Impact of convective parameterization on the seasonal prediction skill of Indian summer monsoon

2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 6227-6243 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Phani Murali Krishna ◽  
Suryachandra A. Rao ◽  
Ankur Srivastava ◽  
Hari Prasad Kottu ◽  
Maheswar Pradhan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Seasonal Prediction ◽  
Prediction Skill ◽  
Convective Parameterization

Seasonal prediction skill of Indian summer monsoon rainfall in NMME models and monsoon mission CFSv2

2018 ◽  
Vol 38 ◽  
pp. e847-e861 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prasanth A. Pillai ◽  
Suryachandra A. Rao ◽  
Dandi A. Ramu ◽  
Maheswar Pradhan ◽  
Gibies George
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Seasonal Prediction ◽  
Summer Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Prediction Skill

scholarly journals Seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon: Sensitivity to persistent SST

2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (5) ◽  
pp. 1183-1193 ◽  
Author(s):  
SUKANTA KUMAR DAS ◽  
SANJIB KUMAR DEB ◽  
C M KISHTAWAL ◽  
PRADIP KUMAR PAL
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Seasonal Prediction

Seasonal prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon onset with machine learning

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takahito Mitsui ◽  
Niklas Boers
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Indian Subcontinent ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Seasonal Prediction ◽  
Onset Date ◽  
Summer Monsoon Onset

<p>The prediction of the onset date of the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is crucial for effective agricultural planning and water resource management on the Indian subcontinent, with more than one billion inhabitants. Existing approaches focus on extended-range to subseasonal forecasts, i.e., provide skillful predictions of the ISM onset date at horizons of 10 to 60 days. Here we propose a method for ISM onset prediction and show that it has high forecast skill at longer, seasonal time scales. The method is based on recurrent neural networks and allows for ensemble forecasts to quantify uncertainties. Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction models at comparable or longer lead times. To our knowledge, there is no statistical forecasting approach at comparable, seasonal time scales. Our results suggest that predictability of the ISM onset emerges earlier than previously assumed.</p>

Seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall in NCEP CFSv2: forecast and predictability error

2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 2305-2326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samir Pokhrel ◽  
Subodh Kumar Saha ◽  
Ashish Dhakate ◽  
Hasibur Rahman ◽  
Hemantkumar S. Chaudhari ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Seasonal Prediction ◽  
Summer Monsoon Rainfall

scholarly journals Seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon in India: The past, the present and the future

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. 265-276
Author(s):  
SURYACHANDRA A. RAO ◽  
PRASANTH A. PILLAI ◽  
MAHESHWAR PRADHAN ◽  
ANKUR SRIVASTAVA
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Seasonal Prediction ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future
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