scholarly journals Representing risk preferences in expected utility based decision models

2008 ◽  
Vol 176 (1) ◽  
pp. 179-190 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jack Meyer
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kaname Miyagishima

AbstractIn a simple model where agents’ monetary payoffs are uncertain, this paper examines the aggregation of subjective expected utility functions which are interpersonally noncomparable. A maximin social welfare criterion is derived from axioms of efficiency, ex post equity, and social rationality, combined with the independence of beliefs and risk preferences in riskless situations (Chambers and Echenique in Games Econ Behav 76:582–595, 2012). The criterion compares allocations by the values of the prospects composed of the statewise minimum payoffs evaluated by the certainty equivalents. Because of this construction, the criterion is egalitarian and risk averse.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Tobey K. Scharding

Abstract I evaluate two contractualist approaches to the ethics of risk: mutual constraint and the probabilistic, ex ante approach. After explaining how these approaches address problems in earlier interpretations of contractualism, I object that they fail to respond to diverse risk preferences in populations. Some people could reasonably reject the risk thresholds associated with these approaches. A strategy for addressing this objection is considering individual risk preferences, similar to those Buchak discusses concerning expected-utility approaches to risk. I defend the risk-preferences-adjusted (RISPREAD) contractualist approach, which calculates a population’s average risk preference and permits risk thresholds below that preference, only.


1996 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 287-295
Author(s):  
Thomas W. Lauer

A questionnaire was administered to 68 software project managers (SPMs). Questions were designed to test whether SPMs’ risky judgments were more consistent with Expected Utility Theory or Prospect Theory. Although the results were more consistent with Prospect Theory, they differed in important ways showing SPMs’ judgments to be less homogeneous than is assumed by either theory. These results highlight the potential importance of SPMs’ judgments to the outcome of software development projects.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luciano I. de Castro ◽  
Antonio F. Galvao ◽  
Jeong Yeol Kim ◽  
Gabriel Montes-Rojas ◽  
Jose Olmo

2011 ◽  
Vol 101 (2) ◽  
pp. 591-631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Levon Barseghyan ◽  
Jeffrey Prince ◽  
Joshua C Teitelbaum

Using a unique dataset, we test whether households' deductible choices in auto and home insurance reflect stable risk preferences. Our test relies on a structural model that assumes households are objective expected utility maximizers and claims are generated by household-coverage specific Poisson processes. We find that the hypothesis of stable risk preferences is rejected by the data. Our analysis suggests that many households exhibit greater risk aversion in their home deductible choices than their auto deductible choices. Our results are robust to several alternative modeling assumptions. (JEL D11, D83)


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