Intensified impact of northern tropical Atlantic SST on tropical cyclogenesis frequency over the western North Pacific after the late 1980s

2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (8) ◽  
pp. 919-930 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xi Cao ◽  
Shangfeng Chen ◽  
Guanghua Chen ◽  
Renguang Wu
2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (19) ◽  
pp. 6645-6661 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xi Cao ◽  
Renguang Wu ◽  
Mingyu Bi ◽  
Xiaoqing Lan ◽  
Yifeng Dai ◽  
...  

Abstract The present study investigates relative contributions of interannual, intraseasonal, and synoptic variations of environmental factors to tropical cyclone (TC) genesis over the northern tropical Atlantic (NTA) during July–October. Analysis shows that convection, lower-level vorticity, and midlevel specific humidity contribute to TC genesis through intraseasonal and synoptic variations with a larger contribution of the latter. The relative contribution of three components of vertical wind shear depends largely on its magnitude. The contribution of sea surface temperature (SST) to TC genesis is mainly due to the interannual component when total SST is above 27.5°C. The barotropic energy for the development of synoptic-scale disturbances comes mainly from climatological mean flows and intraseasonal wind variations. The proportion of contribution between synoptic and intraseasonal variations of convection, relative vorticity, and specific humidity is larger over the eastern NTA than over the western NTA. The barotropic energy conversion has a larger part related to climatological mean flows and intraseasonal wind variations over the eastern and western NTA, respectively. There are notable differences between the NTA and the western North Pacific (WNP). One is that the relative contribution of synoptic variations of convection, relative vorticity, and specific humidity is larger over the NTA, whereas that of intraseasonal variations is larger over the WNP. The other is that the barotropic energy conversion related to climatological mean flows and intraseasonal wind variations is comparable over the NTA, whereas that related to climatological mean flows is larger over the WNP.


2011 ◽  
Vol 139 (9) ◽  
pp. 2723-2734 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carl J. Schreck ◽  
John Molinari

The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) influences tropical cyclone formation around the globe. Convectively coupled Kelvin waves are often embedded within the MJO, but their role in tropical cyclogenesis remains uncertain. This case study identifies the influences of the MJO and a series of Kelvin waves on the formation of two tropical cyclones. Typhoons Rammasun and Chataan developed in the western North Pacific on 28 June 2002. Two weeks earlier, conditions had been unfavorable for tropical cyclogenesis because of uniform trade easterlies and a lack of organized convection. The easterlies gave way to equatorial westerlies as the convective envelope of the Madden–Julian oscillation moved into the region. A series of three Kelvin waves modulated the development of the westerlies. Cyclonic potential vorticity (PV) developed in a strip between the growing equatorial westerlies and the persistent trade easterlies farther poleward. Rammasun and Chataan emerged from the apparent breakdown of this strip. The cyclonic PV developed in association with diabatic heating from both the MJO and the Kelvin waves. The tropical cyclones also developed during the largest superposition of equatorial westerlies from the MJO and the Kelvin waves. This chain of events suggests that the MJO and the Kelvin waves each played a role in the development of Rammasun and Chataan.


2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (12) ◽  
pp. 4332-4339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xi Cao ◽  
Tim Li ◽  
Melinda Peng ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Guanghua Chen

2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 3023-3038 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haikun Zhao ◽  
Xianan Jiang ◽  
Liguang Wu ◽  
Philip J. Klotzbach

2020 ◽  
Vol 55 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 3469-3483
Author(s):  
Hongjie Zhang ◽  
Liang Wu ◽  
Ronghui Huang ◽  
Jau-Ming Chen ◽  
Tao Feng

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