Projected Climate Change Effects on Winterkill in Shallow Lakes in the Northern United States

2000 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 291-304 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xing Fang ◽  
Heinz G. Stefan
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sien Liu ◽  
Qinghua Ye ◽  
Jie Zhou

<p>Large shallow lakes globally are threatened by eutrophication, and climate change is believed to aggregate the situation. Wind, as the most important momentum source and the major contributor to consistently change the hydrodynamic patterns inside the large shallow lakes, is highly susceptible to climate change. Taihu Lake, which is the 3<sup>rd</sup> largest shallow lake in China and pertains crucial social and economic values, is chosen in this study as an example. Due to climate change, the wind condition of Taihu Lake shows a significantly decreasing trend of wind speed and the frequency of extreme wind events. Previous studies have paid little attention to the climate change effects on wind hydrodynamics and its implications on water quality has not yet been thoroughly described. Here in this study, we use a well-calibrated and validated three-dimensional Delft3D model to investigate the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of wind induced hydrodynamics and its water quality implications with climate change. The model results give a prediction of less current speed, lower wave height and bottom shear stress compared to the reference scenario, while the three dimensionality of flow field remains. Further, water age is used to demonstrate the influence of external nutrient sources, i.e. the input from adjacent river networks in the basin. Large water ages are observed and potentially it would enhance the accumulation of nutrients and deterioration of water quality.</p>


2011 ◽  
Vol 02 (01) ◽  
pp. 27-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
DAVID HAIM ◽  
RALPH J. ALIG ◽  
ANDREW J. PLANTINGA ◽  
BRENT SOHNGEN

An econometric land-use model is used to project regional and national land-use changes in the United States under two IPCC emissions scenarios. The key driver of land-use change in the model is county-level measures of net returns to five major land uses. The net returns are modified for the IPCC scenarios according to assumed trends in population and income and projections from integrated assessment models of agricultural prices and agricultural and forestry yields. For both scenarios, we project large increases in urban land by the middle of the century, while the largest declines are in cropland area. Significant differences among regions in the projected patterns of land-use change are evident, including an expansion of forests in the Mountain and Plains regions with declines elsewhere. Comparisons to projections with no climate change effects on prices and yields reveal relatively small differences. Thus, our findings suggest that future land-use patterns in the U.S. will be shaped largely by urbanization, with climate change having a relatively small influence.


Ecosystems ◽  
2001 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 164-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominique Bachelet ◽  
Ronald P. Neilson ◽  
James M. Lenihan ◽  
Raymond J. Drapek

2013 ◽  
Vol 40 (12) ◽  
pp. 1173-1183 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Joshua Li ◽  
Leslie Mills ◽  
Sue McNeil ◽  
Nii O. Attoh-Okine

Given anticipated climate change and its inherent uncertainty, a pavement could be subjected to different climatic conditions over its life and might be inadequate to withstand future environmental stresses beyond those currently considered during pavement design. This paper incorporates climate change effects into the mechanistic–empirical (M-E) based pavement design to explore potential climate change and its uncertainty on pavement design and performance. Three important questions are addressed: (1) How does pavement performance deteriorate differently with climate change and its uncertainty? (2) What is the risk if climate change and its uncertainty are not considered in design? and (3) How do pavement designers respond and incorporate this change into M-E design ? Three test sites in the United States are examined and results demonstrate a robust and effective approach to integrate climate change into pavement design as an adaptation strategy.


2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Matthews ◽  
Raymond O'Connor ◽  
Louis R. Iverson ◽  
Anantha M. Prasad

2018 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. 348-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosana Nieto Ferreira ◽  
Mark R. Nissenbaum ◽  
Thomas M. Rickenbach

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 529-540 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshinori Nakazawa ◽  
Richard Williams ◽  
A. Townsend Peterson ◽  
Paul Mead ◽  
Erin Staples ◽  
...  

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