scholarly journals The influence of variable emissivity on lava flow propagation modeling

2021 ◽  
Vol 83 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
James O. Thompson ◽  
Michael S. Ramsey

AbstractModeling lava flow propagation is important to determine potential hazards to local populations. Thermo-rheological models such as PyFLOWGO track downflow cooling and rheological responses for open-channel, cooling-limited flows. The dominant radiative cooling component is governed partly by the lava emissivity, which is a material property that governs the radiative efficiency. Emissivity is commonly treated as a constant in cooling models, but is shown here to vary with temperature. To establish the effect of temperature on emissivity, high spatiotemporal, multispectral thermal infrared data were acquired of a small flow emplaced from a tumulus. An inverse correlation between temperature and emissivity was found, which was then integrated into the PyFLOWGO model. Incorporating a temperature-dependent emissivity term results in a ∼5% increase in flow length and < 75% lower total cumulative heat flux for the small flow. To evaluate the scalability of this relationship, we applied the modified PyFLOWGO model to simulations of the 2018 Lower East Rift Zone fissure 8 flow, emplaced between May 27 and June 3. Our model improves the emplacement match because of the ~ 30% lower heat flux resulting in a ∼7% longer flow compared to modeling using a constant emissivity (0.95). This 5–7% increase in length prior to ocean entry, realized by an accurate temperature-dependent emissivity term, is critical for developing the most accurate model of future flow hazard assessments, particularly if population centers lie in the flow’s path.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iris van Zelst ◽  
Timothy J. Craig ◽  
Cedric Thieulot

&lt;p&gt;The thermal structure of subduction zones plays an important role in the seismicity that occurs there with e.g., the downdip limit of the seismogenic zone associated with particular isotherms (350 &amp;#176;C - 450 &amp;#176;C) and intermediate-depth seismicity linked to dehydration reactions that occur at specific temperatures and pressures. Therefore, accurate thermal models of subduction zones that include the complexities found in laboratory studies are necessary. One of the often-ignored effects in models is the temperature-dependence of the thermal parameters such as the thermal conductivity, heat capacity, and density.&lt;span&gt;&amp;#160;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Here, we build upon the model setup presented by Van Keken et al., 2008 by including temperature-dependent thermal parameters to an otherwise clearly constrained, simple model setup of a subducting plate. We consider a fixed kinematic slab dipping at 45&amp;#176; and a stationary overriding plate with a dynamic mantle wedge. Such a simple setup allows us to isolate the effect of temperature-dependent thermal parameters. We add a more complex plate cooling model for the oceanic plate for consistency with the thermal parameters.&lt;span&gt;&amp;#160;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;We test the effect of temperature-dependent thermal parameters on models with different rheologies, such as an isoviscous wedge, diffusion and dislocation creep. We find that slab temperatures can change by up to 65 &amp;#176;C which affects the location of isotherm depths. The downdip limit of the seismogenic zone defined by e.g., the 350 &amp;#176;C isotherm shifts by approximately 4 km, thereby increasing the maximum possible rupture area of the seismogenic zone. Similarly, the 600 &amp;#176;C isotherm is shifted approximately 30 km deeper, affecting the depth at which dehydration reactions and hence intermediate-depth seismicity occurs. Our results therefore show that temperature-dependent thermal parameters in thermal models of subduction zones cannot be ignored when studying subduction-related seismicity.&lt;span&gt;&amp;#160;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;


2021 ◽  
Vol 83 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
R. deGraffenried ◽  
J. Hammer ◽  
H. Dietterich ◽  
R. Perroy ◽  
M. Patrick ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Timothy E. McGreevy ◽  
Frederick A. Leckie ◽  
Peter Carter ◽  
Douglas L. Marriott

The Bree model and the elastic core concept have been used as the foundation for the simplified inelastic design analysis methods in the ASME Code for the design of components at elevated temperature for nearly three decades. The methodology provides upper bounds for creep strain accumulation and a physical basis for ascertaining if a structure under primary and secondary loading will behave elastically, plastically, shakedown, or ratchet. Comparisons of the method with inelastic analysis results have demonstrated its conservatism in stainless steel at temperatures representative of those in LMBR applications. The upper bounds on creep accumulation are revisited for very high temperatures representative of VHTR applications, where the yield strength of the material is strongly dependent upon temperature. The effect of the variation in yield strength on the evolution of the core stress is illustrated, and is shown to extend the shakedown regions, and affects the location of the boundaries between shakedown, ratcheting, and plasticity.


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