scholarly journals Convergence to extremal processes in random environments and extremal ageing in SK models

2012 ◽  
Vol 157 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 251-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anton Bovier ◽  
Véronique Gayrard ◽  
Adéla Švejda
Keyword(s):  
Random Environments ◽  
Extremal Processes

On calculating extinction probabilities for branching processes in random environments

1969 ◽  
Vol 6 (03) ◽  
pp. 478-492 ◽  
Author(s):  
William E. Wilkinson
Keyword(s):  
Generating Functions ◽  
Infinite Sequence ◽  
Branching Processes ◽  
Transition Probability ◽  
Transition Probability Matrix ◽  
Random Environments ◽  
Real Numbers ◽  
Discrete Time Markov Chain ◽  
Extinction Probabilities ◽  
Image Position

Consider a discrete time Markov chain {Zn } whose state space is the non-negative integers and whose transition probability matrix ║Pij ║ possesses the representation where {Pr }, r = 1,2,…, is a finite or denumerably infinite sequence of non-negative real numbers satisfying , and , is a corresponding sequence of probability generating functions. It is assumed that Z 0 = k, a finite positive integer.

scholarly journals A comparison of random walks in dependent random environments

2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 199-214
Author(s):  
Werner R. W. Scheinhardt ◽  
Dirk P. Kroese
Keyword(s):  
Random Walks ◽  
Random Environment ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Random Environments ◽  
Dependency Structure ◽  
Interesting Behavior

Abstract We provide exact computations for the drift of random walks in dependent random environments, including k-dependent and moving average environments. We show how the drift can be characterized and evaluated using Perron–Frobenius theory. Comparing random walks in various dependent environments, we demonstrate that their drifts can exhibit interesting behavior that depends significantly on the dependency structure of the random environment.

scholarly journals Generalized contact process on random environments

2002 ◽  
Vol 65 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
György Szabó ◽  
Hajnalka Gergely ◽  
Beáta Oborny
Keyword(s):  
Contact Process ◽  
Random Environments

On determining absorption probabilities for Markov chains in random environments

1981 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 369-387 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard D. Bourgin ◽  
Robert Cogburn
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Markov Chains ◽  
Random Environment ◽  
Efficient Method ◽  
General Framework ◽  
Random Environments ◽  
Extinction Probabilities ◽  
Environmental Process ◽  
Branching Chains ◽  
Absorption Probabilities

The general framework of a Markov chain in a random environment is presented and the problem of determining extinction probabilities is discussed. An efficient method for determining absorption probabilities and criteria for certain absorption are presented in the case that the environmental process is a two-state Markov chain. These results are then applied to birth and death, queueing and branching chains in random environments.

VARIABILITY FOR CARRIER-BORNE EPIDEMICS AND REED–FROST MODELS INCORPORATING UNCERTAINTIES AND DEPENDENCIES FROM SUSCEPTIBLES AND INFECTIVES

2010 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 303-328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eva María Ortega ◽  
Laureano F. Escudero
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Epidemic Models ◽  
Random Environments ◽  
Random Parameters ◽  
Infection Rates ◽  
Disease Propagation ◽  
Increasing Concave Order ◽  
Special Cases ◽  
Frost Model

This article provides analytical results on which are the implications of the statistical dependencies among certain random parameters on the variability of the number of susceptibles of the carrier-borne epidemic model with heterogeneous populations and of the number of infectives under the Reed–Frost model with random infection rates. We consider dependencies among the random infection rates, among the random infectious times, and among random initial susceptibles of several carrier-borne epidemic models. We obtain conditions for the variability ordering between the number of susceptibles for carrier-borne epidemics under two different random environments, at any time-scale value. These results are extended to multivariate comparisons of the random vectors of populations in the strata. We also obtain conditions for the increasing concave order between the number of infectives in the Reed–Frost model under two different random environments, for any generation. Variability bounds are obtained for different epidemic models from modeling dependencies for a range of special cases that are useful for risk assessment of disease propagation.

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