Climate change effects on summertime precipitation organization in the Southeast United States

An econometric land-use model is used to project regional and national land-use changes in the United States under two IPCC emissions scenarios. The key driver of land-use change in the model is county-level measures of net returns to five major land uses. The net returns are modified for the IPCC scenarios according to assumed trends in population and income and projections from integrated assessment models of agricultural prices and agricultural and forestry yields. For both scenarios, we project large increases in urban land by the middle of the century, while the largest declines are in cropland area. Significant differences among regions in the projected patterns of land-use change are evident, including an expansion of forests in the Mountain and Plains regions with declines elsewhere. Comparisons to projections with no climate change effects on prices and yields reveal relatively small differences. Thus, our findings suggest that future land-use patterns in the U.S. will be shaped largely by urbanization, with climate change having a relatively small influence.

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Water crisis, drought, and climate change in the southeast United States

Land Use Policy ◽

10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.104110 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 88 ◽

pp. 104110 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

C.A. Craig ◽

S. Feng ◽

S. Gilbertz

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

United States ◽

Water Crisis ◽

Southeast United States

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Evaluation of present and future North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) regional climate simulations over the southeast United States

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres ◽

10.1029/2011jd016430 ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 117 (D1) ◽

pp. n/a-n/a ◽

Cited By ~ 30

Author(s):

S. Sobolowski ◽

T. Pavelsky

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

United States ◽

North American ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Regional Climate Change ◽

Southeast United States ◽

Change Assessment ◽

Assessment Program ◽

Climate Simulations ◽

Climate Change Assessment

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Climate Change Effects on Vegetation Distribution and Carbon Budget in the United States

Ecosystems ◽

10.1007/s10021-001-0002-7 ◽

2001 ◽

Vol 4 (3) ◽

pp. 164-185 ◽

Cited By ~ 227

Author(s):

Dominique Bachelet ◽

Ronald P. Neilson ◽

James M. Lenihan ◽

Raymond J. Drapek

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

United States ◽

Carbon Budget ◽

The United States ◽

Vegetation Distribution ◽

Climate Change Effects

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Integrating potential climate change into the mechanistic–empirical based pavement design

Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering ◽

10.1139/cjce-2012-0465 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 40 (12) ◽

pp. 1173-1183 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Qiang Joshua Li ◽

Leslie Mills ◽

Sue McNeil ◽

Nii O. Attoh-Okine

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

United States ◽

The United States ◽

Adaptation Strategy ◽

Climatic Conditions ◽

Pavement Design ◽

Pavement Performance ◽

Climate Change Effects ◽

And Performance ◽

Potential Climate Change

Given anticipated climate change and its inherent uncertainty, a pavement could be subjected to different climatic conditions over its life and might be inadequate to withstand future environmental stresses beyond those currently considered during pavement design. This paper incorporates climate change effects into the mechanistic–empirical (M-E) based pavement design to explore potential climate change and its uncertainty on pavement design and performance. Three important questions are addressed: (1) How does pavement performance deteriorate differently with climate change and its uncertainty? (2) What is the risk if climate change and its uncertainty are not considered in design? and (3) How do pavement designers respond and incorporate this change into M-E design ? Three test sites in the United States are examined and results demonstrate a robust and effective approach to integrate climate change into pavement design as an adaptation strategy.

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