delineate genotype by environment interaction and stability of barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) genotypes under northern Indian shivalik hill conditions

2020 ◽  
Vol 80 (03) ◽  
Author(s):  
Om Prakash Yadav ◽  
A. K. Razdan ◽  
Bupesh Kumar ◽  
Praveen Singh ◽  
Anjani K. Singh
Keyword(s):  
Hordeum Vulgare ◽  
Grain Yield ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Genotype By Environment Interaction ◽  
Environment Interaction ◽  
Hordeum Vulgare L ◽  
Genotype By Environment ◽  
Biplot Analysis ◽  
Principal Component Axis ◽  
Ammi Analysis

Genotype by environment interaction (GEI) of 18 barley varieties was assessed during two successive rabi crop seasons so as to identify high yielding and stable barley varieties. AMMI analysis showed that genotypes (G), environment (E) and GEI accounted for 1672.35, 78.25 and 20.51 of total variance, respectively. Partitioning of sum of squares due to GEI revealed significance of interaction principal component axis IPCA1 only On the basis of AMMI biplot analysis DWRB 137 (41.03qha–1), RD 2715 (32.54qha–1), BH 902 (37.53qha–1) and RD 2907 (33.29qha–1) exhibited grain yield superiority of 64.45, 30.42, 50.42 and 33.42 per cent, respectively over farmers’ recycled variety (24.43qha–1).

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